January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, westcoastexpat said:

Could definitely see readings near 0F this weekend. The power of January!

Anyone think negative temperatures are on the table?

If we get snow it's possible.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 minutes ago, The Winter Warlock said:

Calling it now. The low will BOMB and we all win.

Storm King January 9, 1880 with a more Southern track.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

Euro spreads it further north because the system is more developed. Landfall is near Coos Bay

Holy crap a 10mb drop. Wtf

[Poulsbo Snowman]

We're going to need the mother of all deformation bands to get the snow to Puget Sound.

[lowlandsnow]

Looking like the GEM with a possible reload

[Blizzard777]

5 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

East wind monster hurts PDX snow totals

The sad reality of the East wind.  It killed many of my snowstorms when I lived down there.  

[Cloud]

Quite an impressive airmass.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

A 10mb drop is massive. Hopefully this low don't get crazy and head to forks. Maybe this run is outlier. 

 

 

 

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I hope people in Seattle aren't losing sight of how impressive this Arctic front is going to be.  Looks really cold!

I prefer white ground over dehydrated bare 13 degree ground. This one will be as memorable as the ones I can barely recall…Like December 2009 or 2013 I think it might have been? It is what it is, I will enjoy watching my weather station possibly hitting single digits. I will go outside, close my eyes and envision December 2021 or even December of 2022 with over a foot of snow under me. 
Otherwise life goes on as normal. 

[Weiner Warrior]

New low formed up north heading down the coast?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Amazing to see this model move towards what the gfs was showing all along.  This is starting to look good for the entire area

 

Hey 00z GFS drops 20” here I’ll take it.

[SnowWillarrive]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

A 10mb drop is massive. Hopefully this low don't get crazy and head to forks. Maybe this run is outlier. 

 

 

 

Tomorrow mornings run will show it even stronger. 

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, westcoastexpat said:

Could definitely see readings near 0F this weekend. The power of January!

Anyone think negative temperatures are on the table?

Not without snow cover. 

[Front Ranger]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This run might be going somewhere with the possible reload.

Doesn't quite get there at day 6 like the GEM, but it's close.

[Perturbed Member]

8 minutes ago, Doinko said:

I think it'll work out for us, even with that dry slot the Euro is showing right now

I'm hoping that us being close to that boundary between the cold and this system can bring some local dynamics into play that may not be getting picked up on the global models. Doesn't always work out that way but it might be worth watching the higher resolution mesoscale models tomorrow to see if there are any hints of that. 

[RaleighHillsRunner]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Holy crap a 10mb drop. Wtf

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Weiner Warrior said:

New low formed up north heading down the coast?

Reload. 

[lowlandsnow]

4 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

Looking like the GEM with a possible reload

Doesn't workout close though definitely some potential

[Snownerd3000]

 

[the_convergence_zone]

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I hope people in Seattle aren't losing sight of how impressive this Arctic front is going to be.  Looks really cold!

I mulched all of my dahlias and peonies today and cut back some of the perennials that were still alive. Somehow it hasn’t been below 30F here yet this winter. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

If we have a 990 low come in off the coast near Astoria the outflow into Portland and Bellingham will be nuts.

 

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

A 10mb drop is massive. Hopefully this low don't get crazy and head to forks. Maybe this run is outlier. 

 

 

 

At least we would have an overrunning event! 

[Slushy Inch]

That looks interesting 

[Front Ranger]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Holy crap a 10mb drop. Wtf

It's the same run. Low weakens 10mb by landfall.

[snow_wizard]

Boom!

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

That looks interesting 

The thin part is strengthening too.

[Phishy Wx]

frigid and dry over here.  going to be weird to have -teens with little to no snow cover.  will be running sinks for 3 days straight most likely.  that's my only concern.  the -10 a couple years ago came with almost a foot on the ground IMBY so the water box out front was insulated and covered, this time, colder and no snow.  unless the arctic front brings something tomorrow, we'll be frozen and brown.  All I'm looking for really is -11 or lower. that'll be the coldest I've seen here in 6 years and I think a record for Friday (record for 1-12 is 'only' -7 in 1963). Forecasts I've seen for friday are anywhere between -5 and -14 for the low, so a good chance

[westcoastexpat]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Boom!

Yep. GEM shows it too next week and GFS clearly wants to go there at the end of its run.

This is going to be a long, cold January.

[Jbolin]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

If we have a 990 low come in off the coast near Astoria the outflow into Portland and Bellingham will be nuts.

 

No joke 

[Dave]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I prefer white ground over dehydrated bare 13 degree ground. This one will be as memorable as the ones I can barely recall…Like December 2009 or 2013 I think it might have been? It is what it is, I will enjoy watching my weather station possibly hitting single digits. I will go outside, close my eyes and envision December 2021 or even December of 2022 with over a foot of snow under me. 
Otherwise life goes on as normal. 

I wonder how expensive snow making machines are?.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

I mulched all of my dahlias and peonies today and cut back some of the perennials that were still alive. Somehow it hasn’t been below 30F here yet this winter. 

Still have a pumpkin from Halloween that is still in great shape! Think my lowest so far this season is 28. 

[Front Ranger]

Euro keeps PDX below freezing until Wed afternoon.

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

6 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

New low formed up north heading down the coast?

Wouldn't that be awesome? A low that forms up off th4 coast of BC and travels south, just hugging the coast to throw precip bands over land, keep the center over the sea to keep generating that offshore wind. It's happened, but oh so rare. Dream placement for west of the mountains for a regional event.

[SnowWillarrive]

Cliff said no snow and he posts the WRF. 

[lowlandsnow]

A lot of potential in the next 10 days

[BLI snowman]

13 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Feels like the low may differ in strength/timing and qpf but the track between every single model but the GEM seems pretty well aligned at this point.

Doing everything I can to contain my excitement but my weenie heart of hearts says it's a pretty money looking track for us. Giving it another 72-96 hours before I fully buy in. 

[westcoastexpat]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Still have a pumpkin from Halloween that is still in great shape! Think my lowest so far this season is 28. 

And we may not go above 28 for the rest of the month. Definitely a shot at it. Crazy times.

All those warm anomalies earlier in the season had to be balanced out at some point. Somewhere in NA was definitely going to get slammed and looks like it's us.

[snow_wizard]

That thing about a week out is just something else to watch.  Some ICON runs have really blown that thing up.

[Tanis Leach]

Someone's gonna be parting after this weekend. 

 

(Clip from my field rush against Utah. I have 2 more rushing the field clips for future events. 

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Boom!

I'll play Tim. Temps are in the mid 40s there, Jimbo.

Way different on the ground than GEM at that time...but there is definitely promise to the pattern.