January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Could be the funnest series of model runs since at least Jan 2020.

Let's at least equal December 2021 though. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

Just now, SimplySmoothWX said:

Looks like a smiley face lol

Laughing at us like we are fools before the rug pool...

[hawkstwelve]

18z GFS shows 30 inches here.

Whatever you guys are doing to make the models look like this, keep doing it!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I've been burned so many times in January I am trying to maintain some healthy skepticism. 

[snow_wizard]

The NWS has to be noticing this.

[Deweydog]

Maybe all it took was for a whole bunch of us have family members die?

[Perturbed Member]

12 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Did it snow in pdx?

December 25-26 2021 I got 2-3 inches. It wasn't widespread though. In Hillsboro that morning there was hardly a dusting on grass but as you went west to North Plains, Banks, Forest Grove, etc. there were a few inches and good accumulation in the Coast Range of course. Don't remember how other parts of the metro did. 

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said:

Could this be one of those setup where the arctic push is so strong, that he keeps us dry and snowless? Be careful what we wish for, as I have seen it before. What looked to be epic snow and cold just turned into cold and dry.

There should be a very good chance of snow going into it.

[Doinko]

Just now, Perturbed Member said:

December 25-26 2021 I got 2-3 inches. It wasn't widespread though. In Hillsboro that morning there was hardly a dusting on grass but as you went west to North Plains, Banks, Forest Grove, etc. there were a few inches and good accumulation in the Coast Range of course. Don't remember how other parts of the metro did. 

Yeah, we had around 1-2" that night. Then another 0.5-1" 27-28th night, and maybe similar amounts on the 30th. We actually had a nice surprise 1" on December 13th

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem area had about 3-6" in December 2021, Corvallis/Eugene had 6-10". 

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

18z GFS shows 30 inches here.

Whatever you guys are doing to make the models look like this, keep doing it!

Last night we decided it was Fred rebooting the forum or whatever he did.

[Christensen87]

CFS still not fully onboard, also ends the fun by the 17th. 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Maybe all it took was for a whole bunch of us have family members die?

This certainly helps keep people's minds off of that for a while.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This run has a lot less snow for the Willamette Valley. It's also incredibly cold, so I suppose you win some and you lose some. 

 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Maybe all it took was for a whole bunch of us have family members die?

They all got together up there and chatted with Mother Nature about how their still alive loved ones are massive weather weenies, and could she hook us all up down here! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Christensen87 said:

CFS still not fully onboard, also ends the fun by the 17th. 

I thought it was decent though. 

[Randyc321]

170 guests on the forum right now.  Wow.

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This run has a lot less snow for the Willamette Valley. It's also incredibly cold, so I suppose you win some and you lose some. 

 

Plus maybe some low will develop offshore like Feb 2014. It's happened before.

[Perturbed Member]

I'm pretty excited with the timing of this being in mid-January. Should allow us to maximize the potential of our winter climate. Will hopefully be a nice change from those late Feb - March events that have been more common in recent years. 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

CFS still not fully onboard, also ends the fun by the 17th. 

It's getting there.  The control looks quite good now.

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Maybe all it took was for a whole bunch of us have family members die?

My dad passed in 2008 and had always talked of wanting to see a white Christmas....

[hawkstwelve]

1 minute ago, Randyc321 said:

170 guests on the forum right now.  Wow.

 

I've checked 2-3 times today and there has been a new member registration waiting to be approved each time.

So that's pretty cool.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like all-told this will be a fun stretch from Jan 10-18 or so.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

They all got together up there and chatted with Mother Nature about how their still alive loved ones are massive weather weenies, and could she hook us all up down here! 

She’s like “Jesus Christ, I just spent half an hour telling Judah’s grandma and pug Funyuns that his sweater wearing a** will have to wait until 26-27.”

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

My dad passed in 2008 and had always talked of wanting to see a white Christmas....

Well done, pops.

My grandpa, the patriarchal weenie in the family, died in January ‘08….

[Cold Snap]

12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The NWS has to be noticing this.

If this happens they will probably use the NBM like they usually do.

[RentonHill]

Step back on the ensembles...but its the GEFS so it doesn't matter!

[Phishy Wx]

26 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Gorge outflow looks chilly on MLK

oooohhhhh, as I drive thru there

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Uh oh...ensembles pulling the rug?

[SouthHillFrosty]

Cancel winter!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, RentonHill said:

Step back on the ensembles...but its the GEFS so it doesn't matter!

Looks minor though...

[RentonHill]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Uh oh...ensembles pulling the rug?

just trying to keep expectations in check!

[BLI snowman]

16 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

December 25-26 2021 I got 2-3 inches. It wasn't widespread though. In Hillsboro that morning there was hardly a dusting on grass but as you went west to North Plains, Banks, Forest Grove, etc. there were a few inches and good accumulation in the Coast Range of course. Don't remember how other parts of the metro did. 

We managed a few rounds up here. Got skunked with that first round, but had an inch with the arctic front that next night. Then a few inches on the 27th-28th with the slider and another inch on the 30th before the south winds broke through. Depth peaked around 3". One subfreezing day on the 27th but it never dropped below 23-24, and another subfreezing high in January (!) on New Year's Day.

Kinda frustrating here given what was modeled and the blessings seen elsewhere, but still an objectively solid stretch.

Edited January 3 by BLI snowman

[Front Ranger]

18 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Nevada side up on Kingsbury grade or in town by the casinos? If you are up on Kingsbury grade they get absolutely buried and you can get snowed in up there. You will want a shovel, food, gas etc. If your in town the casinos are one of the least snowy spots so you don't have to worry down there. If a storm is coming in the gondola from the village won't run so get to the parking lots in Cali and Nevada bases early. The shuttles suck 

We're staying just barely on the CA side in the Mariott Grand Residence Club, right off Lake Tahoe Blvd.

[Phishy Wx]

its over

[snow_wizard]

Alrighty then.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

6 days out is where potential starts to exist for here.

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

oooohhhhh, as I drive thru there

Stop by! I’ll make Chick-fil-A!

[Phishy Wx]

25 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said:

Could this be one of those setup where the arctic push is so strong, that he keeps us dry and snowless? Be careful what we wish for, as I have seen it before. What looked to be epic snow and cold just turned into cold and dry.

who is 'he'?

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

We managed a few rounds up here. Got skunked with that first round, but had an inch with the arctic front that next night. Then a few inches on the 27th-28th with the slider and another inch on the 30th before the south winds broke through. Depth peaked around 3". One subfreezing day on the 27th but it never dropped below 23-24, and another subfreezing high in January (!) on New Year's Day.

Kinda frustrating here given what was modeled and the blessings seen elsewhere, but still an objectively solid stretch.

Yeah, this was our peak depth overall, on the 26th. Really nice to wake up to this though. That 27th-28th system kind of screwed us a bit but it was still a decent stretch.