PNW December 2022 - Part II

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

This got buried on the last page but this gives you a good idea of what’s going on at 2500’ and what’s going on with the low. 

Explain this to me like I'm 5

[Randyc321]

18 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

At this point we might as well just look at these…

It hasn’t budged much yet. 
the 925 line I mean

[Prairiedog]

18 minutes ago, Ziess said:

That warm nose in Clackamas county surely can’t be accurate. 

You haven't lived here long. LOL  In these overrunning events, they are famous, or rather infamous. Many stories to be told about them.  None of them nice.   Right up the foothill flanks and sometimes from around Silverton to Sandy is one of the favorite "hot" spots.

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

Tonight really reminds me how tough weather forecasting can be. I am not envious of those in the profession.

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Explain this to me like I'm 5

Basically It’s 2500’ (925mb=2500’) above the surface temperature. Where they meet is 0 Celsius. The red lines are above 0c and the blue lines farther north are colder air below 0c…each line represents further north -1C cooler. 

[MossMan]

I must be getting cold tongued. Back down to 22.8

[Jbolin]

I'm thinking that "battle zone" is overhead Seattle, quite a few reports of rain, Cap Hill, DT, West Seattle, Beacon Hill 

[Terreboner]

2 minutes ago, Prairiedog said:

You haven't lived here long. LOL  In these overrunning events, they are famous, or rather infamous. Many stories to be told about them.  None of them nice.   Right up the foothill flanks and sometimes from around Silverton to Sandy is one of the favorite "hot" spots.

Yep, posted it many times over the years on multiple sites.  My dad lives at 800' elevation off of Beaver Creek rd. between Molalla & Oregon City.  He has elevation and kind of sits in a hole that is isolated from the winds.  It doesn't matter, that warm mother fukker gets him when it is snowing at sea level in SE PDX.

[runninthruda206]

1 minute ago, JSnowlin said:

I'm thinking that "battle zone" is overhead Seattle, quite a few reports of rain, Cap Hill, DT, West Seattle, Beacon Hill 

Still light snow I’m Fremont! Not much to show for it though…

[TT-SEA]

Based on the wide range UW radar loop... it feels like the low offshore is winding up now and pulling the precip back from the coast and from Seattle southward but its warm front feature is enhancing from Seattle northward.

https://atmos.uw.edu/current-weather/northwest-radar/

[icyasf]

Hey guys, I’ve been lurking for a while now but decided to make an account. I’m in Corvallis!

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, icyasf said:

hey guys, i’ve been lurking for a while now but decided to make an account because i think it would be nice to have more oregon posters. i’m at 340 feet in west corvallis!

Another lurker! Welcome, glad to have you in the discussion

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, icyasf said:

hey guys, i’ve been lurking for a while now but decided to make an account because i think it would be nice to have more oregon posters. i’m at 340 feet in west corvallis!

Welcome!

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

2 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

I'm thinking that "battle zone" is overhead Seattle, quite a few reports of rain, Cap Hill, DT, West Seattle, Beacon Hill 

Still snow here, for now.

[snow maniac]

Been snowing lightly here since around 5 got a nice 1/4 inch now. 30 degrees 

[Cloud]

Go time for the GFS. 

[Meatyorologist]

SPC mesoanalysis is showing a stronger low depicted than what the RGEM shows right now. Leaning in the Euro direction, and would not be surprised to see a switchover to rain.

As it stands, temps are slowly rebounding after the heavy precip to 31/30.

[Terreboner]

3 minutes ago, icyasf said:

hey guys, i’ve been lurking for a while now but decided to make an account because i think it would be nice to have more oregon posters. i’m at 340 feet in west corvallis!

Uh oh, TWL 2.0.  Don't expect too much there, lol.

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

SPC mesoanalysis is showing a stronger low depicted than what the RGEM shows right now. Leaning in the Euro direction, and would not be surprised to see a switchover to rain.

As it stands, temps are slowly rebounding after the heavy precip to 31/30.

D*mn it.

[Hawksfan2008]

Welp, go RGEM I guess. Not as good as hoped but not terrible.

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

Uh oh, TWL 2.0.  Don't expect too much there, lol.

That area can do pretty great at times. 2013/2014 some areas there approached 20-25" of snow. They also had over 25" in 1992-1993. Great place for cold air damming I'd assume

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Gfs a little south and crushes the sound

[Front Ranger]

GFS looking better!

[Meatyorologist]

00z GFS has a similar SE/weaker shift to the RGEM

[Snownerd3000]

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?fronts_ir+1

So far a little lower in pressure but has a little friend along for the ride 

[Hawksfan2008]

GFS might just save us… 

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

The arctic front tomorrow still looks probable, correct?

[Cloud]

Look like the GFS is going a touch south w/ the low. Similar to the RGEM. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 hour ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Big flakes in downtown poulsbo on the waterfront.  No sticking on the road yet!

Small flakes up on the hill.  But that is gorgeous.  

 

That may be my daughter's car on the left.  Bizarre.

[snowbustcity]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

SPC mesoanalysis is showing a stronger low depicted than what the RGEM shows right now. Leaning in the Euro direction, and would not be surprised to see a switchover to rain.

As it stands, temps are slowly rebounding after the heavy precip to 31/30.

Nooo…don’t say that lol.

[Snownerd3000]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Gfs a little south and crushes the sound

Was just gonna say you looked to get nuked 

[Perturbed Member]

I see the PDX NWS has gone ahead and put in 1-2 inch and 1-3 inch snow forecasts all around different parts of the PDX metro for Thursday night. Bold.

 

[Jbolin]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I must be getting cold tongued. Back down to 22.8

Gross dude. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Even snowier!!!!!!

[Doinko]

Just now, Perturbed Member said:

I see the PDX NWS has gone ahead and put in 1-2 inch and 1-3 inch snow forecasts all around different parts of the PDX metro for Thursday night. Bold.

 

They're also going extremely cold compared to other forecasts

[Cloud]

[MikeInEverett]

29 with moderate snow! That warm tongue can stay as far away from here as possible please.

[Jbolin]

Well, there ya have it folks.

From a Ph.D and a met at NWS Seattle

It's "over" 

[Timmy]

Snowing in the gorge, let’s get that thing nice and cold!

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

I see the PDX NWS has gone ahead and put in 1-2 inch and 1-3 inch snow forecasts all around different parts of the PDX metro for Thursday night. Bold.

Timidity has never been in their nature.