January 2020 Observations & Discussion

[james1976]

Actually I shouldn't say "pivot zone" but the forcing is pretty hot just north of the 20 corridor. Really feeding into my backyard. This helps make up for lackluster winter so far.

[Niko]

NOAA just put me in a WWA for light snow and freezing drizzle. UGH! That is until 9am.

[Hawkeye]

0.7" total here from only 0.04" liquid.

[OmahaSnowFan]

I know it’s long term and the GFS, but after next Friday/Saturday’s system it looks pretty quiet.

Also not seeing any signs of significant locked in cold.

[james1976]

3.5" now. Still snowing lightly

[Grizzcoat]

1.4" from this event. Not bad. With the 4" from Friday have nearly 5" of snow on the ground. In a normal winter nothing to brag about.; In this winter it feels like a record event.

[Tom]

While I was making some coffee, I looked out the window and it looked almost misty and I thought to myself, that can't be fog....no, it's snowing!  Gotta tell ya, it's been rather nice waking up in the morning and finally seeing snow OTG and the white landscape.  Gosh I love snow!  The brown grass and vegetation was getting old.  These are the small things in life that I appreciate each and every day.

 

Current conditions at Chicago, Chicago-O'Hare International Airport (KORD)Lat: 41.98°NLon: 87.9°WElev: 666ft.

Light Snow Fog/Mist

32°F

0°C

[Tom]

As they say, your patience will be rewarded and none more so than what I'm about to show you.  I've long believed this years LRC pattern had all the perks and plays to deliver an active, cold and wintry pattern once the cold air became entrenched across North America and the U.S. Earlier this month it became bottled up across our neighbors to the north but now it is heading south.  We have all been waiting for the "stars to align" and that is now clearly happening in the many variables I look at. 

 

 

With that being said, the maps I look for LR clues are the 10mb Strat maps and so are the 00z GEFS showing rising heights in the d10 range and beyond that suggest to me the models will trend will massive blocking across NW NAMER into N & C Canada in the extended.  Why is this important???  It's important in many ways but the missing link we have not had thus far this season was a southern storm track.  Is this a clue that the "Southern Stream" Dream pattern is going to come together during the last 2 full weeks of the month???  I say yes and the models are beginning to sniff out some big time hits for our southern members and that's including Andie & OkWx.  The most powerful storm systems in the LRC are due later this month into Feb, right when the jet reaches its peak strength/intensity, yet another piece to this puzzle that the southern stream will ignite later this month as the seasonal shift in the jet will come into play.

 

Last nights 00z EPS certainly is sniffing out the cold pressing in the Week 1-2 range along with the next potential big storm that I foresee developing across the S Plains and tracking up the OHV.  In the GEFS 10mp maps, you can see the lower heights across the southern tier of the CONUS and that to me spells a southern storm track.  Giddy up!

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Money]

Ended up well over 3 inches of snow overnight

 

More than the hyped up storm last week.

[St Paul Storm]

Ended with 2” here. Made a mess of the morning commute. Another 1-3” expected tonight.

[jaster220]

GRR

 

323 AM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Patchy freezing drizzle. Ice accumulations of a light
glaze are possible.

 

WRONG!!!  (we actually got about 1/2" of wet snow instead which was a nice bust on their part and made this morning's commute much less hassle then may have been with Frizzle. It actually looked like winter here (for a NY minute).

[East Dubzz]

Got maybe half an inch last night. Nice to see snow, but the forecast was very much overdone. 

[Minny_Weather]

Another overnight dusting. I haven't seen falling snow since November 11 because all I have gotten since then are overnight dustings.

[Andie]

Woke to fog and drizzle this morning. 47*

[james1976]

My total from last night was 3.5". The forecast was 2-3" so I did really well. Nice to have snow OTG finally!

[Niko]

Nice little surprise. Ma Nature dropped O.5" of snow last nite. Beautiful scenery outside and "NO ICE FELL" at all. Currently, at 32F w no wind at all.

[jaster220]

Hey jaster, what Radar is that?

 

Weather Underground's "WonderMap" set to dark mode. You can save your settings, at least most of them. 

[jaster220]

Nice little surprise. Ma Nature dropped O.5" of snow last nite. Beautiful scenery outside and "NO ICE FELL" at all. Currently, at 32F w no wind at all.

 

It was a nice surprise, eh? Looked like winter across the countryside this early morning. Hopefully a hint of things to come around our region!

[Niko]

It was a nice surprise, eh? Looked like winter across the countryside this early morning. Hopefully a hint of things to come around our region!

Yes sir! It was awesome seeing the "White Gold" again. It actually felt like January.

 

Indeed, as you posted above amigo, hopefully, a harbinger of things to come w the late week major snowstorm.

[Stacsh]

Looks like we got a week or 2 of winter coming up after this next weekend storm.  Hope it produces some snow.  Could be quiet and cold after that.  

[westMJim]

After this mornings 1/4 inch of snow Grand Rapids should now be over the one inch mark for the month of January 2020. And now with the 22" for the season GR is only 16" below the average snow fall as of this date. 32 here at this time with just over a half inch of sleet and snow on the ground.

[westMJim]

For anyone who was wondering what several inches of snow on the ground looks like here are some pictures from Munising 

 

 

https://www.exploremunising.com/web-cams/

[Niko]

Roads are slippery outside w temps not moving much. At 34F.

[Mi_Matthew]

The midweek system is a bit more juiced up on the last couple model runs, nothing like the GFS was showing last week, but still could be a bit of a surprise for some.

[jaster220]

The midweek system is a bit more juiced up on the last couple model runs, nothing like the GFS was showing last week, but still could be a bit of a surprise for some.

 

Could trend back more favorably, eh? When things turn a corner pattern-wise, all of a sudden even duds will improve

[OKwx2k4]

As they say, your patience will be rewarded and none more so than what I'm about to show you. I've long believed this years LRC pattern had all the perks and plays to deliver an active, cold and wintry pattern once the cold air became entrenched across North America and the U.S. Earlier this month it became bottled up across our neighbors to the north but now it is heading south. We have all been waiting for the "stars to align" and that is now clearly happening in the many variables I look at.

 

 

With that being said, the maps I look for LR clues are the 10mb Strat maps and so are the 00z GEFS showing rising heights in the d10 range and beyond that suggest to me the models will trend will massive blocking across NW NAMER into N & C Canada in the extended. Why is this important??? It's important in many ways but the missing link we have not had thus far this season was a southern storm track. Is this a clue that the "Southern Stream" Dream pattern is going to come together during the last 2 full weeks of the month??? I say yes and the models are beginning to sniff out some big time hits for our southern members and that's including Andie & OkWx. The most powerful storm systems in the LRC are due later this month into Feb, right when the jet reaches its peak strength/intensity, yet another piece to this puzzle that the southern stream will ignite later this month as the seasonal shift in the jet will come into play.

 

Last nights 00z EPS certainly is sniffing out the cold pressing in the Week 1-2 range along with the next potential big storm that I foresee developing across the S Plains and tracking up the OHV. In the GEFS 10mp maps, you can see the lower heights across the southern tier of the CONUS and that to me spells a southern storm track. Giddy up!

Well, let the battle begin then.

Be interesting to see what happens down here. Could go equally either way. Gut feeling us that we do get one more hard cold wave before the pattern "clears the deck" to close it out.

 

The grass growing and wild onion in my yard already would tell me otherwise. May be an early spring here in the south.

[dubuque473]

Got maybe half an inch last night. Nice to see snow, but the forecast was very much overdone. 

I was pretty close to an inch now that I shoveled.  At least we have a nice little snowpack now.

[Stormhunter87]

Be interested what effects there are from the Taal eruption

[Hawkeye]

I haven't even been paying attention to the expected surface temps over the next week.  The latest Euro has our temp in the teens when the snow begins Friday morning, so the snow will be pretty dry and fluffy.  By afternoon and evening the temp rises, but only into the mid 20s.  This is all after a very cold Thursday, so all the surfaces will be nice and cold this time.

 

The Euro also has high temps below zero in Iowa Sunday and Monday.  I did not realize it was supposed to get that cold behind the system.

[Tom]

18z NAM for tomorrow...

 

 

 

[Niko]

Attm, cloudy w temps in the 30s.  There are some slippery spots out there, especially, secondary roads.

[MIKEKC]

Almost 50 degrees here in KC today, really took off in the last hour. The 1-3 inches of snow that fell this last Saturday is almost gone. Amazing! Can’t keep a snow pack more then 3 days here.

[jaster220]

The Wed wave looking stronger, which is a good sign for getting a colder air mass to set-up shop for the Thur/Fri system. Trends are our friend 

[Money]

It’s going north!

[james1976]

Local met has 1-2 and iso 3" for tonight. Nice!

[james1976]

I've just been put in a WWA for up to 2" of snow and light glaze of ice.

[Clinton]

Hit 47 today and most of my snow is gone. 

[St Paul Storm]

WWA just issued for the metro. 1-4” of snow (higher end in W WI) followed by a light glaze of ice. A few heavier snow bands have already moved through.

[jaster220]

Hit 47 today and most of my snow is gone. 

 

That'll be my Wed (if not tomorrow). Wouldn't be winter 2019-20 if we didn't torch between snows..

[hlcater]

Interesting band of mostly snow traversing across the state. Not very wide, but could drop a DAB if it holds together.