TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Interestingly enough, even with the +ENSO, the daily northern hemispheric surface temperature anomaly is now the lowest it’s been in over 3 years. We will make sure to keep the warmth situated in the west coast warm finger. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Oh my lord. If this verifies it’ll probably cause NOAA’s supercomputers to spontaneously combust. What a complicated mess...old school PV self-destruction brought on by what was (initially) a modest bump. Can see the +EPO has a stratospheric “tendril” too. So that’s actually coupled..hence the stubbornness. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Oh my lord. If this verifies it’ll probably cause NOAA’s supercomputers to spontaneously combust. What a complicated mess...old school PV self-destruction brought on by what was (initially) a modest bump. Can see the +EPO has a stratospheric “tendril” too. So that’s actually coupled..hence the stubbornness. So far all the longer range models and the ensembles are showing a huge ridge right over us with all the cold air going East. Which looks like typical Nino. Do you agree with the models, or is there a chance that the NW could still get some cold? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Time to make that move to Bozeman. Snowfall last night and a low of 12F this morning with more snow expected here tonight! It's lovely here this morning. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 I think this is going to end up being one of the worst winters I have ever experienced here in the PNW. 45 years of winters, so that is saying something. January is looking like a total loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas everyone! 35° here with cloudy skies. Feels like it could snow out... Lets bust up this vortex for the new year! 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas Movie House!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 So far all the longer range models and the ensembles are showing a huge ridge right over us with all the cold air going East. Which looks like typical Nino. Do you agree with the models, or is there a chance that the NW could still get some cold?Phil seems more bullish than I am, but the Nino regime you see being modeled is the MJO pushing into the Pacific. The SSW will just cause the flood gates to open where the upper air configuration allows 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 42 down here. Doubt we keep it under 50 but here's hoping. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Can still see major differences in the Euro/GFS even at hour 72. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Oh my lord. If this verifies it’ll probably cause NOAA’s supercomputers to spontaneously combust. What a complicated mess...old school PV self-destruction brought on by what was (initially) a modest bump. Can see the +EPO has a stratospheric “tendril” too. So that’s actually coupled..hence the stubbornness. Kaboom! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Wow... is it ever gorgeous at Snoqualmie Summit this morning!! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 So far all the longer range models and the ensembles are showing a huge ridge right over us with all the cold air going East. Which looks like typical Nino. Do you agree with the models, or is there a chance that the NW could still get some cold?The NW could definitely score some cold. But that vortex over Alaska/GOA needs to decouple from its stratospheric tendril first. Sort of a bad luck placement there more than anything. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Gonna really suck if we end up getting stuck under a dry ridge. Anything but that please. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Phil seems more bullish than I am, but the Nino regime you see being modeled is the MJO pushing into the Pacific. The SSW will just cause the flood gates to open where the upper air configuration allowsWell, I’m saying there’s high potential. These SSW events are notorious for flummoxing the models at the very last minute and sending cold where it isn’t “supposed” to go. See last Feb. Phase-8 MJO when the SSW and western cold occurred. Often times the MJO/NAM/wavetrain relationship gets all f**ked up when a SSW occurs, as you’re literally tearing down and rebuilding the communicative conduits between the tropics and extratropics. You can get massive changes in the modeled solutions within 5 days. And it can happen in the blink of an eye across all guidance at once. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The euro is wider with the ridge and a little east with it overall...not liking it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Slight improvement in the GFS ensembles this morning. Nothing amazing but a few additional members in the cold camp in the mid range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The west-Pacific warm pool is..active. And that’s putting it lightly. Both an MJO wave and a slow-propagating ERW have congealed there. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Big solid nope on this mornings Euro. Looks like a gulf of Alaska vortex and then a dirty ridge above us. D**n. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 I think this is going to end up being one of the worst winters I have ever experienced here in the PNW. 45 years of winters, so that is saying something. January is looking like a total loss.The PNW encompasses much more than western WA state. Over here in the northeastern part of the state, it's been unusually dry as well. I have lived here since June of 15'. Each winter since, at my house, there has been at least a foot of snow on the ground on Christmas day. Today there is barely 3". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Lot of cold air around the NH by +ENSO standards. The emerging WPAC forcing could change that equation eventually, but until then.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 It's too bad the SSW can't obliterate the Aleutian low complex. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Kaboom!And we will be under a huge ridge of high pressure while the rest of North America is cold. I would rather have the usual wet with mountain snow than being stuck in an endless inversion like what is coming for us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Tim the pick that u posted looks to have a man taking a piss in the top left?? Lol Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Tim the pick that u posted looks to have a man taking a piss in the top left?? LolDid not notice that! Its was a screen shot of the live feed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Tim the pick that u posted looks to have a man taking a piss in the top left?? Lol That's actually one of his sons! 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 That's actually one of his sons!No. They are here. That guy might be just adjusting his jacket or looking at his phone. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The new puppy has been a ton of fun. She was dragging gifts around and playing in all the paper. 6 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Wow... is it ever gorgeous at Snoqualmie Summit this morning!! Magical view!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 I wonder if snow wizard will be back this winter. Hopefully Santa brought him a trip to somewhere snowy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 I wonder if snow wizard will be back this winter. Hopefully Santa brought him a trip to somewhere snowy.My heart breaks for him 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas to all of you. Looks like Santa came.Omg!! Ditto... very generous Santa this year. 7 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 And we will be under a huge ridge of high pressure while the rest of North America is cold. I would rather have the usual wet with mountain snow than being stuck in an endless inversion like what is coming for us. We'll probably be under a ridge through the first week of January but the 12z GEFS shows some retrogression as the ridge amplifies up into Alaska as we head into the 2nd week of January. I still like our chances for something big in January, especially with the Polar Vortex self destructing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The moon last night set the stage for a beautiful Christmas Eve setting. Tried to capture it and my house but it was a little to high to capture in the frame just right using my phone. 5 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 A good bit of talk of lowland snow on the Nws discussion over next couple days. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The moon last night stage for a beautiful Christmas Eve setting. Tried to capture it and my house but it was a little to high to capture in the frame just right using my phone. 1DEC6AFE-10D3-456E-8A6A-18088C568477.jpegDo you live in Tehaleh? If so how do they fare during snow events? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Awesome christmas pics everybody. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The new puppy has been a ton of fun. She was dragging gifts around and playing in all the paper.Cute little pooch. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Been in the 40s all day so far. Currently upper 40s in the s valley. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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