SnarkyGoblin Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 NAM 00z looks further south with the arctic front on Sunday.maps? pivotalweather doesn't have the 00z up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 A seasonably cool 36/30 here today. Currently 32 with the moon shining through high clouds. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 maps? pivotalweather doesn't have the 00z up yet.I’m on mobile at the moment but the maps are up. Good on the back side especially south Sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Looks like the nws Seattle says 1-2 inches of snow in the higher east puget sound lowlands and hood canal/Olympia areas. Other areas trace-1 inch for tonight. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 NAM 00z looks further south with the arctic front on Sunday.NAM keeps trying to track that low further South near Seattle. 00z is no different. Like a 12 hour stalled CZ/Arctic front in the South Sound on the 00z NAM too. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Moisture coming in to the coast. Already pretty cold up in Seattle with the moon popping out. Thinking it might cool down enough before this moisture comes in.Virga for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Hour (3)84 on the NAM looks GOOD! 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Virga for nowThe real phantom snow!! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Mark?Good for now. Factor in widespread snowcover, persistent low level arctic cold Gorge, Columbia Basin with east winds we'll end up colder than that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 NAM keeps trying to track that low further South near Seattle. 00z is no different. Like a 12 hour stalled CZ/Arctic front in the South Sound on the 00z NAM too. Let’s stall that bad boy in northern Snohomish Co!! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Let’s stall that bad boy in northern Snohomish Co!!You shut yo mouth! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Some snow in PDX by 10 PM Sunday on the NAM. 18z GFS shows that tooToo much shadowing to be much more than some intermittent snow showers probably but nice to see the arctic front is only that many hours out from PDX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Some snow in PDX by 10 PM Sunday on the NAM. 18z GFS shows that tooToo much shadowing to be much more than some intermittent snow showers probably but nice to see the arctic front is only that many hours out from PDX Wow the NAM is aggressive with the arctic air. NAM doing NAM things. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Good for now. Factor in widespread snowcover, persistent low level arctic cold Gorge, Columbia Basin with east winds we'll end up colder than that.That would indicate some warmer air overhead Thurs if there's a chance of ZR. Zaffino says rain and 37 Friday. Nelsen won't go to Friday yet. Is there warmer air coming in aloft or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Anybody got any NAM bait? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That would indicate some warmer air overhead Thurs if there's a chance of ZR. Zaffino says rain and 37 Friday. Nelsen won't go to Friday yet. Is there warmer air coming in aloft or not?Man, one or two systems at a time. The models can't even figure out Sunday night yet. https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 https://komonews.com/news-brief-newsletter/if-youre-not-ready-get-ready-seattle-prepares-for-potential-snow-storm Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That would indicate some warmer air overhead Thurs if there's a chance of ZR. Zaffino says rain and 37 Friday. Nelsen won't go to Friday yet. Is there warmer air coming in aloft or not? 850s are shown to warm yes, but the 18z GEFS for NEXT Friday the 19th has 850s -3c PDX, The Dalles -4c Yakima -8c. That's still a signature for backdoor low level cold. Will there be a warm nose, finger, tongue at 900-950 mb though? My thoughts are as long as the east wind continues to blast low level arctic air through the Gorge PDX will remain in a Winter wonderland. We'll see! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That would indicate some warmer air overhead Thurs if there's a chance of ZR. Zaffino says rain and 37 Friday. Nelsen won't go to Friday yet. Is there warmer air coming in aloft or not?There are five possible answers to your question. One of them is correct: A. No, NAM extrapolations assure this won’t be the case.B. Yes, because Tim is still allowed to roam the land a free man.C. We don’t know yet.D. No, east wind density will simply be too abundant.E. Yes, Fridays are designated warm nose days in 2020. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 There are five possible answers to your question. One of them is correct: A. No, NAM extrapolations assure this won’t be the case.B. Yes, because Tim is still allowed to roam the land a free man.C. We don’t know yet.D. No, east wind density will simply be too abundant.E. Yes, Fridays are designated warm nose days in 2020.The answer is always C. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Some snow in PDX by 10 PM Sunday on the NAM. 18z GFS shows that tooToo much shadowing to be much more than some intermittent snow showers probably but nice to see the arctic front is only that many hours out from PDX Hmmmmmm, February 18 2018 was also a Sunday evening and dropped up to half a foot in parts of PDX. Maybe we can have another event like that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Point forecast for next week looks good. MondaySnow. Cloudy, with a high near 36.Monday NightSnow. Cloudy, with a low around 29.TuesdaySnow showers likely, mainly before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32.Tuesday NightA chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.WednesdaySnow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 29.Wednesday NightSnow. Cloudy, with a low around 22.ThursdaySnow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 35. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 32.1 here. Snow looks like a good bet tonight for many places. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Man, one or two systems at a time. The models can't even figure out Sunday night yet.Hey, just basing it on what Mark posted and compared it to 850's and they didnt seem to match up. Its what we do, right?Ok, I see some -3's for PDX. Didn't see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 32.1 here. Snow looks like a good bet tonight for many placesYou'll probably get several inches. 35/33 here currently so could be at least a little interesting between about 3 AM and 7 AM. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 NAM keeps trying to track that low further South near Seattle. 00z is no different. Like a 12 hour stalled CZ/Arctic front in the South Sound on the 00z NAM too. Sounds fun! Most models swing the low through about the center (latitudinal center) of WA and precip almost instantly turns to snow on the back side of the low. The EPSL usually does good with backwash. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Hmmmmmm, February 18 2018 was also a Sunday evening and dropped up to half a foot in parts of PDX. Maybe we can have another event like that one.That was a lovely morning! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 You'll probably get several inches.Yeah anxious to see how the radar lights up.The mm5 has been consistent showing about 4 inches here. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Hey, just basing it on what Mark posted and compared it to 850's and they didnt seem to match up. Its what we do, right? 850s are shown to warm yes, but the 18z GEFS for NEXT Friday the 19th has 850s -3c PDX, The Dalles -4c Yakima -8c. That's still a signature for backdoor low level cold. Will there be a warm nose, finger, tongue at 900-950 mb though? My thoughts are as long as the east wind continues to blast low level arctic air through the Gorge PDX will remain in a Winter wonderland. We'll see!Well if there's a warm tongue, it will park over my house. Never fails. Hope it doesn't linger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 There are five possible answers to your question. One of them is correct: A. No, NAM extrapolations assure this won’t be the case.B. Yes, because Tim is still allowed to roam the land a free man.C. We don’t know yet.D. No, east wind density will simply be too abundant.E. Yes, Fridays are designated warm nose days in 2020.B! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 32.8 here now. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 OOz looks good so far. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That low at hr 246 comes in 50 mi Ike’s south. We are buried!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS is running! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Before the potentially crazy stuff next week-- tomorrow EURO shows gusts of around 50 mph in PDX, GFS and NAM a bit less so. Blustery anyhow. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 NAM keeps trying to track that low further South near Seattle. 00z is no different. Like a 12 hour stalled CZ/Arctic front in the South Sound on the 00z NAM too.Arctic front can never overstay it’s welcome at my place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Would be awesome to get an inch tomorrow morning in the udist. Unlikely, but you bet I’ll be watching those flakes fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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