Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, mtep said: I wonder when I'll see 40F again after it dips down in an hour or so... hopefully not until next week. Already 39˚F here. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, mtep said: I wonder when I'll see 40F again after it dips down in an hour or so... hopefully not until next week. huh.....I've been below 40 since about 5-6pm.....currently at 36.7. But to your point yeah, hopefully it is the last time we see 40 for a while. This will potentially be a big test for my wife regarding our discussions about a potential move to New England. They are forecasted to be in the 20 during the day, single digits at night, and 20" of snow according to the goofus. Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 00z GFS for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Everybody wants the GFS to lead the way. Definitely colder and snowier runs ahead!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: 00z GFS for comparison Tomorrow’s 45 at PDX already has big bust written all over it. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Tomorrow’s 45 at PDX already has big bust written all over it. 44 right? lol that's what the NWS has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 50/36 for today. +1.1F departure. No measurable rainfall and partly cloudy. Small sample size but Feb is currently running +2.4F so far. Good news is we have been slightly above normal in the precip department to this point. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Nothing kills the mood of this joint like a reality check or two consecutive runs of the ECMWF 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Night shift anybody? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Night shift anybody? You know it. What time is the 06z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Night shift anybody? Not Rob that's for D**n sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: You know it. What time is the 06z GFS? It starts at 1:30 and will be through day ten by 2:30. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: New nickname for the EURO. Soul Crusher! I feel like that was a name used in wrestling back in the 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Down to 34. Chilly night out on the front porch. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6z NAM through HR 33 looks a touch more aggressive with arctic air dumping south into the Columbia Basin. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Those temps for Seattle the GFS is showing are just insanely cold. Even 2019 and 1996 were not THAT cold. You would have to go back to Dec 2008 to find a stretch like that. Looking at the stats on NOAA 2008 was pretty amazing, I forgot how cold it was and for how long, with 13 straight days with highs in the 30's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 00z ECMWF text output for PDX. Snow total would be much higher without that warm nose Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Down to 34. Chilly night out on the front porch. That dog looks like it’s seen some sh*t 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 17 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 6z NAM through HR 33 looks a touch more aggressive with arctic air dumping south into the Columbia Basin. Last few frames show what looks like an inside slider moving SE through the Georgia strait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, Jesse said: That dog looks like it’s seen some sh*t She’s been roaming the hills for 8 years now. She s kind of gotten old overnight, she used to range at night, but now sleeps on the porch. Best dog you ll ever find. She has killed many skunks and possums who were raiding the hen house over the years, and more than a few coyotes. 7 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, JBolin said: Last few frames show what looks like an inside slider moving SE through the Georgia strait Good over-water trajectory too on the NW side of that feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 54 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: huh.....I've been below 40 since about 5-6pm.....currently at 36.7. But to your point yeah, hopefully it is the last time we see 40 for a while. This will potentially be a big test for my wife regarding our discussions about a potential move to New England. They are forecasted to be in the 20 during the day, single digits at night, and 20" of snow according to the goofus. Finally down to 39 here. My area in the Samish neighborhood sometimes takes a while to cool down at night compared to areas farther north, not sure why. I hope that test goes in your favor! I've thought about living in Vermont/New Hampshire/Maine quite a bit, it seems like a really cool area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, wxmet said: NAM is on team EURO. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, wxmet said: Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 NAM is very similar to its last run. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: NAM is on team EURO. Its worse than Euro for that first system. A bit further north and the 850s look even worse. All rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, nwsnow said: Its worse than Euro for that first system. A bit further north and the 850s look even worse. All rain. No basin cold pool at all. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: NAM is on team EURO. The NAM is garbage pretty sure the EURO gave it the boot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: NAM is very similar to its last run. Slightly better at least, still overwhelmingly more Euro like. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6z GFS in 35 minutes. How do you think it will play out? I think 2 1) Holds firm. Arctic blast 2) Moves towards EURO, but still plenty cold enough Salem north for snow 3) Completely caves towards the EURO with the arctic trough stalling and splitting 4) Coldest run yet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No basin cold pool at all. Yep. GFS for comparison. Frigid air in the basin ready to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Radar looks like it might be snowing at Mossman's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 6z GFS in 35 minutes. How do you think it will play out? I think 2 1) Holds firm. Arctic blast 2) Moves towards EURO, but still plenty cold enough Salem north for snow 3) Completely caves towards the EURO with the arctic trough stalling and splitting 4) Coldest run yet 3 I’m so jaded now. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 But if the GFS holds firm.... then we'll wonder if 12z EURO with different data sets this morning turns colder prolonging the agony. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 6z GFS in 35 minutes. How do you think it will play out? I think 2 1) Holds firm. Arctic blast 2) Moves towards EURO, but still plenty cold enough Salem north for snow 3) Completely caves towards the EURO with the arctic trough stalling and splitting 4) Coldest run yet I'm going to stay with 1. (Not sure how you can get much colder) I love underdogs so I'm going to stick with it. Everyone thinks the EURO is so great and that it will verify. As of right now the EURO is the one that's fallen off. I could be wrong, but I'm hoping for the best. And I'm rooting for you guys in Oregon too 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 How does the 9z Zimbabwean model look? It doesn't look cold or snowy, but it does appear we'll be getting a Camel soon for a forum mascot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Anybody got the nam totals for the snowstorm in WA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Anybody got the nam totals for the snowstorm in WA? Less than the 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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