2/14 - 2/17 Cutter and Panhandle Hook

[jcwxguy]

[gimmesnow]

I thought this was hilarious

Quote

The boss wants the forecast NOW but the models are garbage, what do I do?! I know, I'll just give every snow chance between a trace and 15 inches about 23% probability! There's literally no way I can be wrong!

 

[jcwxguy]

[Clinton]

18z Euro Control is juiced. 

[Iceresistance]

This is trending closer to me with the snow

[jcwxguy]

lol, hope its right 

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

Nam says meh

[Madtown]

3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Go Chiefs!!

 

More like go refs...man what a brutal call.

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[Clinton]

What a game!  Southern edge of that snow creeping in on KC!  Way to go Chiefs!

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[Money]

Jc apparently thinks there’s only one region affected by this 

[OmahaSnowFan]

When the Icon is the best model for your backyard, you’re losing.

[winterfreak]

What a day! Snow chances increasing? Hmmm…

[The Snowman]

21 minutes ago, Money said:

Jc apparently thinks there’s only one region affected by this 

Well, it makes sense a Nebraska-based member is posting Nebraska-based maps, no?

There's also nothing stopping you from adding maps of different regions.

[Grizzcoat]

ukie-

[Hawkeye]

There's still time for this system to trend a bit stronger again or continue to trend down to very little.

[Bryan1117]

1 hour ago, Madtown said:

More like go refs...man what a brutal call.

Even the defender on the play (Bradberry) said he committed the penalty (defensive holding) and was just hoping the refs didn't call it. GO CHIEFS!!!!

[Grizzcoat]

^^ I got no team in the mix- but's that a lame penalty to lose/win a title on. Refs shouldn't decide a tie title game with under 2 minutes left unless it's egregious and obvious. PLenty of holding calls on KC on that drive that were not called - if you think that was Def holding-- just saying-- Refs were terrible this post season.

[james1976]

7 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

^^ I got no team in the mix- but's that a lame penalty to lose/win a title on. Refs shouldn't decide a tie title game with under 2 minutes left unless it's egregious and obvious. Refs were terrible this post season.

Also for the NBA. Awful calls that have cost games. Not saying this particular call cost the game but just reflecting what you're saying......just bad officiating in general with sports.

[Grizzcoat]

Euro is more robust with snowfall for many (in this region) IF others want snowfall maps where there is little to no snowfall - let them post there own snowfall maps.

[Grizzcoat]

00Z Euro

[MKEstorm]

5 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

00Z Euro

@Grizzcoat, is it possible you could post this map further east into Wisconsin? I don't know where to find this map. It would be much appreciated...thanks!

[Grizzcoat]

http://proa.accuweather.com/adcgrads/graphic.aspx?mod=ecmwfued_rapid&mt=00&hr=126&map=WI&gv0=C&mv0=null&mv1=null&mv2=sfsfc&gs=mslp_thk_pcp&mv5=999&mv8=scheme:white10snowknocke,kuchera,metar,county:55&cap=Total%20Snow%20Accumulation%20(Kuchera%20Method)&uid=kucheratot_2023021300_whitecounty

[MKEstorm]

2 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

http://proa.accuweather.com/adcgrads/graphic.aspx?mod=ecmwfued_rapid&mt=00&hr=126&map=WI&gv0=C&mv0=null&mv1=null&mv2=sfsfc&gs=mslp_thk_pcp&mv5=999&mv8=scheme:white10snowknocke,kuchera,metar,county:55&cap=Total Snow Accumulation (Kuchera Method)&uid=kucheratot_2023021300_whitecounty

Hey Thanks! @Grizzcoat

[Grizzcoat]

[jcwxguy]

Slightly different from AccuWeather 

[Black Hole]

No snow, but still an interesting forecast coming up. Looks like wind gusts Tuesday to around 50 mph. Very strong winds aloft and some convection moving through will mix some of these winds down. Probably 0.5-1" of rain for NE OK.

My area could thread the needle between the winter and severe weather areas and get basically nothing Wednesday, but there will be interesting weather not far away. 

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

Kinda interesting that both nam and then have 2 small bands

[Grizzcoat]

[Grizzcoat]

[jaster220]

14 hours ago, Clinton said:

Strong push of cold air behind the front.  Should make for some good ratios, hope it can come south another 60 to 80 miles.

I'm not hopeful for mby here in DTW-land (LOL @ some of the Euro maps showing snow near here), but moreso for the Traverse region where I will be from the 19th-22nd. It's February and looking and feeling like late March around here (even our meager snow piles are going away thanks to RN and 50's). I wouldn't mind seeing more true winter before another long warm season set in.

[Clinton]

6 hours ago, Bryan1117 said:

Even the defender on the play (Bradberry) said he committed the penalty (defensive holding) and was just hoping the refs didn't call it. GO CHIEFS!!!!

Philly has a great team and a good chance of getting back.  This was sweet as a Chiefs fan not just because of Mahomes being hurt and still winning but the road to get there was tough.  The AFC has 5 elite level QBs to beat, outside of Hurts the QB play in the NFC is a puddle of crap and it showed with that Philly defense.  0 sacks and 38 points allowed.

[Hawkeye]

The 00z Euro trending stronger again is a nice surprise.  However, other models are still trending the other way, flattening and stringing out the energy, so it's difficult to buy the Euro.  The energy won't be onshore until Tuesday morning and won't dig into the sw US until Tuesday evening to Wednesday morning.   The first big wave of energy (rain system) won't lift through our region until then as well.  Models need more time to figure this out. 

[GDR]

Outside of bills and bengals AFC is trash and AFC West is junk so KC has a walk in the park every year.

[Clinton]

6z Euro

[Tom]

 

22 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Philly has a great team and a good chance of getting back.  This was sweet as a Chiefs fan not just because of Mahomes being hurt and still winning but the road to get there was tough.  The AFC has 5 elite level QBs to beat, outside of Hurts the QB play in the NFC is a puddle of crap and it showed with that Philly defense.  0 sacks and 38 points allowed.

Ya, what they heck happened to the dominant Eagles "D"?  It was non existent...Mahomes had so much time countless of times.  In fact, the last drive he ran for 26 yards and basically set up the winning drive at the 18 yard line.  Even if that holding call didn't happen, the odds of making a FG that close is high.  Congrats on the win!  It was a close battle and an entertaining game for sure.

[Andie]

20 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

@Andie is still under the Severe Weather threat for Wednesday.

Duck and cover.  

Hope we avoid the hail and tornadoes.  Too early to start that stuff.   

[Tom]

0z EPS...some decent members showing up for N IL...kinda interesting trends to see the UKIE come SE along with the GEFS...if anything, ORD could score a couple inches to stat pad the snow stats and not make this a snowless FEB.

 

[jcwxguy]

[CentralNebWeather]

4 minutes ago, jcwxguy said:

From what looked like a major storm for some on here, has turned to a few bands of snow.  I hope to get a few inches at most.  Weather apps here have 1-3" Wednesday, 1-3" Wednesday night.  Might be a little high, we'll see.

[tStacsh]

Looks like a slop fest with sleet/freezing rain and snow  here instead of rain.  Yawn.     Let's just get to spring already.  Ready to track thunderstorms.  

[Hawkeye]

The 12z RDPS has trended further toward nothing.  I have to think the Euro cannot remain as robust as it is and it will trend weaker.

[CentralNebWeather]

NWS Hastings thinking.  Looking at models this morning, I'd bet this will be decreased this afternoon.  Unless the 12Z run of GFS, ICON, Canadian, and Euro are more robust.