February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Getting big Southerly wind gust out here now.

[Front Ranger]

The downside to this storm turning out to be as dynamic as it has is that it's probably pulled in more milder air than a weaker one would have. 

 

But at least a lot of people are have gotten/are getting a nice snowfall tonight. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

So... Are you saying we are going to changeover to rain? Or is this just a troll post? Or what?

 

Many models have actually been showing this. The snow/rain line will have a SW-to-NE tilt to it, so areas to the west of the Salish Sea will see snow further to the south than areas to the east of it. Expect any and all of: rain, freezing rain, snow, and sleet.

[wxmet]

Checked the GFS 00z Skew-T at KSEA at 24hr. Isothermal 33F from the surface to 950mb. That's not enough to cause complete melting. Should result in needles or columns, but not flat out rain.

[MossMan]

0z GFS is further north with the low for tomorrow. Bummer.

So...rain for me tomorrow?

[MikeInEverett]

Keep going south CZ!!

[TT-SEA]

Checked the GFS 00z Skew-T at KSEA at 24hr. Isothermal 33F from the surface to 950mb. That's not enough to cause complete melting. Should result in needles or columns, but not flat out rain.

 

Love the detailed analysis.  

[The Swamp]

sleeting in the swamp

[Jesse]

I love how people have found a way to troll here and use the excuse that they are “just stating facts” as a shield. It’s all about timing and context. There are plenty of facts a person could state in the wrong place at the wrong time that could cause a lot of social awkwardness or get them a fight. Sure what they said is technically true, doesn’t mean they had to say it right then or in that company. Seems like common sense stuff, and it is.

[BLI snowman]

0z GFS is further north with the low for tomorrow. Bummer.

 

Yeah, not looking good for places below 600-700' or south of Whatcom County at this point.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

I think some of Shawnigan's snow is blowing down here. Victoria is experience near-blizzard conditions with very low visibility with very fine snow. The temperature dropped from 32F to 27F in the last hour with the shift to northerly winds.

[Tyler Mode]

Temp up 2 degrees from 35 to 37 here.  South wind gusting to 25 mph.

[Christensen87]

0z GFS is further north with the low for tomorrow. Bummer.

Still painting us with over a foot by Wednesday. FV3 has been even more. Let’s see what it says.

[Geos]

Keep going south CZ!!

 

Yeah would be nice to get to 5" for this event. Over 3" here now. 

 

Marysville and Everett are about to get blasted.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Heavy band of rain just NW of PDX this run.

Yeah, it shifted the heaviest rain a little north compared to the 18z. Hopefully it doesn't trend further north, I'm actually looking forward to the heavy rain for once.

[Front Ranger]

So...rain for me tomorrow?

 

Probably not. Seattle south...will probably see rain/mix by sometime in the evening.

 

Unless we see a last-minute shift south with the low. Can't rule it out.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4.9" total after exiting the snow band. Not bad for a storm forecast to deliver "1 to 4 inches"!

[Fircrest]

That was fun! picked up a quick 2+" with some very heavy blowing snow. 33 here in Fircrest with the snow fall slowing down.

[Deweydog]

You don’t know what you’re talking about. Heavy rain with temps in the mid 40s. If your snow isn’t in a pile tonight, it will be gone by tomorrow night.

Our biggest pile last February made it to about St. Patrick’s Day.

[TT-SEA]

I think some of Shawnigan's snow is blowing down here. Victoria is experience near-blizzard conditions with very low visibility with very fine snow. The temperature dropped from 32F to 27F in the last hour with the shift to northerly winds.

 

Where is Esquimalt?  

[Requiem]

Yeah, it shifted the heaviest rain a little north compared to the 18z. Hopefully it doesn't trend further north, I'm actually looking forward to the heavy rain for once.

 

Wait, did it? The front itself looks a bit closer to PDX this time. But that just might be me.

[MossMan]

Probably not. Seattle south...will probably see rain/mix by sometime in the evening.

 

Unless we see a last-minute shift south with the low. Can't rule it out.

A snowman that lived in Blaine years ago said I will see nothing but rain tomorrow.

[epiceast]

PSCZ is moving south quickly... So did this storm really go north of everyone and still caused solid snow for 90% of PNW lowlanders to about 100 miles south of the low? That has to be a first.

[Esquimalt]

Where is Esquimalt?

Things are great here about 2-3 inches new snow with some fine powder coming down. Just loving it up!!!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Checked the GFS 00z Skew-T at KSEA at 24hr. Isothermal 33F from the surface to 950mb. That's not enough to cause complete melting. Should result in needles or columns, but not flat out rain.

Can you check for that info anywhere or just specific areas?

[Jesse]

Are you telling me winds flow towards the low? THIS IS BRAND NEW INFORMATION.

 

I thought you had either turned a new leaf or you were doing much better at hiding your trolling for the better part of this season. Now I'm realizing it's just because we didn't have any winter events for you to be able to happily troll. It's all becoming clearer now!

 

Anyways, you will retort that it's really me and I'm this crazy person and you just posted a couple snowy WSDOT cameras so you truly are a different person! Meanwhile, nothing will ever change and you'll continue to get kicks out of posting asinine things at the oddest of times just to piss people off. Given that and your message to me earlier asking me to be nicer to you I will say this is the last I comment I will give you the pleasure of being able to come up with a "I'm the victim" response. Good day, sir.

Dewey will see you in court.

[Front Ranger]

Yeah, not looking good for places below 600-700' or south of Whatcom County at this point.

 

I wouldn't go that far.

[wxmet]

Can you check for that info anywhere or just specific areas?

You can check anywhere given lat lon coordinates. One of the best features on Tropical Tidbits.

[jcmcgaffey]

I love how people have found a way to troll here and use the excuse that they are “just stating facts” as a shield. It’s all about timing and context. There are plenty of facts a person could state in the wrong place at the wrong time that could cause a lot of social awkwardness or get them a fight. Sure what they said is technically true, doesn’t mean they had to say it right then or in that company. Seems like common sense stuff, and it is.

I don’t feel like anyone has been really trolling if someone was just making up stuff just to bug people then I could see that. I appreciate the honest posts just as much as I do the hopeful ones with nothing to back them up. Makes it all fun. Unless I get screwed over.

[BLI snowman]

GFS shifted a bit towards the NAM for Tuesday night. Phases the northern and southern energy a bit better and stalls the front over OR. Not nearly as dynamic though, nor as far north with the CA low. 

[Deweydog]

Dewey will see you in court.

You guys just love feeding the beast...

[Kayla]

It has not climbed over 20 degrees at my house since February 4... Waking up to low single digits every morning. Currently light snow. Sounds like I'm walking on corn starch outside. Plowing the snow with the quad is like trying to plow baking flour.

 

Haha, can totally relate to that! Haven't been above 18 degrees since the 3rd with an average temp of -3F.

 

It's been brutal week to say the least.

[epiceast]

I love how people have found a way to troll here and use the excuse that they are “just stating facts” as a shield. It’s all about timing and context. There are plenty of facts a person could state in the wrong place at the wrong time that could cause a lot of social awkwardness or get them a fight. Sure what they said is technically true, doesn’t mean they had to say it right then or in that company. Seems like common sense stuff, and it is.

If you're gonna call Tim out, mention the devil by name.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Wait, did it? The front itself looks a bit closer to PDX this time. But that just might be me.

Here's the total rainfall through Tuesday 10pm from the 18z GFS and now the 00z GFS.

 

[Jesse]

I guess instead of gaslighting Tim, Silverton Tim, Frontrange Tim, and KVUO Snowman, I probably should be serious.

 

There hasn’t been a single run that was right, even that one guy jamming Euro frames down everyone’s throat was wrong. Cold will linger on and unless there is significant mixing at the surface, I am still holding onto hope.

Silverton Tim made me lol.

[TT-SEA]

Are you telling me winds flow towards the low? THIS IS BRAND NEW INFORMATION.

 

I thought you had either turned a new leaf or you were doing much better at hiding your trolling for the better part of this season. Now I'm realizing it's just because we didn't have any winter events for you to be able to happily troll. It's all becoming clearer now!

 

Anyways, you will retort that it's really me and I'm this crazy person and you just posted a couple snowy WSDOT cameras so you truly are a different person! Meanwhile, nothing will ever change and you'll continue to get kicks out of posting asinine things at the oddest of times just to piss people off. Given that and your message to me earlier asking me to be nicer to you I will say this is the last I comment I will give you the pleasure of being able to come up with a "I'm the victim" response. Good day, sir.

 

 

You are soooooooooo wound up.   

 

Good Lord.

 

How about attacking other people who are talking about wind or rain or whatever?   Half the posts on here are about that and not coming from me.   I have to follow your guidelines and post only what you like all the time?   This is so confusing.   I will need a list of topics you approve each morning.      

[Snowfreak]

Just picked up a fast 1.5".  Wow!! Took the dog for a walk and it hit about 5 min. after.  The heaviest windblown, wet sticky snow I have ever walked in.  I could barely see the end of my street!  Still coming down, temp 31.8.  Thinking 2" before the band passes east.

[Jesse]

GFS shifted a bit towards the NAM for Tuesday night. Phases the northern and southern energy a bit better and stalls the front over OR. Not nearly as dynamic though, nor as far north with the CA low.

Glad to hear that.

[MossMan]

Heavy snow still falling here. North breeze and 28.3 degrees. Should change to rain any moment.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Notice the ICON still drops the Friday-weekend trough in.