January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[Meatyorologist]

We might really be wine dine January nineteen sixty-nining this joint this winter. Here's to hoping!

[Requiem]

This is a run for the ages, wow 

[Weiner Warrior]

Too much snow... throw it out.

[catnip]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Jaw on floor on this run.

You better pick it up my friend. More runs and swings to come! 
 

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

I’ve seen better 

[Phishy Wx]

I paid for snow removal this winter because of a lot of business travel and wife doesn't want to deal with it while i'm away.  have only spent $80 so far lol. I think that's about to go up exponentially.

[snow_wizard]

Just keeps going!

[Cold Snap]

That is quite the overrunning storm on the GFS. That would be insane if it verified.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Only downside is that models can only get worse from here LOL

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I’ve seen better 

Yikes 

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I’ve seen better 

The GFS from a few days ago with 4ft for everyone?

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I’ve seen better 

For combo of cold, snow, and duration this is the best I can recall.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Haha oh my god.

[snow_wizard]

The ensemble is just insane.

[SnowySeeker50]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I’ve seen better 

Big stepback in totals for some people compared to 2 days ago

[Perturbed Member]

I would pay actual money to have a truly regional heavy snowstorm like this that hits all up and down OR and WA at the same time. 

Lock in the 00z GFS, no more changes allowed.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yikes 

Your roof can't handle 9 feet of snow?  

[SouthHillFrosty]

OMG (oh my grandma). Negative WOW

[SeanNyberg]

Friends, siblings, neighbors... big deep breath. LOL

Right now we have an amazing Euro 12 and 18z, we have a GFS that has clawed its way back after a brief relapse, and we have had consistently good GEM solutions, with one exception.

Things are good. Enjoy it. GEM will come to their senses once they get battered and bruised out on the mean streets of Torchlandistan.

We're in trouble if the GEM sticks with this change and the Euro starts leaning its way. A very real possibility. But also the GEM could come back. A very real possibility. OR something we haven't seen forecasted could happen, probably the most likely possibility. lol

[Meatyorologist]

Wow. I don't know which the GFS does more, love us, or hate Alaska?

[Doinko]

More snow, arctic air not fully scoured out by that first major storm

 

[MV_snow]

Can anyone see the 00z Canadian ensembles? Can’t access it on tidbits yet. Hoping OP was an outlier.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

9 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

If and when there is undercutting, that isn't always a bad thing. It can lead to really big snowstorms.  So much of that depends on where the systems go.  North of the lows stay snow, and maybe a lot of it. South of course would be warmer

I believe December 2008 had undercutting systems, as well as late December 1996.  January 2011 was supposed to be an epic snowstorm, but the system went too far North.

What he said.  Oh wait, that's me.

 

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Wow. I don't know which the GFS does more, love us, or hate Alaska?

Alaska's had enough.  Their turn to torch.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That band is pretty much stationary. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

Friends, siblings, neighbors... big deep breath. LOL

Right now we have an amazing Euro 12 and 18z, we have a GFS that has clawed its way back after a brief relapse, and we have had consistently good GEM solutions, with one exception.

Things are good. Enjoy it. GEM will come to their senses once they get battered and bruised out on the mean streets of Torchlandistan.

We're in trouble if the GEM sticks with this change and the Euro starts leaning its way. A very real possibility. But also the GEM could come back. A very real possibility. OR something we haven't seen forecasted could happen, probably the most likely possibility. lol

Complete model chaos right now... small changes upstream have profound effects on the results for us.  

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Haha oh my god.

Some gray whale is going to be telling its grandchildren about that 23" bullseye in the Pacific.

[SeanNyberg]

2 weeks worth of snow per the GFS.
First map is from the same model 12 hours ago.
The second map is from the same model 12 minutes ago.

"Siri, show me the perfect example of model riding..."

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

OMG (oh my grandma). Negative WOW

serious question, is that even possible over there?  did they write the AGW code out of the GFS algorithm?

[Weiner Warrior]

Just a little kold

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, MV_snow said:

Can anyone see the 00z Canadian ensembles? Can’t access it on tidbits yet. Hoping OP was an outlier.

Not sure about the member spread but the mean looks pretty good.

[Doinko]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That band is pretty much stationary. 

It nails Eugene to Salem. Another foot of snow after the first snowstorm

[Poulsbo Snowman]

5 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

Friends, siblings, neighbors... big deep breath. LOL

Right now we have an amazing Euro 12 and 18z, we have a GFS that has clawed its way back after a brief relapse, and we have had consistently good GEM solutions, with one exception.

Things are good. Enjoy it. GEM will come to their senses once they get battered and bruised out on the mean streets of Torchlandistan.

We're in trouble if the GEM sticks with this change and the Euro starts leaning its way. A very real possibility. But also the GEM could come back. A very real possibility. OR something we haven't seen forecasted could happen, probably the most likely possibility. lol

Don't need the voice of reason after that GFS run.  I haven't even had a cigarette yet.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Can anyone see the 00z Canadian ensembles? Can’t access it on tidbits yet. Hoping OP was an outlier.

Definitely going in the direction of the GEM but not as extreme in lifting the block out.    

[Gradient Keeper]

I just got home. 00z GFS. Much improved run. Ridge really strengthens nicely and persists for days and days. There is reload potential as well. AND...

00z GEFS significant improvement! Okay then! Timing really moving ahead.

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Some gray whale is going to be telling its grandchildren about that 23" bullseye in the Pacific.

someone should go out there and anchor a barge and wallow in the snow piles

[Snownerd3000]

Run to run change is better and worse at the same time.  Better with the trough coming down the coast but not liking the lower heights below the block.  This might be due to the OP influencing the mean. Looks like the ridge is floating away just like the OP.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely going in the direction of the GEM but not as extreme in lifting the block out.    

For comparison here is the operational at 192.

[Phishy Wx]

4 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Not sure about the member spread but the mean looks pretty good.

yeah can def dismiss the GEM Op after seeing that

[SouthHillFrosty]

Hold the phone