December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Slightly better than the previous run

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

13 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

But realistically, what are the odds of it verifying?

Pretty good actually. Many signs of a PV disruption.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

45F with the sun down and the stars will be coming out soon. Looking forward to seeing Jupiter and Saturn so close together. Mars is super close too.

[Gradient Keeper]

11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

2.8%.

82%*

00z GFS in 2 hours 42 minutes

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Encouraging that both the Euro and the GFS are showing interesting things starting to happen in about a fortnight, but it is still deep clown range.

[The Swamp]

7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Slightly better than the previous run

So Touchdown?

[Weather1011]

17 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

But realistically, what are the odds of it verifying?

Around the same percentage of getting hit in a car accident due to road rage.

[Weather1011]

14 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

If only we could somehow painstakingly devise some kind of pill or invent a new, revolutionary vaccine where we all wake up living in Day 12-16 of GFS la-la-land. Wouldn't that be something? Winter weather is a guarantee. The question my friends isn't "Will it snow this Winter?" No. It's "How much snow will fall this Winter?" It'll be cold too. Really cold for part of the Fall and most of the Winter. Temperatures -22 to 30 degrees. In fact, from November 14th to February 20th the temperature never rises to freezing. No more split-flow, messy upper level patterns, inversions, warm atmospheric rivers/pineapples. Nope.

 

Blocking reigns supreme from ~140 to ~160 W always strong, always amplified, and it only pivots with various degrees of tilt. It pivots around like the most enjoyable Merry-Go-Round known in the history of mankind. An endless supply of bitter Siberian goodness floods over us. Failure to not take the vaccine means you will be living in Day 1-11 GFS hell. Nothing but uncertainties, questions, a lack of run-to-run consistency, and worst of all, the unknown.

 

A world where if it snows, it's nearly a miracle. A world of very sad unhappy people, and especially snowmen. It's a world where you are measuring snow in centimeters. No thank you. Is that a world you want to live in? Not me. Seriously. Just take the vaccine. You will awaken to blankets of snow, snow falling, and snowmen standing proudly as far as the eye can see. You won't ever need to 'dream of a White Christmas' ever again. In fact, the Turkey will even be white. C'MON!!!

I thought I was reading a Pornhub ad for a second.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

7 minutes ago, puyallupjon said:

So Touchdown?

Once we see it within a week we can call it a 2-score lead.

[Gradient Keeper]

6 minutes ago, Weather1011 said:

I thought I was reading a Pornhub ad for a second.

Nah, I retired from writing those a long time ago. Snow BOOBS! Whoops. Still have PTSD from those days.

00z ECMWF in 4 hours 45 minutes

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Should pull off another negative departure so a nice start to December.

[Deweydog]

PDX stayed in the 40’s today.

[GeorgeWx]

1 hour ago, AbbyJr said:

But realistically, what are the odds of it verifying?

Realistically I am not seeing any sort of Arctic intrusion for the northwest until February if it happens at all this season. Not sure what the buzz is all about. We are far far away still.

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, GeorgeWx said:

Realistically I am not seeing any sort of Arctic intrusion for the northwest until February if it happens at all this season. Not sure what the buzz is all about. We are far far away still.

You must be new here...

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, GeorgeWx said:

Realistically I am not seeing any sort of Arctic intrusion for the northwest until February if it happens at all this season. Not sure what the buzz is all about. We are far far away still.

You got anything to back up this statement of yours or just spewing randomness? 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

4 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said:

Realistically I am not seeing any sort of Arctic intrusion for the northwest until February if it happens at all this season. Not sure what the buzz is all about. We are far far away still.

What do you base this on? And why is it not realistic to see arctic air before February?  It has happened many times before in La Nina years.  And of course like I say many times, the PNW can score without true arctic air.

[OysterPrintout]

23 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said:

Realistically I am not seeing any sort of Arctic intrusion for the northwest until February if it happens at all this season. Not sure what the buzz is all about. We are far far away still.

phew ok I'll check back in in February, if at all. Fred can you lock this topic for now?

[Meatyorologist]

28 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said:

Realistically I am not seeing any sort of Arctic intrusion for the northwest until February if it happens at all this season. Not sure what the buzz is all about. We are far far away still.

I wouldn't be that optimistic, honestly. Cloudy split flow through March with slightly above average temperatures, then a rapid transition to an ugly, dreary, wet April-September. Still +0.5 departures each month due to warm overnights.

[Jesse]

Much better weather today. 46/38 with the downslope transitioning to a lighter gap wind out this way. Some interesting high overcast moved through the area too.

Could score a freeze with lighter wind and clear skies tonight.

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

I wouldn't be that optimistic, honestly. Cloudy split flow through March with slightly above average temperatures, then a rapid transition to an ugly, dreary, wet April-September. Still +0.5 departures each month due to warm overnights.

Would be so nice to finally get a wetter than average warm season

[rsktkr]

I don't get bummed out by crappy model runs beyond 6.5 days.....its all fake news.

I also don't get excited about awesome model runs beyond 6.5 days out.....its all fake news.

This philosophy has worked well for me since I moved up here.

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, rsktkr said:

I don't get bummed out by crappy model runs beyond 6.5 days.....its all fake news.

I also don't get excited about awesome model runs beyond 6.5 days out.....its all fake news.

This philosophy has worked well for me since I moved up here.

Sounds like someone is in need of a 384 hour long peyote trip with Andrew as your spirit guide.

[Blizzard777]

30 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

phew ok I'll check back in in February, if at all. Fred can you lock this topic for now?

[Gradient Keeper]

4 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Was that before or after the alleged Hamster in the bum decable? or was it a mouse? I have no idea. What I do know is it has been a very long running Gere conspiracy though. Fun fact: This is the first Hamster ever referenced on the forum. I think. I'd have to do some checking on that. I know we had a Barfy the Chipmunk before from yours truly.

00z GFS in 41 minutes

[Deweydog]

10 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Filmed primarily in Kitsap County during the fall of 1981. It snowed and colded a bit early that following January!

[kokaneekidz]

6 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Lovely Port Townsend. Is the motel still there? LOL

[Jesse]

8 minutes ago, iFred said:

Going to add a weenie emoji, brb.

Oh god you weren’t kidding.

Thank you. Thank you so much  

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Filmed primarily in Kitsap County during the fall of 1981. It snowed and colder a bit early that following January!

Yup. Some scenes were filmed in Bremerton, Port Townsend.

6z GFS in 6 hours 37 minutes

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, kokaneekidz said:

Lovely Port Townsend. Is the motel still there? LOL

Yup.  And still lots of gerbils running around there for some reason.

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Yup.  And still lots of gerbils running around there for some reason.

Ohhh, was it a gerbil? Hamster, Gerbil, whatever...

Weenie

[Blizzard777]

1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

Ohhh, was it a gerbil? Hamster, Gerbil, whatever...

Weenie

Snopes agrees Gerbil but account is false ....lol 

[Dave]

Salem north will get hammered again this year and Eugene will be stuck with 33 degree rain for days on end. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Yikes. Just a bit-off topic folks. Who started this? Oh. I did.

*Bans himself until the 00z GFS starts (27 minutes)

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 minutes ago, dolt said:

Salem north will get hammered again this year and Eugene will be stuck with 33 degree rain for days on end. 

Payback for 2-25-19?

[Deweydog]

https://takemeback.to/03-December-2008

[SilverFallsAndrew]

19.1” of snow at Eugene in February 2019. Pretty amazing. 12” with that storm around the 25th and then 6.5” the next night with a 2nd round of snow. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

[Omegaraptor]

40 minutes ago, dolt said:

Salem north will get hammered again this year and Eugene will be stuck with 33 degree rain for days on end. 

Eugene gets 33 degree rain.

Washington County gets 33 degree non-sticking snow.

[Dave]

36 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Payback for 2-25-19?

I just wanted a weenie. I'm unsure how Salem did, but Portland missed out a bit. Of course dolt ate that bag for that one.