Gorgeous sunset from Mt Tabor park. Lots of big, downed trees on the north and east side of the park from our ARCTIC WINDS three weeks ago. But honestly the damage wasn’t quite as bad as I feared. I guess the historic shelter took a pretty good hit but that part of the park was cordoned off.
I was intrigued so I looked up the average high and low temperatures across WA for August of 1899. Olga's average low of 45F is pretty impressive as it's about 4 degrees colder than anything we've seen in the last 50 years. The fact it's so much colder than every other location on the west side does make me wonder if there was an error with the thermometer at that time or maybe it was just incredible cold winds blowing off the straight.
The Seattle average high for the month was almost 10 d
Flood Watch up for the potential for heavy rain and training storms later tonight and early tomorrow here in East Central Nebraska… It looks like we are going to add to our already above normal rainfall totals for May. Also a decent chance for some more severe weather too, bring it on!
I imagine we will see a rather quick trend to linear-ish organization tomorrow, but this system is fairly anomalous for this time of year in terms of the surface low depth and the wind fields. Could at least have a pretty decent QLCS tornado threat.
Can we keep this one going for at least a week? Western ridging has consistently underperformed w/rt long range model projections this year, but this is the most favorable large scale forcing structure for a +TNH response in quite awhile. And you’d also expect some +TNH in a canonical post-niño environment (we’ve had almost none this year so far).
Come mid-June, subsidence returns to the IPWP/WPAC, so it ain’t gonna stick around. But it’ll be interesting to see how long it can hold against the emerging LF state.
At long last, the majority of guidance projects a clean mid-latitude response to WPAC MJO forcing (+TNH). Very delayed but not denied.
Note how the projected height anomalies are fairly similar to map of correlations to heat content within the pacific warm east of the dateline (WHWP).
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