Iowawx Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 For those of you that received snow last night....is it sticking around or has it completely melted already?It's mostly all melted. The only areas of my yard that still have some snow left are areas that are in the shade. The October sun and temps in the upper 30's make it hard for October snowfall to last very long on the ground here. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 For those of you that received snow last night....is it sticking around or has it completely melted already? Received 3.1" here overnight. Anything hit by the sun has melted but anything in full shade is sticky around - for the moment. Expected to get close to 40F tomorrow so I suspect most of it will be gone by tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Only a trace left here and there. Daughter found all the Mudd though. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 NAM is coming in stronger and a tick NW. Probably a widespread 4-6 for the SE 1/3rd of Iowa. 3 mb stronger over my way..noice! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 FYI Icon also took a jump NW a bit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 She's Gone. Like the Hall/Oates song. Up - Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 3KM Nam https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=snku_acc&rh=2019102918&fh=54&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 DVN sounds pretty optimistic for tomorrow night. Wednesday night and Halloween: A more potent storm system is stillexpected to impact the dvn cwa. GFS/ECMWF bringing a potentnegatively-tilted trough and deepening cyclone coming across theMidwest and into the eastern Great Lakes. Models indicate aclassic closed h5 low and deformation zone that will track acrossthe dvn cwa. Snow should begin spreading into our westerncounties by late afternoon, then continuing to spread across theremainder of the cwa during the evening. Moderate to possiblyheavy snow is then expected later in the night into Thursdaymorning with mainly light snow for much of Halloween. The snowshould finally end west of the MS River by late afternoon and inthe eastern counties during the evening.There is the potential for 4 to 6 inches of accumulation but thisis still subject to change so stay tuned to later forecasts andupdates. Headlines for this event may be needed as we get closerto the event. This will be a very cold Halloween with highs onlyin the lower to mid 30s. This would make for possibly the coldestHalloween ever recorded! See climate section below. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 1st snowfall of the year = 11 crashes today with 42 cars involved. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 DVN with sound pretty optimistic for tomorrow night. Wednesday night and Halloween: A more potent storm system is stillexpected to impact the dvn cwa. GFS/ECMWF bringing a potentnegatively-tilted trough and deepening cyclone coming across theMidwest and into the eastern Great Lakes. Models indicate aclassic closed h5 low and deformation zone that will track acrossthe dvn cwa. Snow should begin spreading into our westerncounties by late afternoon, then continuing to spread across theremainder of the cwa during the evening. Moderate to possiblyheavy snow is then expected later in the night into Thursdaymorning with mainly light snow for much of Halloween. The snowshould finally end west of the MS River by late afternoon and inthe eastern counties during the evening. There is the potential for 4 to 6 inches of accumulation but thisis still subject to change so stay tuned to later forecasts andupdates. Headlines for this event may be needed as we get closerto the event. This will be a very cold Halloween with highs onlyin the lower to mid 30s. This would make for possibly the coldestHalloween ever recorded! See climate section below. Interesting. They have me for 1.5" right now.. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Dang 3k NAM going big. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 For those of you that received snow last night....is it sticking around or has it completely melted already?Still on the ground here. Around an inch or a little less on the grass as I type. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 GFS continues trend ot 18z models West and stronger Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 For those of you that received snow last night....is it sticking around or has it completely melted already? One of my neighbors' front yard, which is in the shadow of their neighbors' giant oak tree, is totally snow-covered. Every other yard on the street is green. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 GFS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Sleet falling here with a temp of 34. It's a surprise because we were suppose to stay all rain until tomorrow afternoon. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 The one time I want snow in upper Michigan, it is going to snow in lower Michigan and Ohio. In October nonetheless. <_> 5 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 @ Tom From Met at Amwx Pulling a bunch of stats right now for select cities in the area...and as modeled, this is going to be a historic/record breaking event. Congrats on a great call if all goes as planned! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 GRR finally buying in?? AFDGRRArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Grand Rapids MI307 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019LATEST UPDATE...Synopsis/Discussion/Marine.SYNOPSIS...Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019- Rain Wednesday- Rain mixing with snow at times Wednesday morning- Rain gradually changing to snow Thursday- Hazardous travel conditions late Thursday into early Friday 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 For Wed .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019Currently we have MVFR cigs over the western TAF sites and IFRcigs over the eastern TAF sites at 1730z. Drier air will continueto come in from the northwest so I expect all areas so see skiesbecome VFR by 00z or so. There may even be a few hours of SCTclouds after sunset.This period of VFR will be short lived as developing system willsend moisture northward and bring lowering clouds and precipitationby 09z to 12z in the southern TAF sites and 12z to 16z in thenorthern TAF sites.The air will be cold enough this time for mixed rain and snow orpossibly even just snow. The areas most likely to see snow areGRR, AZO, and BTL. Do expect moderate to heavy mixed icingtomorrow in the clouds,freezing levels will be as low as 1000 ftduring the morning. This area will have signifcant SLD(supercooled large drops) threat with this. This may well presenta significant flight hazard. For Thu A more impactful wintery mix of wx will come Thursday intoThursday night as the low pressure system passing by to our se toeast continues to strengthen. This will result in brisk north flowcaa that will cause a gradual changeover from rain to snow acrossour fcst area (generally the changeover will occur from nnw to sseas suggested by low level critical thickness tools).Initially we suspect that quite a bit of melting will continue tooccur due to relatively mild ground and pavement temps. However astemps slowly fall through the day and especially Thursday nightafter nightfall we expect hazardous travel conditions to developas snow and slush begin to accumulate on area roads. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 GFS Living on the lake is literally the worst sometimes! I’d love to see snow but I think we’re too warm it looks like Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Would be yet another huge storm lining up in a perfect starting point #arklatexlow 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Living on the lake is literally the worst sometimes! I’d love to see snow but I think we’re too warm it looks like With the wrap-around deformation band shifting winds more NWesterly, you should at the least see nice mood flakes, if not accum's on streets. You will score big time once we get into #actualwinter Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Waterloo officially 1.6" last night. Nice little start to the season! OCTOBER 28TH! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 @ Tom From Met at Amwx Congrats on a great call if all goes as planned! Was it Ricky at LOT? I learned a lot from that guy’s posts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 Man both my parents and my family in Illinois are going to score big with this storm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 18z Euro still likes Chicago. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 Man how can the gfs and euro be so far from each other Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 Ugh. The other 18z models trended favorably for southeastern Iowa, but the 18z euro is the worst it's ever been for this area. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 Ugh. The other 18z models trended favorably for southeastern Iowa, but the 18z euro is the worst it's ever been for this area.Hoping the NAM can provide some wisdom soon. It's been coming around today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1127-nebraskakansasanyone-not-chicago-complaint-thread/ This storm is exactly why this thread exists 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 Was it Ricky at LOT? I learned a lot from that guy’s posts. No, ChicagoWx Chicago Storm. And yeah, Ricky posting during storms is awesome I agree 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 Euro zoom-in (for Tom and Chi-town peeps). Gives me more snow too, but maintains the nasty gradient I'm all too familiar with, lol 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 chicago and central IL gonna love the 00z nam...looks like the euro with a big thump tomorrow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1127-nebraskakansasanyone-not-chicago-complaint-thread/ This storm is exactly why this thread exists <_>Haha, however it is way too early in the season for that yet Clint even though I do feel your pain... I think that you are due for some big hits this year after getting the shaft last Winter. Any snow that falls around here in October is a pure bonus for snow lovers. Plus, I would much rather see a big storm hit us in the middle of the Winter as snow this time of year is mostly gone in 24 hours or less after it falls, I was shocked at how quickly our half inch of snow disappeared this morning once the sun came out. The "real" show around here is still a month or two away yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 chicago and central IL gonna love the 00z nam...looks like the euro with a big thump tomorrowBeautiful for southern WI also Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 00Z NAM has 5.3 inches in Cedar Rapids. The GFS and the NAM are on board the idea of Cedar Rapids getting 5-6 inches of snow tomorrow night. Euro appears to be on it's own. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 GRR finally buying in?? AFDGRR Area Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Grand Rapids MI307 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019 LATEST UPDATE...Synopsis/Discussion/Marine .SYNOPSIS...Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019 - Rain Wednesday - Rain mixing with snow at times Wednesday morning - Rain gradually changing to snow Thursday - Hazardous travel conditions late Thursday into early Friday 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted October 30, 2019 Report Share Posted October 30, 2019 3K NAM is just a beauty. Low is stronger/west and beautiful defo band of snow that sits in E IA/WI for hours 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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