February 2014 in the PNW

[MossMan]

i dont think snow can stick today.... maybe tommrow. I am heading up to everett today you think they will get sticking snow?

Approaching 3/4" here in the 7Lakes area. (West of Smokey Point)

[HighlandExperience]

 

 

Here's the RGEM..

 

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v204/batman7150/rgemsnow.png

 

Mmm that is not to bad for Seattle area.

[Skagit Weather]

It is a shame that where there is the heaviest precipitation it is too warm. Places south of here could be getting a good amount of snow right now if it was just a degree or two colder.

[TT-SEA]

A couple pictures my friends in MN posted on facebook... this is the freeway south of Minneapolis yesterday:

 

 

Parking lot of their office:

 

 

[Bham_Guy]

Looks snowy in MN

[westcoastexpat]

Well, NWS just took down the WSW for the EPSL. Also lowered our totals from 2-5 tonight/tomorrow/tomorrow night to just a measly inch. Can't say I'm surprised.

 

It was quite bullish of them to begin with. I was surprised they even said 2-5 for your region given the GFS (which has had a horrible performance) was the only one suggesting it.

[Parksvillewx]

I hope tomorrow's snowfall performs better. This has been a suckfest so far.

[MossMan]

WSW still up for my area, that is a good sign! Still snowing here also, just got in from playing with the dogs out in it. Almost 1" now on the cooler surfaces. Up to 34 degrees now.

[Snowman5678]

The NWS's reason for dropping the winter storm watch for the EPSL is due to downsloping winds warming us up...

[TT-SEA]

The NWS's reason for dropping the winter storm watch for the EPSL is due to downsloping winds warming us up...

Gradients are flat... wind are light.

[seattleweatherguy]

still light snow here. not sticking. 

[westcoastexpat]

I hope tomorrow's snowfall performs better. This has been a suckfest so far.

 

Stronger easterly winds tomorrow should be very good for your region.

 

Models have been consistent with Parksville/Nanaimo having lesser amounts though (5-8"), than parts of southern Van Is. and the Olympics. The moisture shift south will hurt Parksville for sure.

[Snowman5678]

Gradients are flat... wind are light.

ya...so why would they be saying that...

[Skagit Weather]

Still lightly snowing here, but at 35F the snow on the ground is melting quickly. Went out for a drive and it seems my 100 ft. of elevation helped me significantly. Just down the hill I am on there is only about half the snow.

[Snowman5678]

Precip hanging just north of the king snohomish county border.

[TheBigOne]

Up to the mid 40s here in the Salem/Silverton area and wall to wall sunshine!    You guys can keep you're snow though I hope you enjoy it and make the most of you're snow day.  

 

Is there any chances of an Artic Outbreak in the near or long term future?  Dad and I are going to do yard work this afternoon and it's getting warmer out.    Should we unwrap the hoses or is there another freeze to come? 

 

This morning it was right at 32F on the dot.

[Weather101]

Stronger easterly winds tomorrow should be very good for your region.

 

Models have been consistent with Parksville/Nanaimo having lesser amounts though (5-8"), than parts of southern Van Is. and the Olympics. The moisture shift south will hurt Parksville for sure.

Updates on Vancouver? Temp holding steady at 33F with wet snow

[Bryant]

Updates on Vancouver? Temp holding steady at 33F with wet snow

Take a look at the snow maps that have been posted...

[Snowman5678]

This place is dead...this most likely means everybody is drinking to no end to make themselves feel better because they arent getting snow and the WRF became more realistic...

[westcoastexpat]

This place is dead...this most likely means everybody is drinking to no end to make themselves feel better because they arent getting snow and the WRF became more realistic...

 

GFS busted already. Snow accumulations have only been seen north of Arlington. 0.5-2" across the northern sound in BC so far, in line with Euro/Canadian for this afternoon.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Stronger easterly winds tomorrow should be very good for your region.

 

Models have been consistent with Parksville/Nanaimo having lesser amounts though (5-8"), than parts of southern Van Is. and the Olympics. The moisture shift south will hurt Parksville for sure.

 

Outflow wedging under the moist air can be great for snowfall even up in the Parksville-Nanaimo region. We need to get that weak low to the SW of here as the Arctic high starts to build south tonight into tomorrow. The precip intensity has been weak all day, not enough to hold up against afternoon warming even at some of the higher elevations, it's been snowing all day but melting on impact. I still think the dynamics look better for snow tonight into tomorrow.

[Canadian guy]

Outflow wedging under the moist air can be great for snowfall even up in the Parksville-Nanaimo region. We need to get that weak low to the SW of here as the Arctic high starts to build south tonight into tomorrow. The precip intensity has been weak all day, not enough to hold up against afternoon warming even at some of the higher elevations, it's been snowing all day but melting on impact. I still think the dynamics look better for snow tonight into tomorrow.

Ya today was kind of a bonus day with regards to snow potential. It was always going to be very borderline. We need the outflow to kick in. Still tons of potential for tomorrow.

[MossMan]

Been snowing for almost 7hrs straight now, and yet my accumulations are shrinking. D**n daytime heating. Currently 34.7 with big flakes falling. All grassy areas still white.

[Guest Monty67]

Outflow wedging under the moist air can be great for snowfall even up in the Parksville-Nanaimo region. We need to get that weak low to the SW of here as the Arctic high starts to build south tonight into tomorrow. The precip intensity has been weak all day, not enough to hold up against afternoon warming even at some of the higher elevations, it's been snowing all day but melting on impact. I still think the dynamics look better for snow tonight into tomorrow.

Yeah, even up here at Shawnigan the precip has been too light to hold out against the afternoon warmth. It is still snowing steadily but the 1.5" that was around earlier is more like about 3/4" now, Dissapointed so far.

[GHweatherChris]

GFS busted already. Snow accumulations have only been seen north of Arlington. 0.5-2" across the northern sound in BC so far, in line with Euro/Canadian for this afternoon.

WRF handled today pretty well.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

This place is dead...this most likely means everybody is drinking to no end to make themselves feel better because they arent getting snow and the WRF became more realistic...

The big event was never going to be today.  The show starts later.

[Snowman5678]

GFS busted already. Snow accumulations have only been seen north of Arlington. 0.5-2" across the northern sound in BC so far, in line with Euro/Canadian for this afternoon.

 

Ya i know...everyone is drinking themselves silly because this mornings WRF there only hope is now not showing snow...

[MossMan]

The big event was never going to be today.  The show starts later.

Yeah today has defiantly been a bonus!

[westcoastexpat]

WRF handled today pretty well.

 

Nope.

 

WRF had a dry donut hole around the Fraser Valley which ended up having the most snowfall today (2"). It had areas near the water with the most snow which was not the case at all (trace to nada from melting).

[Snowman5678]

The big event was never going to be today.  The show starts later.

Ya the bigger thing that probably devastated some of the model riders was the fact that the WRF got rid of snow for most.

[epiceast]

Need heavier precip/stronger low... On paper all of this should be snow with current 925mb temps. They are also running about 1c below where WRF had them this morning.

[Parksvillewx]

Maybe there will be a nice snowy surprise when I wake up tomorrow AM to watch a certain hockey game...

[Bryant]

18z trended towards the Euro/GEM for snowfall totals in Whatcom County

[Weather101]

18z trended towards the Euro/GEM for snowfall totals in Whatcom County

What does it show for the Vancouver area? Or can you send me the link to it please

[MossMan]

18z trended towards the Euro/GEM for snowfall totals in Whatcom County

How does the 18z look for Northern Snohomish Co?

[seattleweatherguy]

I think the question is how cold will it get and how far south will the cold come. That frasier river valley must get going

[Bryant]

What does it show for the Vancouver area? Or can you send me the link to it please

  

How does the 18z look for Northern Snohomish Co?

http://i57.tinypic.com/2jfakad.png

[MossMan]

http://i57.tinypic.com/2jfakad.png

Thanks! I don't like that dry slot over my house, but I'm not too worried about it.

[Bryant]

Thanks! I don't like that dry slot over my house, but I'm not too worried about it.

GFS is the only model showing the dry slots as far as I know

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nope.

 

WRF had a dry donut hole around the Fraser Valley which ended up having the most snowfall today (2"). It had areas near the water with the most snow which was not the case at all (trace to nada from melting).

lets not forget the gfs was first to even show this even being possible. And for some places it will verify. It has been showing the same basic pattern for this weekend for 5 days.