Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
General Mattis certainly turned into an incredible disappointment.
Yeah, she is overzealous, but it's interesting how the left and their media lapdogs employee extremely sexist tropes against her.
Trump always was and always has been a mascot. He's an avatar for working class rage. Him calling out the elites is more than we've ever had anyone stand up for us before. We know he's just one man, but he's willing to sacrifice his own comfort for us. He's given up everything to stand up for the working class, he isn't one of us, he didn't have to do that, but he did. So do I think he is ridiculous, of course, but at the same time I have to recognize he's the only person willing to stand up and fight for people like me.
Also I would add. The media is trying to scare us about how Trump would dismantle a number of federal agencies if he is elected. Sounds like draining the swamp to me. They say he has a plan to really do it this time, you believe every terrible thing you read or hear about Trump in the media, but you don't believe that?
KOIN and KGW agree. KATU is going 91, then 90.
What I'm seeing. While median 850s didn't change, too end 850s went up about a degree. Downslope the Euro is going with a 1023 high, to a 1016 low. WRF is doing a 1022 high to a 1014 low. HRRR is a 1025 high to a 1015 low. The Euro didn't change much over 2 days, while WRF and HRRR's gradient went up, without much change in 850s.
Using a modified Temperature potential formula that would better (but not completly) account for this downsloping (aka changing variables in said formula), I come out with a 90 (rounded down) now; instead of 89 (rounded up) just using raw data. Knowing PDX will overperform (and downslope is superadiabatic), I'll jump my forecast to 91 Friday. 89-92 is probably range right now.
Here is for Europe. Overall the trend is pretty similar as an average, -17.9% to -20.4%. We’re lucky that west of the Cascades we have the most positive snowfall trend. No other places have over 100% positive trend. It could be much worse for us, wow just look at England, Denmark and Eastern Europe.
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