MikeInEverett Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 That one went to my old house instead!I went full on weenie mode after that one lol 1 Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not often you see this strong a CZ signature on the GFS. 4 PM to 10 PM precip : qpf_006h.us_city_sea.pngPretty stoke about this, the CZ has its own mind and do whatever it wants due to its convective nature, no models is gonna be certain of what it'll do. The fact that it's signalling some heavy showers will surprise many. I can't wait to see how this plays out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 regardless, no one cares about the weather in your neck of the woods. And I mean that in the nicest wayI care about my weather so that's not nobody... In all seriousness I get what you're saying, and that's fine, this is a PNW forum after all. I'm mainly here for the model analysis and, since the SW is not that far from the PNW we do have some pattern similarities. If you don't want to read my posts about Tucson then put me on ignore, I couldn't care less, but some others might be interested, I know I find weather/climate interesting all over the world. Just my 2 cents 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Down to 35.8 with chunks. .67” on the day. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 So I noticed today (and several folks on FB noticed the same thing) that Amazon Prime is showing Thursday as the soonest for any deliveries up here. Never seen that before... 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I care about my weather so that's no nobody... In all seriousness I get what you're saying, and that's fine, this is a PNW forum after all. I'm mainly here for the model analysis and, since the SW is not that far from the PNW we do have some pattern similarities. If you don't want to read my posts about Tucson then put me on ignore, I couldn't care less, but some others might be interested, I know I find weather/climate interesting all over the world. Just my 2 centsI get where you are coming from, but this is a forum related to nw weather, and we are in the height of the fun season here. Your posts may be received better in slower times of the year here. You are writing a recipe for everyone to hate you by interrupting this time of year with weather from Tucson... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 That one went to my old house instead!Got like 6" with that Arctic Front! Was pleasantly surprised! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I get where you are coming from, but this is a forum related to nw weather, and we are in the height of the fun season here. Your posts may be received better in slower times of the year here. You are writing a recipe for everyone to hate you by interrupting this time of year with weather from Tucson...Like I said. You can put me on ignore if my posts bother you that much (this forum does have an ignore feature right?). If anything I would think seeing my posts would make you even more thankful to live where you do. My winters are far warmer and less snowy than what you guys get. Shows it can always be worse lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 does the bigmac guy still post here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 does the bigmac guy still post here?That's Bryant now. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 PDX NWS The northern Willamette valley has potential ofgetting 2-5 inches of snow Wednesday afternoon through Thursdaymorning. With cold air damming, heavier accumulations likely towardsBanks/Forest Grove, as well as Hood River Valley. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 does the bigmac guy still post here?TheNewBigMac! Bryant! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I get where you are coming from, but this is a forum related to nw weather, and we are in the height of the fun season here. Your posts may be received better in slower times of the year here. You are writing a recipe for everyone to hate you by interrupting this time of year with weather from Tucson... You remind me so much of me sometimes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I get where you are coming from, but this is a forum related to nw weather, and we are in the height of the fun season here. Your posts may be received better in slower times of the year here. You are writing a recipe for everyone to hate you by interrupting this time of year with weather from Tucson...Not that I'm the final word, but I personally I don't see where its a problem as long has he recognizes its a PNW forum.....hell we have someone from Maryland and someone from Colorado posting here, Bozeman MT, and probably a couple of other places I am not aware of. Anyway, they throw out the occasional observation about their area and its no bid deal. So maybe chill out and lay off the guy! He's kinda screwed regarding the forum for his location, and as this current weather cycle perfectly illustrates, the PNW is a particularly challenging place to forecast at times, which is a weather weenies paradise! I think he had the perfect suggestion that if you really have a problem with it this forum is conveniently equipped with an "ignore" feature. 5 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 All the way down to...42F Rainy out there. Right now they are measuring snow by the FEET in the Cascade mountains. Not inches, lol! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Perhaps I will wake up tomorrow morning and everything will be white39* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not that I'm the final word, but I personally I don't see where its a problem as long has he recognizes its a PNW forum..... I agree that it's fine to have him posting over here since we have people from other locations posting on this subforum. Although the difference is that when they do, they are generally giving their input on our local weather. The confusion arises when said poster makes a comment like "Wow the 18Z GFS looks way worse for snow" without any sort of qualifier indicating they are talking about southern Arizona as opposed to the western lowlands of Oregon and Washington. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I agree that it's fine to have him posting over here since we have people from other locations posting on this subforum. Although the difference is that when they do, they are generally giving their input on our local weather. The confusion arises when said poster makes a comment like "Wow the 18Z GFS looks way worse for snow" without any sort of qualifier indicating they are talking about southern Arizona as opposed to the western lowlands of Oregon and Washington. This I completely agree with. If he could clarify when he;s talking about the PNW and when he's talking about Arizona it would be very helpful. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I agree that it's fine to have him posting over here since we have people from other locations posting on this subforum. Although the difference is that when they do, they are generally giving their input on our local weather. The confusion arises when said poster makes a comment like "Wow the 18Z GFS looks way worse for snow" without any sort of qualifier indicating they are talking about southern Arizona as opposed to the western lowlands of Oregon and Washington. Good point, and AJ seems like a sharp enough individual to pick up on that and keep that in mind for future posts. That said, hopefully he can learn from all of the analysis here and take that knowledge to apply as he looks at the models for his own area. 4 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Positive splat test about an hour ago. Now just looks like like drizzle again. Cold air boundary appears to be around 100 Mile House. 26° in Cache Creek and 9° in Williams Lake. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Aj seems to have a passion for the weather on here and he doesn’t have anybody to talk with it about on the other forum. As long he explains his posts more and clarifies what he means, he should definitely stay. Everybody is here to learn and expand their Weather knowledge 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 How about that 00z GEM? C'MON!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 WRF is strange all around... it shows the c-zone pushing south right through King County early tomorrow evening and then shows absolutely no snow through 84 hours. The GFS operational shows the c-zone hanging up north tomorrow night and then shows light snow lingering around for Monday and Tuesday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 How about that 00z GEM? C'MON!!! Shifted quite a bit south with that next storm compared to its 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 WRF is strange all around... it shows the c-zone pushing south right through King County early tomorrow evening and then shows absolutely no snow through 84 hours. The GFS operational shows the c-zone hanging up north tomorrow night and then shows light snow lingering around for Monday and Tuesday.WRF tends to really struggle in situations like this. Usually underestimates precip and give us dry outflow too quickly. Probably the case this time as well. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I almost wonder if we got hacked. The forum acted really weird for a bit. I was gone for a while, that seems kinda strange? Wasn't feeling great, have a lot of posts to catch up on!!! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I love the Calvin and Hobbes snow panels. I always wanted to emulate them when I was growing up. 3 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 WRF is strange all around... it shows the c-zone pushing south right through King County early tomorrow evening and then shows absolutely no snow through 84 hours. The GFS operational shows the c-zone hanging up north tomorrow night and then shows light snow lingering around for Monday and Tuesday. Boundary isn't strong enough IMO for there to be that much dry air advection behind it. These slow saggy arctic boundaries tend to see the lift and moisture hang around a lot longer, like the operational shows. South and Central Sound will probably see frequent snow showers throughout Monday and into Tuesday. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Snowed about an inch earlier, most of which melted. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro through 10 PM Sunday: 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Like this one: Or this one: 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro through 10 PM Sunday: sn10_006h.us_city_sea.pngDon't be stingy with just your area lol!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro through 10 PM Sunday: sn10_006h.us_city_sea.png I would love it if this happened. Shows 2-3" over my house. And agrees with the NAM (at least in Skagit County). Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro through 10 PM Sunday: sn10_006h.us_city_sea.png Yeah... was just going to post that. ECMWF insists on northern position and its does not really move south. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I am upping my potential totals here to 2 to 16 inches for the week now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Don't be stingy with just your area lol!! Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro for 4 pm Monday shows Portland at 35 with a rain/snow mix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Boundary isn't strong enough IMO for there to be that much dry air advection behind it. These slow saggy arctic boundaries tend to see the lift and moisture hang around a lot longer, like the operational shows. South and Central Sound will probably see frequent snow showers throughout Monday and into Tuesday. Yeah... WRF makes no sense. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Looks a little weaker but same general placement. By 5AM Monday... Just getting kissed by the purple! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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