Cloud Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Because of the southern shift for the midweek system, cold air is probably locked in place a little bit longer, which would allow the next system to come in as a big overrunning event before turning to rain. W e'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Things are much colder by Friday as a result of the weaker low with a southern track. I thought the warm up was written in stone? Snow or not, anything that delays the return of split flow I will gladly take. Please no more. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Wow. GFS looks great for Portland starting tomorrow night. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Wow. GFS looks great for Portland starting tomorrow night. Still plenty of potential for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We’ve lost the gfs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Down to 39 here...couple of areas above 500' reporting mixed rain and snow currently apparently around western WA. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 GFS miracle. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We’ve lost the gfs Told you time and time again to never trust any model but the ICON. See? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Warmer runs ahead! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 North seattle hr 144 snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Because of the southern shift for the midweek system, cold air is probably locked in place a little bit longer, which would allow the next system to come in as a big overrunning event before turning to rain. W e'll see. Hour 150, very much an overrunning signature for Puget Sound-north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 North seattle hr 144 snowLooks like a big overrunning event Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Looking good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Hour 150, very much an overrunning signature for Puget Sound-north. Yup. Heavy wet snow sounding at KSEA. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I'd take it at this point... sloppy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Anyone have a super accurate snow map for Oregon? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 63/31 here today under sunny skies. Low of 32F expected tonight. Winter in the southland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 63/31 here today under sunny skies. Winter in the southland. where in the nw is that? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Weaker (to my knowledge, at least) typically means less tendency to curve northwards early. Meaning that it stays more southward. What he meant was it wasn't as good for the Santa Catalina mountains east of Tucson. C'mon everyone should know that. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Timing improvements on the 0Z WRF, outflow now reaches the north sound at 1pm as opposed to 3pm tomorrow. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Thursday 10 PM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Sunday 4 AM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Thursday 10 PM I'd be extremely happy if it verifies exactly like that. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nice track. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Wet evening. Moderate rain/splats and 34 degrees. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Some lumps in the rain here now 37F. Looks like an entertaining week ahead of us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What he meant was it wasn't as good for the Santa Catalina mountains east of Tucson. C'mon everyone should know that.I actually didn't think about how a more powerful storm might cause the downsloping off the cascades to eat the snow, thought stronger would mean more precip for everyone, learned something today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just got back from a drive, its running 35-37 up in the Barkley Hill/Tweed Twenty area of Bellingham with a little bit of a mix falling. I took a quick drive up to the Toad Lake area (@ ~1k ft) and it was a very slushy rain. Temp on my car thermometer (which is pretty accurate in comparison to the weather station at my house) showed 33.7 up there at the water tank on Sapphire Trail. 3 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 CMC shifted a bit south with the Monday low. My guess is its inability to handle thermal profiles correctly affects its ability to predict storm tracks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The WRF paints some very light snow in the Portland area Monday 4pm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 0.49" so far today. 40 and steady rain now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 63/31 here today under sunny skies. Low of 32F expected tonight. Winter in the southland. go away 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I actually didn't think about how a more powerful storm might cause the downsloping off the cascades to eat the snow, thought stronger would mean more precip for everyone, learned something today. We do what we can, Josh's other account. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We do what we can, Josh's other account. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We do what we can, Josh's other account.I had my suspicions as soon as he showed up. Now I'm pretty much certain. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I had my suspicions as soon as he showed up. Now I'm pretty much certain. I feel really bad for him if he's not 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I had my suspicions as soon as he showed up. Now I'm pretty much certain. He even has a picture on this one to make it more convincing. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 From 7PM through 10PM tomorrow... Liberty Bay in Poulsbo. I work on front Street. Monday should be interesting. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 D**n this josh character has really damaged your guys's psyche. You can have that admin guy do an IP search on me if you want. I'm in Miami right now, I'll be back in Tucson on Monday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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