April 10th - 15th Extremely dynamic storm system

[Timmy Supercell]

It's like the instability just about dies in the northeastern corner of KY in a lot of these events. But locations directly to my south look to be still getting a t'storm. 

The wind is here. Have a few gusts 20-30 mph, but no lightning. 

[Phil]

26 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It's like the instability just about dies in the northeastern corner of KY in a lot of these events. But locations directly to my south look to be still getting a t'storm. 

The wind is here. Have a few gusts 20-30 mph, but no lightning. 

The timing of these fronts has been insanely unlucky for your area. I think they’ve basically all been nocturnal passages, with pre-frontal stratiform rain damping instability.

Good news is the timing thing will work itself out eventually. And instability won’t be an issue much longer.

You’ll know you’re in for a big severe day when it’s sunny during the midday hours, ahead of an afternoon/evening shortwave or frontal system. Those are the ones that nail your area.

[Phil]

Severe chances seem pretty low here tomorrow as well. Afternoon frontal passage but the instability just isn’t there, and downsloping flow will dry the BL/delay convective initiation.

Probably end up with a thin line of showers and a 40mph gust front rolling down the mountains. Hope I’m wrong.

[Tom]

Minot, ND takes the cake for the jackzone...30" reported at 10:30pm last night and it was still snowing...this has been a historic blizzard for those up north!  It appears that nearly 3/4's of the state literally got socked with 10"+ of snow and blizzard conditions the past couple days.  Both Incredible and Fascinating.  

[CentralNebWeather]

2 hours ago, Tom said:

Minot, ND takes the cake for the jackzone...30" reported at 10:30pm last night and it was still snowing...this has been a historic blizzard for those up north!  It appears that nearly 3/4's of the state literally got socked with 10"+ of snow and blizzard conditions the past couple days.  Both Incredible and Fascinating.  

And the most we could get for a storm was 2” and a total of 12” for the season. 

[Iceresistance]

10 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

And the most we could get for a storm was 2” and a total of 12” for the season. 

I got good news about the extremely dry situation in Nebraska, I'll mention you in a different post, in a different forum.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

30" in Minot. Wow.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

Currently getting pretty large flakes at a decent clip. 29*F.

[CentralNebWeather]

3 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

I got good news about the extremely dry situation in Nebraska, I'll mention you in a different post, in a different forum.

I hope there is good news.  Right now it is a dire situation.  Looking at the latest models, things don't improve.

[Iceresistance]

2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I hope there is good news.  Right now it is a dire situation.  Looking at the latest models, things don't improve.

It's been posted in the April 2022 Discussion

[CentralNebWeather]

19 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

It's been posted in the April 2022 Discussion

Thanks for posting.  We'll take any hope at this point.

[Phil]

15 hours ago, Phil said:

Severe chances seem pretty low here tomorrow as well. Afternoon frontal passage but the instability just isn’t there, and downsloping flow will dry the BL/delay convective initiation.

Probably end up with a thin line of showers and a 40mph gust front rolling down the mountains. Hope I’m wrong.

Yup, as expected, little to no precip (let alone thunder, ha). Just a surge of wind rolling down the mountains.

Looks like ~ 45mph on velocity, so basically a typical spring cool front. Hopefully the next system is more exciting out this way.

[Tom]

Winds are really howling out there right now gusting up to 50mph.   Just had the light flicker inside.  Hope we don’t see any power outages.

[jaster220]

Yup, Dakotas in spring

000
NWUS53 KBIS 142019
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
319 PM CDT THU APR 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HEAVY SNOW       3 NW MINOT              48.26N 101.34W
04/14/2022  E36.0 INCH       WARD               ND   PUBLIC

            THERE IS INHERENT DIFFICULTY IN SNOW
            MEASUREMENTS WHEN HEAVY SNOW COMBINES WITH
            60 MPH WIND GUSTS, BUT IN CONVERSATIONS WITH
            THE PERSON WHO REPORTED THIS AND THE WARD
            COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER, 36 INCHES IS A
            REASONABLE STORM TOTAL ESTIMATION BASED ON
            THE NUMBER OF MEASUREMENTS AND PICTURES THIS
            OBSERVER SENT TO NWS BISMARCK. SOME LIGHT
            SNOW OCCURRED AFTER TIME OF OBSERVATION AS
            WELL.

[Timmy Supercell]

Tornado damage is being surveyed in parts of Kentucky. I thought that was a little too quiet on the tornado reports considering the line that went through. 

[IMoveALot_Weather]

Just took this in Rogers. Feels every bit like winter outside with a single digit wind chill and blowing snow. Heavy snow fell earlier.

[Tom]

44 minutes ago, MSP_Weather said:

Just took this in Rogers. Feels every bit like winter outside with a single digit wind chill and blowing snow. Heavy snow fell earlier.

 

Looks like the fast start to Autumn they had up north!  Haha....geeze, what an unusual wx pattern we are experiencing.  Our Sub Forum is so far reaching we get to read and hear so many wide range of wx reporting is quite fascinating.  Don't worry, it'll feel like summer the following weekend up your way when a massive ridge builds in the center of the nation.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

Btw, Minot's final storm total is 36". They average 51.8" of snowfall per season.

[Timmy Supercell]

Apparently Mayfield had another tornado on 4/13. EF1 dmg. Not a good few months of weather for them. 

[Iceresistance]

PDS Tornado Warning for Northern Arkansas!

[Iceresistance]

4 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

PDS Tornado Warning for Northern Arkansas!

This has been upgraded to a TORNADO EMERGENCY!

[Iceresistance]

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR HARDY, HIGHLAND AND WILLIFORD...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
RANDOLPH...NORTHEASTERN IZARD...EASTERN FULTON...NORTHWESTERN
LAWRENCE AND CENTRAL SHARP COUNTIES...

At 734 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Hardy, or 9 miles east of Cherokee Village, moving east at 50
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for HARDY, HIGHLAND AND WILLIFORD. This is a
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cherokee Village...               Ash Flat...
Horseshoe Bend...                 Highland in Sharp County...
Mammoth Spring...                 Hardy...
Imboden...                        Ravenden...
Ravenden Springs...               Ballard...
Annieville...                     Mammoth Spring State Park...
Smithville...                     Williford...
Agnos...                          Armstrong...
Heart...                          Kittle...
Wirth...                          Saddle...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 9180 3650 9161 3650 9115 3601 9121
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 283DEG 44KT 3629 9139

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...4.00 IN

 

[Timmy Supercell]

Whoa! It's rare to see reflectivity this high!

[Iceresistance]

Under a Thunderstorm watch until 2 AM

[Iceresistance]

It appears that we may have a rare Tornado Emergency bust, but it's better be safe than sorry, it's easier to take the blame for a warning for a tornado that was weak than nothing at all for a Tornadic Supercell (Unless it happened very quickly and without any prior warning signs)

Another thing to note is that the storm was in a nasty radar hole.

[Andie]

18 hours ago, MSP_Weather said:

Btw, Minot's final storm total is 36". They average 51.8" of snowfall per season.

I read a story on this storm where  a small herd of thoroughbred horses were trapped at their barn covered with snow and ice. 
The 1 miniature pony couldn’t make it through the 3’ drifts and the others trampled down a  path to save their friend.   
Owner wasn’t sure is all the horses would be healthy.  It was a wait and see deal.   I saw a similar snow in New Zealand in around mid 1990’s where “townies” came out to save the flocks of sheep.   

[OKwx2k4]

Well, my region is seeing drought risks eliminated through June, but the areas forming west of me are in bad shape and continuing to be placed under red flags.

[Timmy Supercell]

9 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

It appears that we may have a rare Tornado Emergency bust, but it's better be safe than sorry, it's easier to take the blame for a warning for a tornado that was weak than nothing at all for a Tornadic Supercell (Unless it happened very quickly and without any prior warning signs)

Another thing to note is that the storm was in a nasty radar hole.

Someone confirmed a "wedge" tornado last night. Really curious as to how big though. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Pictures from Walnut Ridge, AR. Damage done by the hail!

[Iceresistance]

NO tornado has been confirmed in Northern Arkansas, I'm confused. It's possible that one existed, but it's evidence was wiped by the extremely intense wind and hail.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 hour ago, Iceresistance said:

NO tornado has been confirmed in Northern Arkansas, I'm confused. It's possible that one existed, but it's evidence was wiped by the extremely intense wind and hail.

 

[Timmy Supercell]

It's hard to flip cars and destroy portable buildings with just plain wind gusts IMO. 

[Iceresistance]

16 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It's hard to flip cars and destroy portable buildings with just plain wind gusts IMO. 

Apparently, the cars rolled because they lost control due to the amount of hail on the roadways

[Timmy Supercell]

41 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Apparently, the cars rolled because they lost control due to the amount of hail on the roadways

A spotter was still there and they had confirmation of a tornado on ground. 

Somebody reported a "wedge" so again that kind of wording wouldn't be on the SPC if they couldn't confirm a tornado.

[OmahaSnowFan]

1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said:

A spotter was still there and they had confirmation of a tornado on ground. 

Somebody reported a "wedge" so again that kind of wording wouldn't be on the SPC if they couldn't confirm a tornado.

NWS confirmed no tornado. Damage from straight line winds and big hail.

[Iceresistance]

7 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

A spotter was still there and they had confirmation of a tornado on ground. 

Somebody reported a "wedge" so again that kind of wording wouldn't be on the SPC if they couldn't confirm a tornado.

It's still possible that a tornado did exist, but it's evidence was erased by the crazy wind & Hail.

[Timmy Supercell]

20 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

NWS confirmed no tornado. Damage from straight line winds and big hail.

Thanks for sharing that. Occasionally the best of us are proven wrong.

This is also a good example that not all supercells can produce tornadoes. I've heard of some HP's over the years that are massive hailers but I guess their wall clouds just don't have enough organization.