February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2

[MossMan]

Astoria.

[Requiem]

Astoria.

North Bend!

 

Oregon, that is.

[TacomaWaWx]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Even next Saturday night a cool airmass in place and offshore flow.

[Deweydog]

Probably should stop tracking this as its an obvious non event for anyone north of Olympia.

Spot on!

 

As usual Fred comes in and carpet bombs the forum with truth, justice and the American way! Thank you, Spartacus!

 

Paid for by the committee to elect Cory Booker.

[seattleweatherguy]

Tonight's 18z and 00z Euro runs will probably be telling

[snow_wizard]

Incredible model war going on with this.  Not too surprising given there's a razors edge between a cold solution and a rapid warm up.  No doubt the Euro bias toward SW digging cut offs needs to be considered.  If that doesn't happen it will stay cold.

[TacomaWaWx]

I’m not entirely convinced by one run that this is exactly what’s going to happen...there’s still 3 days left before this materializes, things look good for now but nothing’s gonna be really certain for 24-36 hours

[Deweydog]

Tonight's 18z and 00z Euro runs will probably be telling

It’ll also be interesting to see if today’s system starts as snow in some areas...

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Kmart is having a blue light special on Valium.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

New update from Steve Pierce on his FB page.

 

SUNDAY NIGHT VALLEY SNOW "POTENTIAL" BEING WATCHED VERY CLOSELY!

 

Updated: 1:15pm Friday - As one of Portland's coldest February's in years continues, the KOIN 6 weather team is tracking the "potential" for another round of low elevation snow Sunday night into Monday morning. As the next system nears the coast Sunday evening, cold air trapped in the Columbia River Gorge and east of the Cascades is forecast to be pulled into the Portland metro area as the moisture arrives.

 

There is still uncertainty with the final track of the system which will ultimately determine if Portland see snow or not. The potential certainly exists for valley snow overnight Sunday night if everything comes together just right. As of right now it could go either way and we should have a better handle on the possibility for snow by no later than Sunday morning.

 

The Gorge is almost certainly going to see another round of snow that will add to the nearly record setting snow that fell there two weeks ago. Much of the Columbia River Gorge is still snow covered. This could make driving very difficult on I-84 east of Portland Monday.

 

Stay with the KOIN 6 weather team all weekend long as we track this system. Expect frequent updates as the forecast evolves.

 

Steve Pierce

KOIN 6 Meteorologist

[snow_wizard]

Tonight's 18z and 00z Euro runs will probably be telling

 

Yes...people need to post 18z Euro graphics ASAP.

[seattleweatherguy]

I’m not entirely convinced by one run that this is exactly what’s going to happen...there’s still 3 days left before this materializes, things look good for now but nothing’s gonna be really certain for 24-36 hours

#northward keep it moving so everyone scores

[BLI snowman]

If the FV3 were to verify (lol), Willamette Valley folks would end up winning the 2013-2019 period. 

 

Scales are about to be tipped...

 

Seattle will be so DEW!!!!

[HoodCanalBridge]

I'm heading down to Portland sunday evening for a conference all week.   I'm guessing I should leave earlier than the evening and pack a snow jacket? 

[seattleweatherguy]

Yes...people need to post 18z Euro graphics ASAP.

Doesn't that need a subscription?

[Front Ranger]

"Potential".

[Esquimalt]

18Z FV3 comes so close to a blast at hour 200. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Front Ranger]

Seattle will be so DEW!!!!

 

Things are about as even as they could be for the 2013-present period. Eugene, Salem, Portland, Olympia, Seattle, and Bellingham have all had moments of glory and massive disappointment.

 

Now this stupid storm is gonna make someone due again.

[Perturbed Member]

Incredible model war going on with this.  Not too surprising given there's a razors edge between a cold solution and a rapid warm up.  No doubt the Euro bias toward SW digging cut offs needs to be considered.  If that doesn't happen it will stay cold.

 

Does the euro really have such a known bias?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18Z FV3 comes so close to a blast at hour 200. 

 

Some tightly packed gradients there...Would certainly maintain the chilly theme.

[BLI snowman]

Jet suppression for years

[TT-SEA]

Yes...people need to post 18z Euro graphics ASAP.

 

 

I don't think they are available until late in the afternoon or early evening if I remember correctly.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

I think Nisbet from the Spokane NWS is getting a little tired of all the cold and snow . . . 

 

"Thursday and Friday: There is some model disagreement of what to
do with the trough...keep it out there, push it through, keep it
dry, wet, tomato, tomatoe...

 

Temperatures through the forecast period will remain cold for
this time of the year. ...Nothing we haven't experienced the last
several weeks. More snow, more cold, more snow, more cold, more
snow, more cold, you know the drill. /Nisbet"

[bainbridgekid]

I don't think they are available until late in the afternoon or early evening if I remember correctly.

Assuming they start coming out around 4:00 since the 00z starts around 10?

[BLI snowman]

Things are about as even as they could be for the 2013-present period. Eugene, Salem, Portland, Olympia, Seattle, and Bellingham have all had moments of glory and massive disappointment.

 

Now this stupid storm is gonna make someone due again.

 

Actually been a long time since Salem was the big winner with one. 12/29/03 was the last time they really took the crown with a big storm. Overdew.

[GHweatherChris]

I am due.

[Deweydog]

Actually been a long time since Salem was the big winner with one. 12/29/03 was the last time they really took the crown with a big storm. Overdew.

They were ground zero for one of the 12-2016 kids.

[Deweydog]

No one is dew for anything.

 

That’s just dumb. Like Tim.

[BLI snowman]

They were ground zero for one of the 12-2016 kids.

 

Yeah, they got about 5" with the 12-14-16 storm. I guess they won with that, but it feels like it's been a really long time since they've seen 6"+ from a single storm. They actually did worse in 2013-14 than the rest of the valley.

[TT-SEA]

No one is dew for anything.

 

That’s just dumb. Like Tim.

 

 

Mountain Dew?  

[snow_wizard]

Joseph, Oregon dropped to -10 this morning. Currently up to 21.

 

 

I so hope to live somewhere with a continental climate soon.

[Deweydog]

Yeah, they got about 5" with the 12-14-16 storm. I guess they won with that, but it feels like it's been a really long time since they've seen 6"+ from a single storm. They actually did worse in 2013-14 than the rest of the valley.

21-22 is their year.

[BLI snowman]

Hood River is going to get slammed. This will likely be their snowiest February on record.

[snow_wizard]

Does the euro really have such a known bias?

 

Yes.  It has been very obvious with some past events.  The trouble is it's not always the case.

[Front Ranger]

I am due.

 

Congrats!

[jcmcgaffey]

Weather app shows 4” Sunday into Monday and all snow. 200% lock now.

[Front Ranger]

Yeah, they got about 5" with the 12-14-16 storm. I guess they won with that, but it feels like it's been a really long time since they've seen 6"+ from a single storm. They actually did worse in 2013-14 than the rest of the valley.

 

Parts of Salem saw 10" from one storm in Dec 2008.

[joaqweri]

afternoon everyone. just been seeing our normal showery days here in seattle with cold lingering but im hearing of models going batshit for monday with snow. what's going on so far?