With the MJO active and seasons changing, I find it hard to believe this regime of western troughing will be as stable as modeled.
There should be at least 7-10 days with a western ridge and eastern trough next month, most likely between the 10th and the 20th. Maybe I’m wishcasting but I don’t see why the current pattern wouldn’t change when the MJO returns to the W-Hem 10-15 days from now.
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