Deweydog Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 This is a pretty depressing setup for PDX. Glad to hear you guys are doing well up north. Hopefully everyone feels fully vindicated for 1/10/17.Drought busting is depressing??? My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 This is a pretty depressing setup for PDX. Glad to hear you guys are doing well up north. Hopefully everyone feels fully vindicated for 1/10/17. Didn't you just get 5.5" of snow the other night?! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Drought busting is depressing??? 2-4" of rain forecast for the lowlands. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Except the FV3 which shows Astoria staying as snow or sleet through tomorrow morning.You can't trust anything precip-related with that model lol. It has its strengths, but that's a major weakness. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 You can't trust anything precip-related with that model lol. It has its strengths, but that's a major weakness.what are its strengths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 So I guess it's gonna rain and snow at the same time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Moderate snow now in Tacoma. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Drought busting is depressing???That’s the one silver lining. Of course tons of eventual snowmelt would have been just as effective! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Snow increasing in rate here in Federal WayTemp is up to 33.7 with slight east wind. Expecting temps to begin to level off and drop slightly Nothing sticking yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Epic month for Seattle, but still a solid month for NW Oregon. 6.3" at PDX, a few inches at SLE, and probably the coldest February in decades...Not much to complain about. I want January 1950, but I will settle for what I can get... Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Hoquiam holding fast at 33 with NE wind. Definitely later switchover than expected there. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 :’( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 :’( 54C81E31-E7EF-4AC1-B1C8-A53CCD7EFACC.png Haven't you heard the song? They'll be back again someday... 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Driveway is ready to receive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 I absolutely love the fact we are having a real winter finally. Systems like this are classic PNW fare. TodayRain. High near 36. Breezy, with a south wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.TonightRain before 4am, then rain and snow. Low around 32. Windy, with a south wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.TuesdaySnow. High near 34. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.Tuesday NightSnow. Low around 31. South southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.WednesdaySnow likely before 10am, then snow showers likely after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Except the FV3 which shows Astoria staying as snow or sleet through tomorrow morning. I didn't see the 12z, but 6z FV3 showed this. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the Langley Hill radar look like it's showing the low coming in a little south of Hoquiam? And isn't that further south than forecast? It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 what are its strengths? Seems to be decent at large-scale pattern recognition, slightly better than GFS or CMC. Still not close to Euro, though. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XLVIII43to8 Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 I'm just imagining the piles of snow in parking lots, especially places like Costco, that are going to persist through March. Yea but you'd be surprised how a couple days of temps in the 50s with heavy rain can just decimate any snow left over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 High wind watch now for the Central Oregon Coast! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Besides dew points, you can get snow falling when air temps are as warm as 35f sometimes if mid-level atmosphere is cold. Snow will stay frozen down to the surface, it just won't stick. If the air is dry like when we have a dry cold east wind, you get evaporational cooling too that will help. Sometimes even with air temps at 36f you can get nice big flakes if the upper levels are really cold. They're endangered species obviously. I assumed it was that simple. Thanks!Really wanted to study meteorology in school, but my baseball scholarship offers didn't come from schools with that as a program. Had to choose one or the other. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the Langley Hill radar look like it's showing the low coming in a little south of Hoquiam? And isn't that further south than forecast?The low is nowhere near the coast, it is way off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the Langley Hill radar look like it's showing the low coming in a little south of Hoquiam? And isn't that further south than forecast? The low is still way offshore. That's just the warm front. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbustcity Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Snow starting to pick up to a moderate fall rate now in NE Seattle. Starting to see bigger flakes. Doesn't seem to be sticking quite yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 The Johnson here in PDX Metro is forecasted to crest and get above flood stage sometime Tuesday morning. Not good for the morning commute because lots of people take Foster to get to work, me included. I'll have to find an alternate way to work now. It's going to be a mess tomorrow morning getting into work with all the heavy rain. https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=syco3&wfo=pqr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 I notice Sea Tac is at 34. So probably not much more accumulating snow there for the time being. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 The Johnson here in PDX Metro is forecasted to crest and get above flood stage sometime Tuesday morning. Not good for the morning commute because lots of people take Foster to get to work, me included. I'll have to find an alternate way to work now. It's going to be a mess tomorrow morning getting into work with all the heavy rain. https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=syco3&wfo=pqr Hopefully it tuns to heavy snow during the commute. EURO shows midnight highs for W. Oregon, with afternoon temps only mid-30s along the I-5 corridor. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoodCanalBridge Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 First time caller, long time listener... Had flurries, then a transition to about 5 minutes of rain here and now back to small flaked snow. Temp gauge outside is showing 36... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 12z ECMWF did indeed trend a bit colder again in the long range. Another blast incoming at day 10. It never ends! Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 light snow in bothell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 12z ECMWF did indeed trend a bit colder again in the long range. Another blast incoming at day 10. It never ends! Cold in Cali too. Tim may point out this is a warm up from what we have seen and that is true. However, high temps on the 12z EURO average 42 at PDX and 43 at SLE and EUG. That is about 7-8 degrees below average. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Really pouring here. Fanno Creek right by my house might flood in to the road tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 I assumed it was that simple. Thanks!Really wanted to study meteorology in school, but my baseball scholarship offers didn't come from schools with that as a program. Had to choose one or the other.Where you playing ball? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Cold in Cali too. Tim may point out this is a warm up from what we have seen and that is true. However, high temps on the 12z EURO average 42 at PDX and 43 at SLE and EUG. That is about 7-8 degrees below average. The run overall is still colder than the 00z as well. Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbustcity Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Temps really shot up here in the past 30 minutes or so. Reporting 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Starting to snow at a decent clip here with weak ENE wind. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Where you playing ball? Bellevue College (took 2 meteorology classes there) and the Northwest Nazarene in Nampa, Idaho. Ended up drafted by the Phillies in the 27th round in 2015, so it worked out in the end, even though I never really pitched in a game as a pro. Had arm issues and came home 3 weeks after arriving in Florida. If you Google my name (Jake Reppert) you'll find a lot on me. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 12z ECMWF did indeed trend a bit colder again in the long range. Another blast incoming at day 10. It never ends! At least the WARM BLOB in the Pacific will be decimated by this continued cold. That bodes well for salmon, less algae blooms, dead loss, etc etc . This coming summer might actually resemble the summer's of old when I was a kid. Those summers were great 60's to 70's with some morning fog and no smoke to speak of..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 I notice Sea Tac is at 34. So probably not much more accumulating snow there for the time being. Depends on precip intensity. DP is still in the 20s. That being said, the timing of this is less than ideal for accumulations. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 When you dive into the details of the FV3-GFS it's easy to see why it sustains snow over the Central Sound. It shows a strong pressure gradient eastwind prevailing in the PBL (hinted by the ECMWF 12z to a certain degree) which promotes CAA from the east. The WAA inversion never gets above freezing. These are the types of things can throw wrenches into the forecast. We'll have to see how this transpires over the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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