November 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[BLI snowman]

Definitely a bit colder though.

 

Yeah, maybe some baby steps. 

[Winterdog]

The last two days have been different...ever since the drop in DP’s it has been extra quiet outside...not sure if the animals are hanging low or what but it is just different right now.

I know what you mean. I swear I heard a chickadee fart near the bird feeder early this morning.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Better than nothing.

[Jesse]

Looks like PDX scored a -2F departure today.

[TT-SEA]

Rain is farther south on Tuesday on this run... 

 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Friend of mine that lives in the Bellingham area lost power and is currently running generator power. He said it is blowing pretty good up there.

 

 

Yeah we lost power at about 10:45 or so but it was not due to the storm, it was due to a driver who thought that a power pole would do better at a 45 degree angle rather than the 90 degree angle the Power Company set them at.  Didn't get power back until 4:45, and unfortunately I don't have a battery backup for my weather station so I didn't get any wind readings :-/  We definitely had a few gusts that would have been at least at the 34mph we got early in the morning.

[TT-SEA]

Front on Thursday does not split on this run...

 

[GHweatherChris]

Rain is farther south on Tuesday on this run...

 

Who is looking at Tuesday?

[TT-SEA]

Who is looking at Tuesday?

 

 

I am... looking for moisture which will bring mountain snow.  

[GHweatherChris]

I am... looking for mountain snow.

No need to post that though, just screenshot it.

[TT-SEA]

No need to post that though, just screenshot it.

 

 

On my laptop... phone is dead.  That would be the same thing though.

[luvssnow_spokane]

A little better 

[ShawniganLake]

Front on Thursday does not split on this run...

 

Looks like something that would have low snow levels on eastern Vancouver Island.

[TT-SEA]

Mountain snow with Thursday front...

 

[Front Ranger]

2004-05 vibe is quite strong meow

Low solar will help Jan 2005 redux become what it could have been.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF definitely shows less splitting with the trough late next week... similar to what it showed a couple days ago.

[Deweydog]

[Omegaraptor]

Does anyone know how low solar affects UHI?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

28F and freezing fog.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Front on Thursday does not split on this run...

 

Finally some needed rain.

[BLI snowman]

Low solar will help Jan 2005 redux become what it could have been.

 

Unquestionably should shave at least two degrees off the temps. 

 

That 66 on 1/18 is looking a bit 64-ey.

[TT-SEA]

Finally some needed rain.

 

 

We will see if it holds... something tells me future runs might go back to more splitting with that trough. 

 

Decent dump of mountain snow on this run.  

[Timmy Supercell]

I'm going to take an edible. Look Tim, I found mountain snow. 

 

 

What is a dome doing in southern Klamath County 

[jakeinthevalley]

Sitting here in Sunriver, sipping a bourbon in front of the fireplace.

 

19f outside with 6 inches on the ground. Well over a foot in Sisters on the way over. Even Bend had around 10"

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 now at K-Falls. Could see some impressive temps in Central Oregon later this week. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF was a nice improvement. If this solution were to be right that ridge offshore would be beaten down quickly. After Day 5-6 the pattern becomes quite progressive and may open the door to a strong jet, wind storm and mt. snow pattern.

 

Here are two Day 7-10 GIFs showing that.

 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Both the 00z GEFS/CMCE shows the Gorge, Columbia Basin locked in low level arctic air with 850s at -8c through December 1st. The strong east wind this weekend will pull in cold air to at least give PDX metro a low chance for some brief snow 2-7 AM Sunday assuming there's moisture. Details are going to change the next few days. C'MON!!!

 

00z EPS 47 minutes (Pivotal)

12z GFS 7 hours 47 minutes

[Requiem]

Both the 00z GEFS/CMCE shows the Gorge, Columbia Basin locked in low level arctic air with 850s at -8c through December 1st. The strong east wind this weekend will pull in cold air to at least give PDX metro a low chance for some brief snow 2-7 AM Sunday assuming there's moisture. Details are going to change the next few days. C'MON!!!

 

00z EPS 47 minutes (Pivotal)

12z GFS 7 hours 47 minutes

 

Definitely the coldest east wind we've seen yet this weekend (and possibly the strongest in the Gorge).

[Gradient Keeper]

Happy Thanksgiving

 

Temp 38.8, Gusty east winds now roaring at times. Near West Gresham.

[ShawniganLake]

Abbotsford has been gusting 40mph+ for 12 hours. Dew point down to 7

[ShawniganLake]

Nino 3.4 is tanking.

[Gradient Keeper]

Nino 3.4 is tanking.

I'd say so right off a cliff.

 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z EPS looks EXACTLY like the Op run. Remarkable agreement for a big Aleutian low to make an appearance.

 

Day 7-10.

 

[Gradient Keeper]

I'd say so right off a cliff.

 

Nino 4 is also

 

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Wishing you all a "Happy Thanksgiving" from Canada, love this time of the year feels like the official start of the Christmas season. let's hope it's like a switch that turns things around for all of us with mountain snows and lowland cold and snow as well. I must say this Fraser river out flow is very under performing. only sitting at 33f winds are still gusting to 30kmh dewpoint is -11c humidity is 42% there's just no bite to this. The one in Oct. was awesome for that early. oh well hope for a pattern reset come Dec. 

[FroYoBro]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pdx down to 37.

 

 

 

Eugene and Salem have hit 23 and 27 respectively this morning. 

[Jbolin]

Happy Thanksgiving you insufferable bastards. 

I truly can't think of a more dysfunctional group of a******* I'd want to be a part of.

[FroYoBro]

Eugene and Salem have hit 23 and 27 respectively this morning.

Nice! Tonight should be even colder.

[BLI snowman]

SEA utterly refuses to hit freezing.