TigerWoodsLibido 5577 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Past midnight GMT. Gonna be a good one! 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Mr Marine Layer 1421 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 There will be two 1:00 AM's tonight. Weather in November for the PNW could get exciting. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 I'm thinking this will be an interesting November. Probably a lot more chilly weather than would normally be expected. There could be a major cold wave, but just a lot of moderate cold wouldn't surprise me. I think a major PDO drop / much colder SSTs along the West Coast is a no brainer by mid month. 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 The CPC winter outlooks are a little bit more solidly cold for WA especially than the previous few updates. It even shows the Nov - Jan period below normal for the NW quarter of WA. Pretty unusual they show the entire winter cold for us. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5577 Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Better. That dong of colder than normal air headed into the Columbia Basin? Who knows? 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 31 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Better. That dong of colder than normal air headed into the Columbia Basin? Who knows? Wow. That is considerably colder than any other EPS run yet! C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 It is a very mild night and start to November here. 12:23 AM Temp 52.9, Dewpoint 32.5, breezy east wind. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5577 Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: It is a very mild night and start to November here. 12:23 AM Temp 52.9, Dewpoint 32.5, breezy east wind. Crazy, it's 36F here. a 15F south/north gradient. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 The EPS is considerably colder in the 10 to 12 day period than previous runs. This looks like an interesting period coming up. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 56 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Better. That dong of colder than normal air headed into the Columbia Basin? Who knows? I think that's the EPS control model. It is usually more extreme than the mean. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Crazy, it's 36F here. a 15F south/north gradient. 36 here as well. His area is very prone to east winds which would drive me crazy. I get east winds here sometimes, but not as often as he does. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5577 Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I think that's the EPS control model. It is usually more extreme than the mean. There you go...wow. Much colder. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 6z GFS Day 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Meh...... Onto 12z runs 12z GFS in 5 hours 7 minutes 12z ECMWF in 7 hours 22 minutes Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Really glad we're not blowing our load in early November. W/ -ENSO and +QBO this winter will bring the goods, eventually... 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5577 Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 TOUCHDOWN!!! Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Tyler Mode 1638 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 I love the mircoclimates here with the wind etc. 33 at my house, 45 a couple miles away with some east wind. 52 at Troutdale. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2649 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 38 here this morning. Should be another beautiful fall day. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1320 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Obvious signs of an inversion up this way. Those temps in the 50’s are all mountaintop stations. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
..... 895 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 33 here Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3675 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Obvious signs of an inversion up this way. Those temps in the 50’s are all mountaintop stations. Same in my area... its 48 here right now and 34 just a couple miles away down in the valley. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
El_Nina 1184 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 A mild and breezy 45 here this morning. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ray 72 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Good morning! 34 and frosty this morning. Looks like a clear, beautiful day ahead. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
High Desert Mat? 469 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Hey Phil, any news on a SSW event any time soon? That’s what we really need. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14787 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 SLE and EUG both hit freezing this morning. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 40.47" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2649 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: Hey Phil, any news on a SSW event any time soon? That’s what we really need. It isn't winter. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3675 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Early model runs! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1320 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: SLE and EUG both hit freezing this morning. Came awfully close to it at my place (33°F). Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
Skagit Weather 648 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Off topic, but it looks like Super Typhoon Goni may have been the strongest storm ever recorded to strike land when it hit the Philippines yesterday. Winds were estimated at 195 mph at landfall with a central pressure of 876 mb. Just insanely fast winds. Like a tornado thats miles and miles wide. https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropical-weather/typhoon-goni-landfall-mk/ 1 3 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 6.9" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5") Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2649 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Early model runs! YEEEEESSSSSSSSS! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Chewbacca Defense 1093 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 34 with frost on the rooftops this morning, looks like we made it down to 33 at some point this morning. 3 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3675 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Ground fog on this November morning... 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3788 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Good morning November Be kind to us with lots of action in the weather department! 40* as the Halloween full moon sets 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3788 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Ground fog on this November morning... Love that kind of low lying fog! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10565 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Currently 35 after a low of 34. Frosty roof! Just a dewy deck however. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8871 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 A little bit of frost and 35 this morning. Had a morning fog/afternoon sun 61/34 Halloween to end the month yesterday. 06z looked nice and active. Niña-ish mountain snow pattern. Flying to Florida this morning and will be there until Friday. Glad I’m mostly missing boring ridging. Looks like chilly and active weather will be here to greet me when I return :’) 2 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
El_Nina 1184 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: A little bit of frost and 35 this morning. Had a morning fog afternoon sun 61/34 Halloween to end the month yesterday. 06z looked nice and active. Niña-ish mountain snow pattern. Flying to Florida this morning and will be there until Friday. Glad I’m mostly missing boring ridging. Looks like chilly and active weather will be here to greet me when I return :’) Make sure to stop by the Smile Mart. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10565 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Negativity for as far as the eye can see (except for the next couple of days) 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 52 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Off topic, but it looks like Super Typhoon Goni may have been the strongest storm ever recorded to strike land when it hit the Philippines yesterday. Winds were estimated at 195 mph at landfall with a central pressure of 876 mb. Just insanely fast winds. Like a tornado thats miles and miles wide. https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropical-weather/typhoon-goni-landfall-mk/ That would be flat out scary. Looks like everything is on steroids this year. This insanely anomalous La Nina is probably part of it. It was below -1.6 yesterday. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Dropped to 32 this morning and it's still in the 30s thanks to some fog earlier. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14787 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 GFS is pretty boring. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 40.47" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4343 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Low of 43 this morning in Tacoma...41 up here on orcas island. Heading back home tonight. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-5.26” Cold season rainfall-32.08” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4343 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Looks like we could get more rain in the next upcoming week than we did in the entire month of November last year. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-5.26” Cold season rainfall-32.08” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3675 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Looks like we could get more rain in the next upcoming week than we did in the entire month of November last year. Next weekend is looking dry again. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 That 8 to 10 day period is looking increasingly interesting. Next weekend still looks solidly chilly as well. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11674 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GFS is pretty boring. It keeps the block going a lot longer though and it resets nicely next week. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5577 Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Well we made it down to freezing again. #7 for the young season. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
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