PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS Day 10 (Past 4 runs) Much more promising for a possible ridge merger on the ensembles. Ridge trending stronger too.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10.5 hmmm

[GHweatherChris]

The models started teasing on 11/21/21.

[Gradient Keeper]

That is a mega ridge on the GEFS

[FroYoBro]

11 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Wet deck.

Nice. What are you wearing?

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 11.5 The block is too far west, but my god that is a very strong signal. Unbelievable potential ahead.

[snow_wizard]

12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z GEFS Day 10 (Past 4 runs) Much more promising for a possible ridge merger on the ensembles. Ridge trending stronger too.

No doubt it's going to come down to how that trough splits before the ridge merger.  A great outcome is very possible.

[GHweatherChris]

20 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Wet deck.

[Anti Marine Layer]

15 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

The models started teasing on 11/21/21.

When did you start teasing your raccoon? 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 1 C'mon ridge merger!

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

When did you start teasing your raccoon? 

Never happened. They hooked up on the first date.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

[SouthHillFrosty]

Vancouver and Medford look like big winners of the 00z

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Vancouver and Medford look like big winners of the 00z

That is one giant snow hole

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

That is one giant snow hole

There will be a new winner on the next run and the run after that 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[The Blob]

35 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Nice. What are you wearing?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Night shift Rob?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like we were 60/30 on the day. Currently 47F with occasional light showers.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Snownerd3000]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

There will be a new winner on the next run and the run after that 

true.  Mostly wanted to share my knowledge of Ren and Stimpy.

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Night shift Rob?

I would, but early day dentist appointment. That should be a blast. I hope I get some gas. I MEANT .... right. Not the... Right.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said:

Even the "bad runs" (are we to that point yet?) still have the Pacific shutting down. This is a pretty massive block. 

As long as that happens, I like our chances of eventually scoring especially moreso than the pattern we are currently in. The details will work themselves out. 

For sure.  The first attempt may not work out perfectly, but there will likely be subsequent rearrangements of the same basic setup.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

I would, but early day dentist appointment. That should be a blast. I hope I get some gas. I MEANT .... right. Not the... Right.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z CMCE Canadian ensembles were.... dreadful. Let's hope there's no chance that ends up being right and we don't see models showing this in 4-5 days. NOPE!

[Gradient Keeper]

Back to the EURO

Day 6

[GHweatherChris]

33 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Never happened. They hooked up on the first date.

When you know, you know!!

[Kolk1604]

I leave for work around 5:15am. Kinda wish the EPS came first lol

[Phil]

Dr. No is back.

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

I leave for work around 5:15am. Kinda wish the EPS came first lol

EPS runs on Pivotal 12:29 AM.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Kolk1604]

3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

EPS runs on Pivotal 12:29 AM.

That's so late. It starts just before the Euro is done on weatherbell

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[High Desert Mat?]

All in all good signals coming up. Bottom line is that a huge pattern change is coming. Devil will be in the details. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, DJ Droppin said:

Day 9'er

Nope 

[Gradient Keeper]

Closer to the GEM than the GFS progression

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10 Well, that's different. First run with a much stronger offshore ridge.

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 10 Well, that's different. First run with a much stronger offshore ridge.