Niko Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Yeah sun angle isnt helping eitherExactly, today I had snow melting in 25F w partly to mostly cloudy skies. Hardly any sun, very little. I can only imagine what sunshine and temps in the 30s will do. That is why by mid March I am ready for Spring to arrive several days later. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 As for temps currently, its bitterly cold outside. Readings are dropping into the lower to mid teens under crystal clear skies. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 The 240 hr FV3, also known as the 240 hr NAM. Hard earned tax dollars went into making the GFS better. Here’s what we got. That’s scary. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 The 240 hr FV3, also known as the 240 hr NAM. Hard earned tax dollars went into making the GFS better. Here’s what we got. That’s scary.Nice. ... anyone see what I did there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaHawkeyes Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Nice. ... anyone see what I did there?6.9 for DBQ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Nice.... anyone see what I did there?Lol. Well played. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 FV3 is the new DGEX lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 0Z GFS looks good for Omaha and Lincoln this weekend. Close though.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Over an inch of rain here this weekend on that run. Absolute yikes, but wouldn’t be shocking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 GFS decimates our snowpack with rain then proceeds to give us 5" of snow in 3 hours to replenish it. Okay then. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 FV3 brings the low down to 987, the low over Omaha, and 30” of snow near the Nebraska and South Dakota border Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Looks like the 0Z Canadian puts down 15-20” and is going to stay southeast like the GFS and like the 12Z runs of each. FV3 was northwest again at 0Z just like 12Z and like the 12Z Euro. So those are the 2 camps at this point. Will be interesting to see if the Euro stays with the FV3 tonight and if this will be the battle this week. All of the models are showing a strong storm regardless of track 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 The weekend storm screams Norfolk/Sioux City special. I'm just going to wait until after the next storm to take it seriously, and we'll also be closer at that point. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Makes sense to go NW. Been a while Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 We shall see, the trend all winter has been for it to gradually comes back southeast. I call it...the El Nino effect. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 EURO absolutely pounds eastern Nebraska. Wow. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Not something you see every day- or every winter. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Quite the dramatic change in winter this past month. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 I apologize for the delay as I've been swammped and sorta under the weather. Here is the storm thread for the weekend storm system: http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1980-223-224-potential-major-winter-storm/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Wow the storm parade on the gfs is a wet dream! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 As I've been mentioning all along, those members west and north of here who will end up having the deepest snow pack, the Grand Finale for this memorable month of Feb will be the record setting cold that is coming. The signals I'm seeing off the models is reminiscent of what they were portraying long before the Polar Vortex intrusion of late Jan. I'm not saying it will be that cold in terms of temps, but departures from normal will come very close, if not, surpass what happened back then. I think the mother load of cold for so late in the season is on the table for a large part of our Sub. Again, a lot will depend on who has snow OTG and there might be a sneaky storm (26th-27th) right before the bottom drops out. Both GFS/Euro operational runs are tanking the EPO down to -5/-6 standard deviation which may dislodge the Polar Vortex yet again??? Just mind boggling to see this happen in late Feb/early March. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Doesn't this snow pack across the CONUS have that La Nina look to it??? The northern half of the CONUS has quite the expansive glacier while the southern tier nasooo much. We will continue to add to that expansive snow pack up north...but, will it eventually bleed south as we progress into March??? Climo suggests otherwise, but I have this feeling we will be leaning against Climo this year esp across the Plains states when we enter March. Just did some more analyzing of overnight data, but my goodness...I have not seen such a massive dip in the SOI in a very long time! Gosh, something seriously is telling me that next month will be dubbed "March Madness" across the central CONUS. Daily contribution to SOI calculation -43.61 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 I don't know about you guys, but doesn't this look magical??? I would love to witness a mountain experience they are having out west right now. #epicsnowtunnels https://twitter.com/i/status/1097593324851089408 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Currently at 2F w sunny skies. BRRRR! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 36* heading up to High of 38*. Low tonight 31*. 70% Chance rain. Rain is currently moving up from the south at 8am. Stands to be pissy gnarly day. That's official. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 36* heading up to High of 38*. Low tonight 31*. 70% Chance rain. Rain is currently moving up from the south at 8am. Stands to be pissy gnarly day. That's official.Sharing similar weather with one another today, I'm afraid. You summed it up perfectly. It "officially" sucks. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Models starting to catch onto the idea of yet another upper MW storm around the 26th. This pattern is relentless. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Lake Tahoe!!! I can't even imagine that much snow.....INSANE!!! 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Lake Tahoe!!! I can't even imagine that much snow.....INSANE!!! I'm curious as to how they even managed to plow that. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Model are catching on to a southern plains monster at the end of the run gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 12Z GFS run. I'd take that. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 I know right!!!! that guy has to be over 6ft tall.....I'm thinking that is at least 15ft of snowI'm curious as to how they even managed to plow that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 12Z GFS.gif 12Z GFS run. I'd take that.GFS has been showing that big storm around the 4th of March a couple times so maybe it's on to something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 12Z GFS.gif 12Z GFS run. I'd take that.That map makes my eyes bleed, but I love it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 I'm curious as to how they even managed to plow that.I think you can find pics/videos online. They don't plow, they have giant snowblowers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 You see that yellow spot with no snow on it? Why? Just why? That's all I ask...... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 Clouds are increasing w snow on the way. Temps in the 20s. It will get nasty tomorrow. Some ice will fall as well after a couple of inches of snow. Under a WWA. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 19, 2019 Report Share Posted February 19, 2019 You see that yellow spot with no snow on it? 20190219_172804.jpg Why? Just why? That's all I ask......As much as you love winter you should move north if possible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 The 240 hr FV3, also known as the 240 hr NAM. Hard earned tax dollars went into making the GFS better. Here’s what we got. That’s scary. but still only manages 2 INCHES for mby- worthless junk 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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