Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
I am quite surprised that Haley pulled over 20% here. We do have an open primary, but this is a solidly Trump type of state and the nomination has long been wrapped up.
Honestly, I think I'm going to punt the forecast by a day. For chances above 90 the downslope winds are slightly stronger, but 850s are slightly lower, so I'll hold 89 for Friday for now, since in my mind they wash out. Either way I'll take a closer look at the downslope effects tomorrow.
I have noticed though despite the lower 850s, The Euro has gone up in temperature at 2m, due to the downslope winds, which it isn't amazing at modeling the strength.
Lol. We get leaves a bit earlier than Tim
jokes. But seriously they are finally starting to leaf out as you can see. Much further along than last year. When I was in C Oregon last week it was clear the full leaf out has not yet arrived. Still looked pretty dormant, though fairly green.
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