Gradient Keeper Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 6z GEFS 850mb mean temp Seattle: -12.4c Portland: -8.1c Bellingham: -14.2c The Dalles: -17.6 Eugene: -4.4c Surface temps, lowest high/low temps Seattle - 27.5 / 19.7 (Below freezing from 10 PM Wednesday to 4 PM Monday) Portland - 21.9 / 14.1 (Below freezing from 4 AM Wednesday to 4 PM Monday) Bellingham - 18.6 / 7.5 (Below freezing now to 4 PM Monday The Dalles - 14.7 / 6.9 (Below freezing 6 PM Today to 10 AM NEXT Thursday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Not liking what the 6z euro is doing https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Dropped down to -13F already this morning. Pretty impressive considering the REALLY cold air has still yet to arrive. 2 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 37 minutes ago, umadbro said: Not liking what the 6z euro is doing This f**** place needs therapy BADLY! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, umadbro said: Not liking what the 6z euro is doing Ok, I give in, what is it doing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Finally some chilly more winter weather has arrived. Low of 29 and currently sitting at 30. Not feeling confident for snow at my spot, but there is still a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looks a winter storm watch was issued overnight for here, most likely to be changed to a warning by this evening I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 6Z GFS Ensembles for Portland, WOW! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 22 minutes ago, Timmy said: Ok, I give in, what is it doing ? More of a northward shift. PDX is mainly ZR https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awright-31 Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 NWS Seattle hasn’t bit yet. In fact, the discussion this morning states that significant snowfall is not expected. I wonder when they’ll bite. The 6Z GFS was a clear move towards the Euro solution, with both models now calling for significant accumulations south of Seattle. it’s hard to imagine that we get through today without a winter storm watch, considering we’re in the realm of 48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looking at the NAM model 12z runs in 12km and 3km resolution is textbook lesson ....the 12km run has temp of 48 degrees in Eugene in 60 hours whereas the 3km resolution has Eugene 11 degrees colder, 37F. 3km resolution accounts for the Columbia Gorge better. The extent of the sub freezing layer in the Willamette Valley will me more than the GFS and Euro are showing but will just be freezing rain down here. I was celebrating the lack of extreme freezing rain predictions on the last few model runs but at same time know that we are not out of the woods. enjoy your snow up north...Gloat all you want up there, am looking forward to hearing of some big totals. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 29 minutes ago, Timmy said: Through 4pm Thursday 3 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, umadbro said: More of a northward shift. PDX is mainly ZR The nam Is looking similar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: A fair amount more snow for Western WA through Friday evening on the 06z Euro vs 00z. Snow starts Thursday morning. If you don't mind, what does the Euro look like for snow tomorrow in the Sound with the "arctic front?" Really just hoping to take this one storm at a time. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, umadbro said: Through 4pm Thursday Wants to have PDX start as snow Thursday morning, thinks the east winds will usher in colder air faster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 The Euro is horrible in upslope situations, I just don't think the model sees it. GFS does a little better job with it but still pretty poor. I will say it again, someone in a populated area is going to get 20" with this system.........perhaps Bend? Maybe the West Hills of PDX? Somewhere in Clark County?? This is going to be dynamic, probably the most dynamic since Jan 10, 2017 in PDX, but I think this will surpass that event because of how widespread it will be. BUCKLE UP!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Andrew M said: Wants to have PDX start as snow Thursday morning, thinks the east winds will usher in colder air faster Zr signature most the time though for pdx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 hours ago, bainbridgekid said: Weekend storm still falls apart but it gets a lot closer this run. Good trends. Hope we can scour any cold out of here ASAP for a few extra hours of snow!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: Good trends. Hope we can scour any cold out of here ASAP!! Tim, is that you? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Frosty and 27 this morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy said: Zr signature most the time though for pdx Good point, could certainly be more of a ZR event with bursts of snow at times too. Who knows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Things look to have trended way too close for comfort for PDX overnight. Luckily the Seattle area looks to get the huge February event they’ve been way overdue for, AND we won’t have to worry about nasty waste of space unless it’s snowing cold air sticking around too long or spreading too far south. Maybe even Whinin’ Bryant could still end up the big winner! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Andrew M said: Good point, could certainly be more of a ZR event with bursts of snow at times too. Who knows 33-36 degree rain to start for most areas away from the gorge, but I would expect the changeover to occur within 4-5 hours of precipitation commmencing. Most likely some pockets of heavy snow all the way down to Woodburn or so, more focused west of I-5, my best guess. Places like Molalla, Canby, Oregon City, etc....may get the shaft once again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: 33-36 degree rain to start for most areas away from the gorge, but I would expect the changeover to occur within 4-5 hours of precipitation commmencing. Most likely some pockets of heavy snow all the way down to Woodburn or so, more focused west of I-5, my best guess. Places like Molalla, Canby, Oregon City, etc....may get the shaft once again. Seems reasonable. I'm feeling somewhat comfortable here in the west hills of NW Portland, though further slight moves north could even effect here greatly. May still see another nudge south again though as the Euro and GFS come together over the next 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Andrew M said: Seems reasonable. I'm feeling somewhat comfortable here in the west hills of NW Portland, though further slight moves north could even effect here greatly. May still see another nudge south again though as the Euro and GFS come together over the next 24 hours. You're in a good spot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Has the timing sped up for this here arctic front. Seems the old phone app keeps pushing things back. Doesn’t look like a good dumping of snow is possible in Western Wa until Saturday now. push back push back rug pull inbound 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, ..... said: Has the timing sped up for this here arctic front. Seems the old phone app keeps pushing things back. Doesn’t look like a good dumping of snow is possible in Western Wa until Saturday now. push back push back rug pull inbound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Nice looking snow maps here this morning! 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Great nightshift team! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Haven't heard a D**n peep about Tim's daffodils so that means it's game on b****s 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Not sure what is worse, the bust potential at pdx. Or all the Seattle and Canadian folk talking about the “great trends.” My weenie post of the day... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 I think Tim was blocked by iFred 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looking at temps around Bellingham and north it appears to be colder than the Euro forecast and more in line with the GFS so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: Not sure what is worse, the bust potential at pdx. Or all the Seattle ans Canadian folk talking about the “great trends.” My weenie post of the day... Yeah, sorry...I think we owe you guys one after 2019, but 2017 for you all was heartbreaking up here. Not sure which was a better stretch overall. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy said: Not sure what is worse, the bust potential at pdx. Or all the Seattle ans Canadian folk talking about the “great trends.” My weenie post of the day... would you call a day of ZR a bust? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, ..... said: I think Tim was blocked by iFred Wait, really? Did I miss something during the nightshift? 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, GobBluth said: would you call a day of ZR a bust? Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, JBolin said: Haven't heard a D**n peep about Tim's daffodils so that means it's game on b****s I have not posted about daffodils all winter. Pretty proud of that fact! We had a coating of snow of overnight to freshen things up... maybe a 1/4 of an inch. 32 degrees right now. 6 1 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Yeah, sorry...I think we owe you guys one after 2019, but 2017 for you all was heartbreaking up here. Not sure which was a better stretch overall. We owe them nothing. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, GHweatherChris said: We owe them nothing. (I was just being diplomatic. Gimme all the snow) 5 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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