Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: What a weird pattern. Feb 2021 4 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Remember what the alternative could be…Wondering how many weeks of endless split flow will last…The stuff of nightmares right there! 9 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Finishing off the run at -9C here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: You would need the low to come in much further north. Of course that would screw people to the south...but that's usually how this works. Here is the 00z Euro 00z GFS Pretty remarkably good agreement between the GFS and Euro on the strength and position of this low. The GEM has it too but it is much weaker and even further south. Given this feature is showing up on all 3 models now and for more than 1 run now, it is starting to get a bit interesting. Interestingly EURO shows surface temps 30-32 as precip falls-- would like that trend to continue in future runs. Not that the vast majority of anafront situations don't have very marginal mid-upper 30s temps. 6 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: What a weird pattern. Blocking is off the charts. If this continues all winter it's going to be amazing. 7 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowPlz Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anafronts have much less propensity to move 300 miles north or south as a developing low. But 20-30 miles can make a massive difference because if you aren’t under the heavy precip band then you aren’t going to get snow. What are some simple things we can do at home to attract the precip band to our area? 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anafronts have much less propensity to move 300 miles north or south as a developing low. But 20-30 miles can make a massive difference because if you aren’t under the heavy precip band then you aren’t going to get snow. Gonna be a fun ride with the anafronts. Break hearts for some, rejoice for others! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 27, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Kuchera 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Remember what the alternative could be…Wondering how many weeks of endless split flow will last…The stuff of nightmares right there! I'm fine right now. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Remember what the alternative could be…Wondering how many weeks of endless split flow will last…The stuff of nightmares right there! Good perspective my man. 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 The end of the euro is crazy 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Day 10 850s, the "what IF" goodies. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Wasn’t that an anafront in late January 2008 that gave the Eugene area several inches of slop? I know we got crushed up here with that one too. 3 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Flash freeze at the end of the run from SEA northward. Spilling south very fast too. 6 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Not like this is a sure bet, but maybe EPS will agree. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Quite descriptive! I dunno, could've posted this.... or this.... or this... or this.... 1 1 2 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: Euro knows real well on how to shatter some hearts. How do things look past early December? Are we still in a colder pattern at least? Weeklies showed it being a cold signal throughout Dec 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 Polar lobe almost into northeast Washington Now I'm afraid to say I want it to trend west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wasn’t that an anafront in late January 2008 that gave the Eugene area several inches of slop? I know we got crushed up here with that one too. If I recall Eugene had an anafront that produced 7-8 inches of snow very late in the season, maybe March 2012? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 I think I need one of those model riding chairs. 9 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Oh boy how am I going to get any work done the next couple of weeks.... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Check this out.... Ready? 5 Day Rainfall totals But WAIT.... There's MORE! 10 Day Rainfall totals 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kolk1604 Posted November 27, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Incredible! As Rob would say, let's get this inside day 5 and keep pushing it south! 7 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Here's what we know. There has been very little model constancy run to run. Feels like this coming pattern change will through some curve balls 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Check this out.... Ready? 5 Day Rainfall totals But WAIT.... There's MORE! 10 Day Rainfall totals Hard to buy with so much blocking. Could happen though. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Incredible! As Rob would say, let's get this inside day 5 and keep pushing it south! Even most recent EPS isn't that far off in terms of 500mb heights. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Check this out.... Ready? 5 Day Rainfall totals But WAIT.... There's MORE! 10 Day Rainfall totals Pretty strong La Niña vibes for the last month or so besides the big ridging in mid November. This is definitely some drought busting stuff with potential for snow too! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Snownerd3000 said: Here's what we know. There has been very little model constancy run to run. Feels like this coming pattern change will through some curve balls I'd be surprised if most us aren't happy by Dec 15 or so. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Finally a crazy, active, and fun Euro run! The first of MANY on the way! 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 37 minutes 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Thoughts on next summer? 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Hard to buy with so much blocking. Could happen though. All the systems that are going to warm us up will bring rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 The mountains are going to get slammed! Wouldn’t be surprised to see closures for awhile 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Deweydog said: Thoughts on next summer? PDX - 90 degree days: 24. 100 degree days:4. Max temp: 104 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think I need one of those model riding chairs. I'll take coffee. I start work at 6am Tues-Sat and you guys are going to keep me up for most of the night! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Washington to Washington St 2 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Thoughts on next summer? 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Snownerd3000 said: Washington to Washington St Huskies win hurts Oregon again... very satisfying. 6 1 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 EPS looks much better 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: If I recall Eugene had an anafront that produced 7-8 inches of snow very late in the season, maybe March 2012? Both of those happened. Jan 2008 was a bit elevation based though. I got 8 inches at 750' but the valley floor only got 3-4". 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Thoughts on next summer? 2 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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