Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
Not an accurate image, Jessie has too short of a barrel for that... stuff.... to gain enough momentum to travel that far. There's also no lotion in the photo, and considering he has a religious name, he likely needs lotion.
Other than that, spot on!
There'll be some Avalanche danger but it shouldn't be that bad, and we always turn back if it gets too dangerous. Thank you for well wishes.
Im still in shock about what happened to Rocky Shorey last month, he was a very well experienced and accomplished Mountaineer, but he made 1 simple mistake by stepping onto the cornice and it ended the poor guys life. I've spent a day with rocky a few years back, my buddy was good friends with him and it worked out for us to all go up Jefferson together, and although I didn't get to know him that well in 1 day, it seemed like he was a good and respectful guy and not the type to mess around and make stupid mistakes, and he had a VERY good sense of humor. It was a tragic incident that could've happened to anyone. Deep condolences to his family.
Believe it or not you could have two niños that are almost clones structurally, but entirely different regional outcomes with the slightest tweaks to a few boundary conditions.
You can’t know how healthy/coupled a niño is from the weather in your backyard (unless you live in Peru or Australia, maybe). Structurally speaking, the 2023/24 was one of the most majestic of the 21st century, and teleconnected beautifully w/ the extratropics.
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