Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
Yeah, this is great. Can really see the deeply -PDO in place, with the most extreme anomalies on the entire planet in the central Pacific. And warm Atlantic hurricane corridor.
On a scale of 1-10, 1 being Mailbox peak and a 10 being K2, I'd place it around a 6. Highly depends on the year and month you go, we were early in the season so the fixed lines above 14k camp were still being de-iced meaning we couldn't use them, and that section is a long 50 degree slope of blue ice. Basically the entire route below 14k camp is spent on highly crevassed Glaciers, but we came on a high snow year and had stable snowbridges the entire way, we were lucky enough to only have 1 group member fall in a crevasse. There's a number of knife edge ridgewalks, where a fall not caught by rope or arrested with an ice axe would mean certain death. And of course there is a lot of Avalanche danger and risk of frostbite in a major storm.
Worst part is that you're legally required to carry 2+ weeks of sh*t in your backpack, back in the 80s we were allowed to throw it in the famous poop crevasse.
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