WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, Kolk1604 said: I just don't think we should discount the EMCWF when it's had the same solution pretty much all weekend. The only thing that's changed is timing The gods must have heard all the complaining and thought "I heard you guys wanted to experience both temperature extremes this year..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 We still 48-60 hours of model riding to go before this is fully locked in. A lot can still change, but no idea if that will be in our favor or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Did Andrew really get suspended? 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, Terreboner said: What's up with that warm pocket in the eastern Gorge? Spokane/ far eastern WA area gets coldest when it comes from the Northeast down the Purcell Trench from E BC into N ID. this is coming from the N/NW component. A lot of times these underperform in this area, but over perform over near Omak, Moses Lake and the Gorge, etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Did Andrew really get suspended? Yes Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: I love Judah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Yes Why??? 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Did Andrew really get suspended? Yeah for no reason. Am I next? Are you? I don't play games if that occurs I'll just leave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Why??? Good Question. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Did Andrew really get suspended? That’s just baffling. Andrew actually provides quality material. 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Looking at those ECMWF temps, I don't think we need to worry about the ground being too warm for accumulating snow . Looks kind of like a inverse of the June 2021 heat dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: I will mention a handful of times we've actually seen the GEFS/EPS to be an outlier briefly which then catch up to the Op. It's rare. I don't think that's the case here. Who knows. Onto 00z! As I understand it, less deviation between the op and control means resolution plays less of a role in differences shown by the EPS yea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 The cold map isn't that different than Feb, 2021. Just colder in the PNW west of the Cascades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I don’t think it will happen that way either Matt. Good points jesse what do you think about this fog kinda makes things chilly There also is no solid analog for a Cat5 December model tease followed by a January where some smart a** lawyer ends up looking like a TOTAL GENIUS. Gonna happen, though. Merry Christmas to you and yours! 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I don't see why one moderator should have the power to suspend people without listing a reason. 5 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Because the uncertainty of what's gonna happen with the supposed arctic front isn't enough, a bit of forum drama will keep us focused and generate clicks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Yeah for no reason. Am I next? Are you? I don't play games if that occurs I'll just leave. If this thing falls apart and January fails to materialize I’m sure Fred will shut me down like a Mervyns California. 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: We still 48-60 hours of model riding to go before this is fully locked in. A lot can still change, but no idea if that will be in our favor or not. Hey Rob, can you tell about when the front looks to roll through PDX area. I can't tell. Sunday? Monday? I can't imagine the ECMWF 2m temps are that cold for PDX. Mid teens really realistic for those highs? What do you see? I'm roughly 15 miles from you. My lowest temps for my location (I'm between Estacada and Redland) was two nights of 8. That was Dec 2013) My creek froze over. Old timers said that was a first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I've got nothing but good to say about Andrew, he's never offended me in any way and provides awesome Content. hopefully He will be back soon. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Good points jesse what do you think about this fog kinda makes things chilly There also is no solid analog for a Cat5 December model tease followed by a January where some smart a** lawyer ends up looking like a TOTAL GENIUS. Gonna happen, though. Merry Christmas to you and yours! I want the four seconds of my life I spent reading this back. 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Free my boi Andrew 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 May as well suspend me if you're going to do Andrew dirty like that. I'm not posting any 00z content if you don't lift the suspension and mail him a gift card to Radio Shack. I'm serious though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: Spokane/ far eastern WA area gets coldest when it comes from the Northeast down the Purcell Trench from E BC into N ID. this is coming from the N/NW component. A lot of times these underperform in this area, but over perform over near Omak, Moses Lake and the Gorge, etc Look at the map. Your answer isn't pertinent. I was only mentioning that one small area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I want the four seconds of my life I spent reading this back. You read it!!! I’m SLOWLY climbing that anger wall! 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: May as well suspend me if you're going to do Andrew dirty like that. I'm not posting any 00z content if you don't lift the suspension and mail him a gift card to Radio Shack. I'm serious though. He is still in the loop. Lurking and talking to me on Facebook messenger, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 EPS Mean is backing off. Details need to fill in to tell this story. This is the coldest moment in the 12z EPS full run, with -8c 850T briefly over Seattle. Past 4 runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Why??? Not really sure. Seems cryptic and behind the scenes type stuff above my pay grade. 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I sense a good old fashioned forum meltdown coming soon. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 This isn't over yet. Good chunk of -7 to -12c members. Obviously more 'warm' members than we'd like, but all hope is not lost yet. Yet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: This isn't over yet. Good chunk of -7 to -12c members. Obviously more 'warm' members than we'd like, but all hope is not lost yet. Yet. Interesting how the control delays it even more and still gets to the same place as the operational. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: This isn't over yet. Good chunk of -7 to -12c members. Obviously more 'warm' members than we'd like, but all hope is not lost yet. Yet. A little warmer and more snow is good by me!!! I saw that -26 2M temp and about wanted to cry. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 OP run does appear to be an outlier, but it does have a few members to support it. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I sense a good old fashioned forum meltdown coming soon. The Euro kept the puppies at bay for now. On sad note, if the cold/snow verifies the puppies get euthanized. 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Also note, the control agrees w/ the operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I sense a good old fashioned forum meltdown coming soon. Matt right now 3 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 What did Andrew do to warrant being suspended? 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Also note, the control agrees w/ the operational. Yes indeed. I have been saying that might be an important detail. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: What did Andrew do to warrant being suspended? Has to do with a certain German spoof. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, Terreboner said: Has to do with a certain German spoof. Ah. I did Nazi that ban coming. 5 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: What did Andrew do to warrant being suspended? Nothing, noone did anything, Fred is flexing his control of the forums, which is just wrong. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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