TigerWoodsLibido 5142 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, umadbro said: How about PDX? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 26 (Most recent: Dec 29, 2020) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5142 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Roseburg doe... 1 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 26 (Most recent: Dec 29, 2020) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5142 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 About 9 days out should be interesting...barring a rug-pull. 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 26 (Most recent: Dec 29, 2020) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 3428 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 hour ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Looks like a run of the mill, coastal/NW interior windstorm. Don't see 60 even making it inland anywhere. Yea what’s modeled is definitely not run of the mill. 2 Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-30 Coldest high-38 Freezes-6 Monthly rainfall-8.24” Cold season rainfall-25.27” Snowfall-Tr. Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 105 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Yea what’s modeled is definitely not run of the mill. Just from experience, I never saw those winds materialize in anywhere but east county, NW interior, and or near Admiralty Inlet, N. of Everett, etc.......while I lived there for 14 years. Not poo-pooing anything, I just don't see that as a huge windstorm for interior valleys. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 3428 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 8 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Just from experience, I never saw those winds materialize in anywhere but east county, NW interior, and or near Admiralty Inlet, N. of Everett, etc.......while I lived there for 14 years. Not poo-pooing anything, I just don't see that as a huge windstorm for interior valleys. You mean windstorms don’t produce strong winds anywhere else in the lowlands? Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-30 Coldest high-38 Freezes-6 Monthly rainfall-8.24” Cold season rainfall-25.27” Snowfall-Tr. Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 105 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: You mean windstorms don’t produce strong winds anywhere else in the lowlands? Didn't say that, but there is a signature for the strongest winds in the normal locations.....at least via that model. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 13226 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: PDX has achieved 40. Knew they would find some way to pull it off. Calendar year 2020 will go down with 0 sub-40 highs. An almost wintry 38/24 today at SLE. Still better than even odds SLE has already seen their coldest max of the winter with the 33 on Christmas Eve. I’m struggling to remember the last time they pulled it off? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 3428 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Didn't say that, but there is a signature for the strongest winds in the normal locations.....at least via that model. There’s always stronger winds up north obviously...but we can get pretty strong southerly winds in the interior valleys south of Everett in Washington and Oregon...just not as easy as the north interior. We’ve had a few 60Mph+ storms in the past couple years. 3 60mph storms in a 3 week time span in 18-19. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-30 Coldest high-38 Freezes-6 Monthly rainfall-8.24” Cold season rainfall-25.27” Snowfall-Tr. Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 7693 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I’m struggling to remember the last time they pulled it off? Early March 2019. I think the 7th or 8th? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 105 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: There’s always stronger winds up north obviously...but we can get pretty strong southerly winds in the interior valleys south of Everett in Washington and Oregon...just not as easy as the north interior. We’ve had a few 60Mph+ storms in the past couple years. 3 60mph storms in a 3 week time span in 18-19. True, I'm just talking about likelihood. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 13226 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Early March 2019. I think the 7th or 8th? I meant the last year. Might have been 1999? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 7693 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I meant the last year. Might have been 1999? Ah. My guess would be early 2000s. It’s hard to remember the unmemorable. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 7693 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 6 hours ago, Timmy said: You can rent those houses for like 80$ a night. Although I think there is no water in the winter time. There is a wood pipe that goes from there to olive Lake (7miles) it’s probably mostly buried in snow right now. But pretty cool They used it to create power at the powerhouse and then it ran all the way down to Sumpter. It was cool. We even got a personal tour from the winter caretaker. Well actually it sounds like he’s up there all year. That would be quite the life. He also owns the lodge down in Granite which is where we are staying. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 13226 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 15 minutes ago, Jesse said: Ah. My guess would be early 2000s. It’s hard to remember the unmemorable. Nice call! Looks like it was 2001. 1999, 2001 and D**n near 2002 pulled it off. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 10129 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 52 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Yea what’s modeled is definitely not run of the mill. That period needs to be watched. Some model runs have a pretty insane looking bomb hitting somewhere in the NW. The trajectory seems a bit flat for a classic though. Still well worth watching. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 0.3" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 25 Lows 32 or below = 21 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 9218 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 hour ago, Phil said: -NAO also slows the AMOC & lowers Gulf Stream temperatures. Would take a nice bite out of Arctic OHC if by some miracle it can persist beyond a few years. Lol. My mowerplow has a duel OHC! Coincidence...I don’t think so!! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy 1824 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 14 minutes ago, Jesse said: It was cool. We even got a personal tour from the winter caretaker. Well actually it sounds like he’s up there all year. That would be quite the life. He also owns the lodge down in Granite which is where we are staying. Yup I’ve met him. He had a dog up there too in the summer. Maybe don’t read up on him while you are staying there... 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 10129 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 The ensembles seem to have picked up on a theme of the above normal heights associated with the NAO block retrograding westward though Canada during the first half of January. Probably due to the strat warming event reversing the polar gyre. The models seem to want to merge (bridge) the NAO block remnants with something over the Pacific around mid January. Besides that the models are now looking confident there will be an MJO wave emerging soon. It will be interesting to see how it all pans out. 3 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 0.3" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 25 Lows 32 or below = 21 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 7693 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, Timmy said: Yup I’ve met him. He had a dog up there too in the summer. Maybe don’t read up on him while you are staying there... We’re staying here one more night... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 10957 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Extended range GEFS, Jan 18-25. Coldest 850mb anomalies anywhere in the NH are located over NW North America. 3 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy 1824 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: We’re staying here one more night... I never actually read up on it but legend has it that he killed a man cowboy style. But I don’t know the details. I know he had the lodge for sale when we were up there. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 105 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: We’re staying here one more night... Whatever you do....don't ever stay at any point from I5 to Packwood. Nice people but that is a huge banana belt. I stayed there for a week during winter, mid-January. Was literally 50 degrees there when the forecast called for snow levels below it's elevation. I ended up driving up a little higher, a couple afternoons, literally 10 miles down the highway and it was a winter wonderland. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 7693 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, Timmy said: I never actually read up on it but legend has it that he killed a man cowboy style. But I don’t know the details. I know he had the lodge for sale when we were up there. We were talking to the lady who we reserved the AirBnB through today and she was saying it just sold. They are hoping the new owners keep it as a lodge and don’t turn it into a private home. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 9218 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Pretty sure I saw 3 snowflakes fly by when driving home from work this evening! currently raining now and 37. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 10957 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 It has officially begun! 2 5 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2706 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: It has officially begun! Ventrice's tweet seemed to indicate it would become mature in about 6 days or so. Does that sound right to you? And maybe a mid January arctic outbreak. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 10957 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 10 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Ventrice's tweet seemed to indicate it would become mature in about 6 days or so. Does that sound right to you? And maybe a mid January arctic outbreak. Yeah roughly a week for the first attack. That said, as modeled presently, this looks like a fairly prolonged event. Could be multiple warmings as Eurasian PV lobe takes multiple hits and bleeds out. Timing of pattern change hinges on both the SSW structure/wave driving and the subsequent MJO response in IO. But yeah, second half of January looks like a smart wager to me if there ever was one. Unfiltered CPC phase diagrams for MJO likely aren’t going to grab the inception of the MJO at first, given elements of interference, so ignore those for now. 3 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
..... 862 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: WOW that cabin in leavenworth looked amazing lots of snow and relaxation? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3250 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 23 minutes ago, Phil said: It has officially begun! 2 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3250 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 43 minutes ago, Timmy said: I never actually read up on it but legend has it that he killed a man cowboy style. But I don’t know the details. I know he had the lodge for sale when we were up there. Curly ! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 105 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 12 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Curly ! #onehandedpushups 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post Front Ranger 7366 Posted December 30, 2020 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Just for fun and to provide a wee bit of comfort for those fearing climate change has stolen winter forever... 5 Climate Predictions for 2020 That Didn't Pan Out 1. In 1987, James Hansen predicted that by 2020, global temperatures would rise by 3C. Instead, they've risen by .5C or less. 2. In 2006, Al Gore predicted that the snows of Kilimanjaro would disappear by 2020. They have not. 3. In 1986, the EPA predicted 2 feet of sea level rise for Florida by 2020. In reality, there has been less than 4". 4. In 2013, some predicted that Arctic sea ice would completely melt out by 2020. They were wrong by 3.9 million square miles. 5. In 2009, a government ecologist predicted that the glaciers in Glacier National Park would be gone by 2020. The park even put up signs with the prediction...which they have since removed. 9 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Low. Solar. Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 13226 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Amazing considering some of those predictions were made AFTER global warming reversed itself in 1998. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
umadbro 586 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 32/38. Quote KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWARIDGE52 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 13012 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Iceagenow 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 0.5" 2020-21: 27.38" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 13226 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, umadbro said: 32/38. Solid B! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 808 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 52 minutes ago, puyallupjon said: that cabin in leavenworth looked amazing lots of snow and relaxation? It was great, thanks for asking! The next day we went snowmobiling and it was my first time doing it. It was a lot of fun! 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 105 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Leavenworth, still one of the few places I have been to where it dropped 30 degrees in 3 hours and changed from 50 degree heavy rain to 20 degree heavy snow. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 8061 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 897 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 30/39 for the day here. Presently raining and 37˚F. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 8061 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) NPAC ridge has trended quite a bit stronger. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
..... 862 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 13 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: It was great, thanks for asking! The next day we went snowmobiling and it was my first time doing it. It was a lot of fun! too cool man, i heard those snow machines can really scoot 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 897 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 12 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Leavenworth, still one of the few places I have been to where it dropped 30 degrees in 3 hours and changed from 50 degree heavy rain to 20 degree heavy snow. I lived in the Rockies for most of my teen years, so got to see a day in the mid/upper 70's followed by a snowy day more than a few times. Really was freaky the first few times then one grew to expect it (and to recognize the warning signs that it was coming). Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 8061 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Day 3 North Pacific view (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 8061 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Day 4 North Pacific view (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 8061 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Do y'all prefer the North America or North Pacific view, or mixing them up from day to day? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 8061 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 Day 5 North America view (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
dolt 1260 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Do y'all prefer the North America or North Pacific view, or mixing them up from day to day? The mixing up has been nice. You are a solid mixer. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Front Ranger 7366 Posted December 30, 2020 Report Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, dolt said: The mixing up has been nice. You are a solid mixer. Well, he is a DJ. 1 1 1 Quote Low. Solar. Link to post Share on other sites
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