PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[lowlandsnow]

EPS and GEFS are starting to look interesting

[LowerGarfield]

Super nervious for tomorrow. I really am hoping for 1-2 inches at least. I think I'm in weenie mode at the moment after so many close calls. Assuming it verifies (and NWS Spokane thinks it will) I think will get the grumpy monkey off my back.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Fv3 3pm Sunday 

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Fv3 3pm Sunday 

Slap my asss and call me Jerry!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, GHweatherChris said:

Slap my asss and call me Jerry!

This is looking like a widespread event, probable just light snow and minor accumulation but looking like decent coverage Portland to Everett. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z NAM 12km version is amazing for SW King County.  

[Terreboner]

3 hours and 23 minutes until our WWA goes into affect.  They should of done it for 4 am I think.

[Requiem]

Hoping we don't get one of those "too north and too south" events but I think precip wise this'll be fine for Portland. Just gotta hope the temperatures cooperate.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM 12km version is amazing for SW King County.  

Wow even shows 1 inch here now. Just keeps moving north, no reason to think that trend will stop.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM 12km version is amazing for SW King County.  

Tacoma and Federal Way are the big winners. Let’s do it. 

[GHweatherChris]

21 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

From Portland afternoon AFD:

Models have a fairly good handle
on the location and track of this system which is building
confidence in the incoming pattern. They all show the low
tracking back northward and stalling right along the OR/CA
border on Sunday, but the progress has been slow. Clouds along
the frontal boundary are attempting to push inland from the
coast, but momentum just is not there yet. 

It is a slow march towards the coast. 

It will be fine.

[Skagit Weather]

Interestingly, today was actually cooler than yesterday here. High of 38F (versus 39F yesterday) and currently at my low for the day of 33F. Should probably be able to squeeze in a freeze before midnight.

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

It will be fine.

I understand that, I just think it is slower than advertised.  I'm not worried about snow over here, it will be plenty cold enough.

I would also love to see PDX get hit but looks like it comes in there around noon or after which is a bad time IMO.  Be better if it holds off until after dusk.

[MossMan]

.39” of melted precip through the gauge today, .40” for the month, 48.98” for the year. 
Currently 29.5 degrees. 

Edited December 4, 2022 by MossMan

[Requiem]

Really strong easterlies here now, definitely kicked up to a new level in the last hour or so 

[Everleigh]

Down to 29.5° and a DP of 28.2°. Getting C H I L L Y. 

[RCola]

1 hour ago, Doinko said:

How accurate are the SREF ensembles?

We'd always make fun of them on the east coast because of how inaccurate they are. However, the trends that you see in them often signal trends you'll see in other models. But definitely don't pay attention to amounts with these. 

[GHweatherChris]

3 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

I understand that, I just think it is slower than advertised.  I'm not worried about snow over here, it will be plenty cold enough.

I would also love to see PDX get hit but looks like it comes in there around noon or after which is a bad time IMO.  Be better if it holds off until after dusk.

Most of the time lately any moisture laden events end up progressing faster than progged, we shall see.  The timing is not great for any particular spot as modeled currently.  Will be fun to follow the next 24 hours.

[Terreboner]

4 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Most of the time lately any moisture laden events end up progressing faster than progged, we shall see.  The timing is not great for any particular spot as modeled currently.  Will be fun to follow the next 24 hours.

Generally yes, but my naked eye is just seeing this as being slower than modeled.  Wouldn't be the first time I'm wrong but it better pick up some speed.

[SouthHillFrosty]

17 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Tacoma and Federal Way are the big winners. Let’s do it. 

[Terreboner]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Swamp people unite!!!!!!!!!!

[GHweatherChris]

10 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

Generally yes, but my naked eye is just seeing this as being slower than modeled.  Wouldn't be the first time I'm wrong but it better pick up some speed.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

17 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Most of the time lately any moisture laden events end up progressing faster than progged, we shall see.  The timing is not great for any particular spot as modeled currently.  Will be fun to follow the next 24 hours.

It has the feeling and the look now to catch a bunch of people off guard. The potential is far greater than what any local forecast is saying.

[Snownerd3000]

7 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

Swamp people unite!!!!!!!!!!

[Terreboner]

[Terreboner]

23.1 already.  Be pretty cool for the snow to start and have it below 20.  I'm staying up tonight, maybe a small nap before the Hawks game.

[TacomaWx]

Down to 39 here. Some of our snow did survive today…going to need a fresh coat of snow tomorrow. 

[Terreboner]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Down to 39 here. Some of our snow did survive today…going to need a fresh coat of snow tomorrow. 

What's your dew point up there?

[Gradient Keeper]

33 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Really strong easterlies here now, definitely kicked up to a new level in the last hour or so 

I'd say so. It is raging here now can hear the gusts easily over the Blazers game.

00z GFS in 14 minutes

[Phishy Wx]

Clear and 19

DP 15

[Terreboner]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Clear and 19

DP 15

Good numbers.  C'mon moisture!!!!

[jakerepp]

More than I bargained for moving to AZ.

That is a very tiny, very well camouflaged Arizona bark scorpion, the most venomous in North America, and somehow it got in my brother's house. 

 

 

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, jakerepp said:

More than I bargained for moving to AZ.

That is a very tiny, very well camouflaged Arizona bark scorpion, the most venomous in North America. 

 

 

No, my ex-gf was the most venomous but he can have 2nd place.

[Gradient Keeper]

BIG league gusts right now! Wow. Raging.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

[Doinko]

GFS keeps persistent snow over Portland

[Terreboner]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

Just what I thought.  She is slow to move in.

[GHweatherChris]

00Z GFS is backpedaling.

[Doinko]

This is pretty good, snow for the Valley and South metro too

 

[Weiner Warrior]

Just went outside and everything is iced up. Still have 3 inches of snow in the grass.