Deweydog Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Certainly doesn't have the look of a storm that's about to undergo rapid intensification. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Certainly doesn't have the look of a storm that's about to undergo rapid intensification. And everyone mocked Pat Robertson... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 The dude on TWC just picked up a tiny branch from a palm tree and tossed it up into the wind. It landed on the ground about 10 feet downwind. Pulitzer? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 The dude on TWC just picked up a tiny branch from a palm tree and tossed it up into the wind. It landed on the ground about 10 feet downwind. Pulitzer? I read TWC was voted "best cable network." Of course the same article mentioned Taco Bell was voted "best Mexican restaurant." Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 I read TWC was voted "best cable network." Of course the same article mentioned Taco Bell was voted "best Mexican restaurant." I know... that's a joke. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Certainly doesn't have the look of a storm that's about to undergo rapid intensification. Still a once in a lifetime storm for folks in NC born after 2003. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 You guys would be having a field day if you heard what my Global Climate professor has been saying about this storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 12z EPS mean looks pretty cool'ish for all throughout the run. Trough doesn't go anywhere until maybe the very end of the run. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Hopefully this is the one time the ECMWF s**ts the bed. agreed plus stroms that are getting stronger just before land fall are tens times worse then ones that is weaking that would really be bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 You guys would be having a field day if you heard what my Global Climate professor has been saying about this storm. The local TV meteorologist here (who are all horrible btw) have been overlaying Florence over Montana like it's an apocalypse type of storm 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 I have been seeing the VERY scary report today that 10 trillion gallons water could fall on the state of North Carolina over the next week. That is a very common way of measuring rain and that is a BIG number! I wonder how many zillions of water MOLECULES are going to fall????? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 You guys would be having a field day if you heard what my Global Climate professor has been saying about this storm.Tying it directly to the PNW troughorce field? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Tying it directly to the PNW troughorce field?Obviously. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 The 12z EURO ensemble mean has Florence making landfall at Cape Fear then it wobbles slightly offshore before final landfall around Charleston. It heads up into the Appalachians before heading out to sea but that might not be the end of it. Chance it might loop back towards the East Coast again. That's still way out there though. http://oi67.tinypic.com/2cwrex0.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 The 12z EURO ensemble mean has Florence making landfall at Cape Fear then it wobbles slightly offshore before final landfall around Charleston. It heads up into the Appalachians before heading out to sea but that might not be the end of it. Chance it might loop back towards the East Coast again. That's still way out there though. The mountains are going to get dumped on pretty good. Probably end up hearing about mudslides and rockslides. Getting a bit of sun here now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Michael VentriceVerified account @MJVentriceFollow Follow @MJVentriceMoreThe transformation of the inner-core of #HurricaneFlorence is nearly complete. This cyclonically wrapping convection around the eye of the hurricane is not good news for the Carolinas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Michael VentriceVerified account @MJVentriceFollow Follow @MJVentriceMoreThe transformation of the inner-core of #HurricaneFlorence is nearly complete. This cyclonically wrapping convection around the eye of the hurricane is not good news for the Carolinas. DnART7jVAAA_2eq.jpg Now he's catching some crap from Kait Parker regarding the last couple tweets. There's definitely deeper convection wrapping around now. That's a given. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Now he's catching some crap from Kait Parker regarding the last couple tweets. There's definitely deeper convection wrapping around now. That's a given. Actually, Kait's tweet was a response to an NBC news tweet. Ventrice simply re-tweeted it. NBC was saying it was downgraded, and was trying to contrast that with Trump saying this is a growing storm. Ventrice agreed with Kait. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Michael VentriceVerified account @MJVentrice 3m3 minutes ago More I am fearing that this might be the early stage of a rapid intensification process of #HurricaneFlorence. Another burst of convection to the north of the eye of the hurricane in recent frames. We'll see if this cyclonically wrapping eyewall completes its orbit around the eye. 6 replies 38 retweets 33 likes Reply 6 Retweet 38 Like 33 Michael VentriceVerified account @MJVentrice Follow Follow @MJVentrice More What is more concerning here is the inherent uncertainty of track shift as a consequence of this inner core adjustment that was not well predicted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Haha! Trump's a weenie. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Actually, Kait's tweet was a response to an NBC news tweet. Ventrice simply re-tweeted it. NBC was saying it was downgraded, and was trying to contrast that with Trump saying this is a growing storm. Ventrice agreed with Kait. Yeah, now I caught that.Hurricane Maria response (or lack of) all over the news today as well. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Florence has strengthened 5 mph. Looks like it's starting to intensify. Michael Ventrice@MJVentrice I am fearing that this might be the early stage of a rapid intensification process of #HurricaneFlorence. Another burst of convection to the north of the eye of the hurricane in recent frames. We'll see if this cyclonically wrapping eyewall completes its orbit around the eye. https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1040357079826014208 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Wow..112mph gust 30 miles from River Inlet, NC. And that’s outside the wind maxima. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 This buoy is getting just getting into the core now. I think they can surpass 100kts. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Now 97mph @ both Fort Macon and Cape Lookout. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Woah. 116kts (~133.5mph) ~ 40mi off Wrightsville Beach. That’s three buoys with gusts over 110mph now. Though this one seems bizarrely high..could be either a waterspout strike or an instrument error. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Up to 116 at this buoy (Station 41038 - Wrightsville Beach Nearshore, NC ) 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 13, 2018 Report Share Posted September 13, 2018 Wall of water incoming from the front quadrant. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Let’s see how much longer this station stays up. https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KNCDAVIS2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted September 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Wall of water incoming from the front quadrant. What app is that? It looks like the old Storm app before it became crap. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 What app is that? It looks like the old Storm app before it became crap.Yeah, don’t upgrade. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 You jinxed it. Wonder if the flag remnants are still there. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Wonder if the flag remnants are still there.This is the last shot I got before lights went out 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Gotta love how TWC just makes up terms. They were really hoping to be able to call Florence a category 5 storm but since it isn't, they are now calling it a "Category 5 flood threat". https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2018-09-07-hurricane-florence-inland-flood-risk?cm_ven=wu_videos Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Phil? Is that you? 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Down to a Cat. 1 now. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Had some localized flooding yesterday in NE PDX from the thunderstorms and heavy rain. Pretty interesting videos. https://katu.com/news/local/rain-storm-soaks-portland-causes-street-flooding Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 14, 2018 Report Share Posted September 14, 2018 Down to a Cat. 1 now.BUT IT'S GETTING BIGGER! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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