January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Anybody have access to the 06z Euro? Also nice to see that NWS looks to at least believe we’ll get a bit cold up here. Low temperature forecast for Fri/Sat is close to the single digits.

The run ends at Thursday at 4 p.m. and was a little farther west than 00Z run.

 

[Skagit Weather]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The run ends at Thursday at 4 p.m. and was a little farther west than 00Z run.

 

Thanks! Looks maybe a bit faster with the cold air and a bit drier than the 00z up here.

[TT-SEA]

06Z EPS... about the same as the 00Z run.   A notch farther west with the cold air at the peak and slightly farther east at 144 hours (end of run). 

 

[GoldenEars]

Woke up to a light dusting and it's still coming down.

[TacomaWx]

Was snowing this morning on tiger mountain on the way to work. Just light rain here near the I-90/18 merger about 500’ lower. 

[Snownerd3000]

Surprised this wasn't posted. Supposedly better info over the water. Definitely moderated as all models have but still looking decent. 

[AlTahoe]

Chilly this morning. 

[Prairiedog]

10 hours ago, Perturbed Member said:

PDX NWS calls for a 1400 ft snow level Friday AM and 1700 ft by Friday night, rising to 2100 ft by Saturday. 

I have no problem with this, the last time PDX NWS completely ignored the models and downplayed everything we ended up with 6-12 inches of snow pretty widespread here in Feb 2023. 

Snow never made it east towards Estacada and Sandy.  I ended up with a couple inches.  It actually was fairly localized.  I don't think even Oregon City got much.  More west of 205 and north of OC. 

[CasuallyFoxy]

10 minutes ago, Prairiedog said:

Snow never made it east towards Estacada and Sandy.  I ended up with a couple inches.  It actually was fairly localized.  I don't think even Oregon City got much.  More west of 205 and north of OC. 

Can confirm, last time I've had more than 2" of snow was 2017.  Got 2" of ice in 2021 though :c

[The Blob]

Showing for my area on Wunderground. 

[RayRay]

It looks like there is a little bit of snow in the lowlands???

[TT-SEA]

We are in NAM range now!   

Here is arctic front snow on Thursday...

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, RayRay said:

It looks like there is a little bit of snow in the lowlands???

Slight coating of wet snow here this morning.  

[TT-SEA]

Snow tonight per 06Z ECMWF.

[Anti Marine Layer]

To snow or not to snow? That is the question. 

[Ziess]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Snow tonight per 06Z ECMWF.

That's Weds night, not tonight, right? 

[FroYoBro]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Snow tonight per 06Z ECMWF.

Tomorrow night. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Ziess said:

That's Weds night, not tonight, right? 

My mistake... that is Tuesday night.    Map is correct but I said the wrong night in my post.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

7 hours ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

Graphcast ran and it’s still cold and looks like a big snowstorm Seattle south to Portland. It’s not quite as cold as prior runs though, especially for NW Oregon 

I just saw the 00z GraphCast and it looks good. Arctic air still makes its way in and then the weekend system is further south. This is going to keep everyone colder longer as the east winds keep feeding us from the Cold Pool in the Columbia Basin.

[Doinko]

56 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

06Z EPS... about the same as the 00Z run.   A notch farther west with the cold air at the peak and slightly farther east at 144 hours (end of run). 

 

How is the control run with that system this weekend?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

New 7 day from KPTV. Good forecast for now. This weekend will likely be frozen for most people with the chance of snow depending on how the weekend system tracks. Also gonna be windy as the east winds feed us cold air from the Cold Pool in the Columbia Basin.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Doinko said:

How is the control run with that system this weekend?

 

[North_County]

26 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Showing for my area on Wunderground. 

Quite a temperature gradient from north to south. Mine still shows frigid temps Thursday through Friday. That's without the signal for massive Fraser outflow we saw hinted at several days ago; more of a slow bleed of cold air that just kind of hangs up by the border.

 

[TT-SEA]

One more note on the weekend system... the control run appears to be father north than the 00Z run and faster at scouring out the cold air by late Saturday.

00Z run on top and 06Z run on the bottom for Saturday evening.

[Blizzard777]

Tuesdays storm interesting as these are west winds!  Trees will be confused as they’re used to south winds.  Yikes down the straights and the mountains!  Helping someone move that day down to ocean Shores….could be fun
Hrrr

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

One more note on the weekend system... it appears to be father north than the 00Z run and faster at scouring out the cold air by late Saturday.

00Z run on top and 06Z ruin on the bottom for Saturday evening.

 

Overall it’s starting to seem like it’ll be a fun (for some) but shortlived event. It looked like nothing was going to happen at all little over a week ago though so better than zilch

[Blizzard777]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Overall it’s starting to seem like it’ll be a fun (for some) but shortlived event. It looked like nothing was going to happen at all little over a week ago though so better than zilch

At least we’re having some fun tracking these possible anomalies.  
Better than nothing and I’m enjoying the model riding effect!!!  

[MossMan]

Very sloppy snowflakes mixed in currently. 
34.2 degrees. 

[TacomaWx]

5 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

At least we’re having some fun tracking these possible anomalies.  
Better than nothing and I’m enjoying the model riding effect!!!  

Up here in Puget sound I think we will probably be just fine. It’ll probably be atleast cold for a couple days and a bit of snow. I’d say we have a 75% chance for it here in the south sound. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12z ICON the system makes landfall along the Central OR coast.

 

[LowerGarfield]

Got a dusting, a trace. But enough that I need the snow brush on the car.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The 12z ICON then has another system coming in later in the weekend while cold air is still in place. Fun times ahead!

 

[MossMan]

This could end up being a hybrid between January 2020 and February 2021…I am still holding out hope for something slightly more substantial like December 2022 though. 
 

Matt will probably tell us this is looking more like a Whatcom and north event though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Frontal Snowsquall said:

The 12z ICON then has another system coming in later in the weekend while cold air is still in place. Fun times ahead!

 

Let’s plz lock this in.

[LowerGarfield]

It stuck to our gravel alley a bit better beyond the fence. Currently it is 30 degrees and overcast.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Let’s plz lock this in.

Have you had any snow in the past few days?

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Let’s plz lock this in.

Nice to see you back, also praying for south TreNDz. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hope y’all are doing fine. Picked up some snow over the weekend. 2.5”, still a little on the ground, but it’s raining and 34.3 right now. Weekend temps were about climo, 40/32 on Saturday (midnight high), 41/32 yesterday. Tomorrow and Wednesday look very snowy. Pic is from Saturday morning. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS snow for Tuesday night system...actually slight shift south from 00Z run. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I love that progression on the icon. Wish other models were on board with it.