Jesse Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Certainly was significantly better for the mountains, but there wasn't anything remotely consequential here locally in the valley pit of despair. No significant storms, snow, and until last night not even a single freeze. Hard not to feel like we just entirely wasted what was probably our only real window for fun this winter.I get it. I guess my expectations were never very high in the first place. I was honestly sort of expecting a chillyish dullsville January alá 2013. What we have seen the first half so far has been a lot more interesting than that IMO. At least regionally. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Regardless of the differing snow totals, I think we can all agree the GFS did horribly for temps. Juuuuuust a bit outside.... GFS ended up only being off by 31° for Seattle's morning low temp today ������ Predicted 6 for today from last Thursday's run. It was 37. pic.twitter.com/6DpwGQeDb1— Scott Sistek (@ScottSKOMO) January 15, 2020 Wow I have no faith in that model. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 It is flurrying here in Salem. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 20 miles West of Salem. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Looks like this band of moisture could spread some snow up the valley. Warming south winds behind it though. Still 30 at SLE, but 37 at Eugene. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Definitely was hoping we would do better in Tacoma with this cold snap. However..we got 1.5" of snow which is better than many winters...maybe a bit more today. Still out here in port orchard today and tomorrow we will see if it gets interesting here. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Seems we’ve been in a fairly active pattern with a ton of mountain snow since the new year. That’s a pattern you are always complaining about not seeing and now that we’ve had one it’s as if it didn’t even happen.It was really an epic storm on Mt Hood. Skiing is great right now. But Portland got screwed yet again and now the GFS is forecasting split flow which is concerning considering how long split flow tends to last. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Coldest day we managed in Tacoma was a 35/28 day yesterday. Should end up being 4 sub 40 days in a row. Overall not terrible. Going to be out on the peninsula again this weekend to see if more snow falls to make me feel better about Tacoma missing out. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 I get it. I guess my expectations were never very high in the first place. I was honestly sort of expecting a chillyish dullsville January alá 2013. What we have seen the first half so far has been better than that IMO. At least regionally. Locally it's been a mildish sort of dullsville. If we're just talking Portland area weather it's certainly been a stretch to forget. We're running +4 to +5 anomalies this month and tracking just about average for precip with a much drier stretch upcoming. Can't lower our standards too much, even here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Should at least see some brief snow with this little band before the south wind of death surges. Enough for a dusting maybe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Powerful looking! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 20 miles West of Salem. Ah good ol' Butcher Hill. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 I cannot believe someone who says they like cold weather thinks this January has been better regionally than January 2013. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 I cannot believe someone who says they like cold weather thinks this January has been better regionally than January 2013. It has been here. Got a total of 17 inches for this whole event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12Z ECMWF snow through 9 p.m. I have not been tracking this for Portland... but this definitely shows snow down there in the next 12 hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12Z ECMWF snow through 9 p.m. I have not been tracking this for Portland... but this definitely shows snow down there in the next 12 hours. I think 1 to 3 inches of snow is likely here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 This winter could definitely have been a lot worse is all I've gotta say. Was significantly wetter and lots of mountain snow the last month. Overall Seattle did better than Portland in terms of snowfall and rainfall it seems. Still 1/2 of January and February to go though. If we are throwing around January 2005 and 2011 as analogs for this bust...I'd be quick to remind everyone that the following Februaries BOTH featured snowfall here after massive rug pulls those years. There's still February! 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12Z ECMWF snow through 9 p.m. I have not been tracking this for Portland... but this definitely shows snow down there in the next 12 hours. So almost another inch today it looks like. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Models want to hang onto that cold air in Clark County. You guys might get some slop on the ground! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR. HEATMISER Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12Z ECMWF snow through 9 p.m. I have not been tracking this for Portland... but this definitely shows snow down there in the next 12 hours. Looks like more blue and purple lies! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 So almost another inch today it looks like. Remember... the ECMWF does not consider the 'Randy Factor' so you can probably multiply that total by 3 or 4. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 I cannot believe someone who says they like cold weather thinks this January has been better regionally than January 2013.The mountain snow has made it worth it. We were due. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Should at least see some brief snow with this little band before the south wind of death surges. Enough for a dusting maybe. Yeah, probably a one shot deal here for anything. I'm basically looking ahead to Thursday night at this point, which seems to be our last little glimmer of opportunity for something if we can get some precip. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12Z ECMWF snow through 9 p.m. I have not been tracking this for Portland... but this definitely shows snow down there in the next 12 hours. Clark county has consistently looked relatively decent for this. Washington county isn't horrible either, maybe a trace in areas further west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Powerful looking! There might be places surprised with snow. That storm is pulling in some seriously cold air. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurston Howell III Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 Definitely was hoping we would do better in Tacoma with this cold snap. However..we got 1.5" of snow which is better than many winters...maybe a bit more today. Still out here in port orchard today and tomorrow we will see if it gets interesting here.Depends on what part of Port Orchard. West side usually gets a lot more snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 You were due for a good event. I remember you being just too far south for a majority of the action the past few years I've lived here in Glenhaven. This will be my last winter here because I'm forced to sell, and I'll miss it. Fücking ex wives I tell ya Yeah it's been a hard couple of years for snow here. I mean last year wasn't too bad, but it was a shame to miss out on higher totals of snow during such a historic year. And then you have to go back to 2011 and then 2008 to have a respectable year out here, or even a single storm snowfall greater than 3". I just hope I don't have to wait another 9 years before this happens again, but thrilled with what looked like it could be a nonevent just a few days ago. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 ECMWF looks to light on precip but it also showed me getting 1 inch of snow yesterday and I got 4. Did pretty good in the straight but still off by a bunch. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 ECMWF looks to light on precip but it also showed me getting 1 inch of snow yesterday and I got 4. Did pretty good in the straight but still off by a bunch.I am hoping the Chehalis Gap works its magic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 ECMWF looks to light on precip but it also showed me getting 1 inch of snow yesterday and I got 4. Did pretty good in the straight but still off by a bunch.You live in an area capable of surprises. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 So the ECMWF also shows some above-freezing type snow around western WA for the next 3 mornings. Including a decent amount in what appears to be a c-zone for Randy on Friday morning... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 It was really an epic storm on Mt Hood. Skiing is great right now. But Portland got screwed yet again and now the GFS is forecasting split flow which is concerning considering how long split flow tends to last.Seems like just a few days ago you were talking about how all long term snowpack fears had been assuaged. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 So the ECMWF also shows some above-freezing type snow around western WA for the next 3 mornings. Including a decent amount in what appears to be a c-zone for Randy on Friday morning.... Alright, I've had about enough of Randy's shenanigans. Did you sell your soul to the snow devil or something? 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z Euro shows some snow over the EPSL Thursday evening/night. can you post this same map just showing precip not snow please. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z Euro shows some snow over the EPSL Thursday evening/night. I don't think I would be using the Kuchera model when there is chilly onshore flow. This is not going to be dry snow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 One thing to keep in mind is that if we enter a chillyish and drier pattern as some models are depicting monthly averages will continue to drop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z Euro shows some snow over the EPSL Thursday evening/night. I might not be quite done with the snow! I’m in the blue! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 can you post this same map just showing precip not snow please. Here is Thursday night into Friday morning... good call on using the precip map. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chinook Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 flurry action in mcminnville. coating on the surfaces. 31F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2020 Report Share Posted January 15, 2020 We really don't warm up enough to end the lowland snow threat until Saturday morning. ECMWF is showing low 50s by Sunday though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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