Madtown Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 So your saying there's a chance 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Welcome to fall 2023! 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 A low of 51 Saturday night! Our first night this Fall so seasonably cool. It’s Fall Baby! From our local Met/NBC: “A cold front will push into North Texas this evening. This front will bring a breezy north wind (up to 20 mph) and cooler temperatures. By Saturday morning, temperatures will be down into the 50s (even some 40s possible to the north). It will remain quite cool/brisk through Saturday morning, despite full sunshine. Saturday's high of 70 will make it the coolest day in nearly six months! Next week will warm back above normal with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 through Thursday” NBC/DFW 1 1 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Up_north_MI Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Snow showers in my point n click forecast here in northern lower MI for Saturday night and Sunday morning, it’s pretty common for this time of year actually. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 9 hours ago, Clinton said: This part of the pattern sure looks promising, and the strength of the upcoming storm for October is very encouraging should it verify. Could this be the "slot"??? You gotta be a bit stoked where the blocking is setting up and the potential where the storms track/intensify over the Sub. 0z Euro...Say Hello to my lil friend...our Colorado Low! #ShareTheWealth 6 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, Tom said: Could this be the "slot"??? You gotta be a bit stoked where the blocking is setting up and the potential where the storms track/intensify over the Sub. 0z Euro...Say Hello to my lil friend...our Colorado Low! #ShareTheWealth I love the looks of this part of the pattern especially for potential snow storms. The EPS and GEFS show a little nortward trend. I hope @OttumwaSnomowand @Hawkeye get some rain out of this. Also some potential should the more southerly solutions verify that @CentralNebWeathercould see some wet flakes. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 A very early frost advisory for mby. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 257 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2023 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038- 043-044-053-054-061600- /O.NEW.KEAX.FR.Y.0004.231007T0800Z-231007T1400Z/ Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte- Johnson KS-Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Holt-Andrew- De Kalb-Daviess-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-Platte-Clay-Ray-Jackson- Lafayette-Cass-Johnson MO-Bates-Henry- Including the cities of Atchison, Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg, Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, Wathena, Elwood, Troy, Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing, Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee, Lenexa, Tarkio, Rock Port, Fairfax, Maryville, Grant City, Albany, Stanberry, King City, Bethany, Oregon, Maitland, Forest City, Craig, Savannah, Country Club Villa, Maysville, Stewartsville, Osborn, Union Star, Clarksdale, Gallatin, Jamesport, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron, Plattsburg, Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge, Parkville, Platte City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, Liberty, Excelsior Springs, Kearney, Richmond, Lawson, Kansas City, Independence, Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Belton, Raymore, Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, Warrensburg, Butler, Adrian, Rich Hill, Clinton, and Windsor 257 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2023 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 35 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and north central, northwest and west central Missouri. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Beautiful morning. 46 degrees, raining sideways, with winds gusting to 35 mph. We have varsity football tonight at Gothenburg. We spent last night finding our coats, stocking caps, gloves and blankets. We haven’t had a game this season where you even had to wear a jacket or sweatshirt. That abruptly changes this evening. 1 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 These first 5 days of October have been the 21st warmest start to the month since 1894. See top 20 below. However, a sharp change to below normal begins tomorrow. In fact today looks to be the last day that reaches 70 degrees for at least a couple weeks and possibly until next spring, Temps by Sunday and Monday will remain in the unseasonably chilly 50's by day and low 40's at night. Some showers can be around today with steadier rain overnight tonight with the cold frontal passage. Records for today: High 94 (1900) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.00" (1932) First 5 days of October Rank Year Avg. Temp 1 1898 73.1 2 1941 73.1 3 1954 71.9 4 1959 70.3 5 2002 70.2 6 1951 70.0 7 1927 69.3 8 1900 69.0 9 1926 68.8 10 1986 68.6 11 2013 68.31 12 1922 68.2 13 1919 67.4 14 1931 67.1 15 2018 66.96 16 1905 66.6 17 1910 66.6 18 2007 66.6 19 1932 66.1 20 1991 66.1 1 1 Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 The official high yesterday was 73 just after midnight the low was 60. There was 1.12” of rain, here in MBY I recorded 0.89” of rain. The highest wind speed was 33mph out of the w. There was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 65/45. The record high of 87 was set in 2007 and the record low of 28 was set in 1964 and 2003. The record rain fall of 1.58” fell in 2016. Last year the H/L was 71/44 with a trace of rain fall. We are now at October 6th and the coldest it has gotten this fall season in 44 back on September 19th At the current time it I partly cloudy and 48 here in MBY. The average first 32 day at Grand Rapids is October 14th The earliest is September 3rd 1946 and the latest is November 14th 1918. Last year it was October 8th 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 There is a chance that highs could be in the 40s on Sunday for myby. Yikes. This is some really chilly air coming. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Wind Advisory for this morning, Freeze Warning for tomorrow morning. Temps as low as 30 expected. This morning was the first time we have turned on the heat in the house so far this season after we bottomed out at 37. NDFD max highs have taken a tumble. We were supposed to jump back up into the upper 70s next week but latest update shows us staying in the low/mid 60s through Thursday with not a lot of heat to speak of. Nice turn to the cooler side of guidance for once instead of always ending up hotter than it initially looks. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 The first cold front went through a day ago, but the trailing cold front with the actual cool air will arrive this afternoon here. Looks like some gusts up to 30 mph with low temperatures in the low 40s tonight. We've had decent rains so it'll probably be hard to drop too low. Highs tomorrow in the low to mid 60s are going to feel pretty great. Looks like a slow warming trend into next week but we'll get another rain chance and shot of cool air later next week so it looks to stay reasonable for a while. 4 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 16 hours ago, Tom said: @Clinton @mlgamer That would hurt if I had to look south and this was a Blitz that nailed KC up to DTX! This storm showing up mid next week is going to be a signature storm track IMHO as we roll through this season. It'll be a corridor or exhibit of the new LRC pattern. The data I'm seeing as we progress into late Fall/early Winter is going to be ideally centered in this region. I don't expect to see much, if any, hard cutters this coming winter. No signs of a SER...but definite LR signs of bowling balls, CO Low's and Miller B Storms. Well, I sure wouldn't mind seeing a few strong panhandle hooks track through my region as they used to do in the days of old. Hopefully some big share-the-wealth type of systems this winter. 4 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 26 minutes ago, mlgamer said: Well, I sure wouldn't mind seeing a few strong panhandle hooks track through my region as they used to do in the days of old. Hopefully some big share-the-wealth type of systems this winter. Feels like it's been along time. Let's load them up with moisture and break this drought! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Hello from Texarkana! Should be in DFW in about 2 hours. Beautiful clear skies and 83F. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 6 hours ago, Niko said: There is a chance that highs could be in the 40s on Sunday for myby. Yikes. This is some really chilly air coming. So, it's official.. 2 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 6 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: Wind Advisory for this morning, Freeze Warning for tomorrow morning. Temps as low as 30 expected. This morning was the first time we have turned on the heat in the house so far this season after we bottomed out at 37. NDFD max highs have taken a tumble. We were supposed to jump back up into the upper 70s next week but latest update shows us staying in the low/mid 60s through Thursday with not a lot of heat to speak of. Nice turn to the cooler side of guidance for once instead of always ending up hotter than it initially looks. Nice change from the constant heat! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Starting to see a bit more color in the woods... 5 Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 The Euro's current prediction for the mid to late next week system. 7 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 74F here today with dews peaking at 64F under sunny skies. Almost record warm. I can't complain though...some of the most pleasant weather all summer since the rain finally stopped. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 What a refreshing change, currently 53 with sunny skies. I got my hoodie and shorts it's officially fat boy weather! 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: The Euro's current prediction for the mid to late next week system. Hey now when I said I hopes you Iowa guys got some rain out of this I didn't mean all of it. Bring it back south lol! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: The Euro's current prediction for the mid to late next week system. Has the look of a classic winter storm system. Would be nice to see this return in about 60 days with some cold air in place. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 WINTER IS COMING 2 1 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Clinton said: Hey now when I said I hopes you Iowa guys got some rain out of this I didn't mean all of it. Bring it back south lol! Yikes! As Yogi Berra once said, "It's like deja vu all over again." 1 1 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 Looks like we got to 76 today, low of 63. I hope this was the last of the warm nights for the year. Sad to report though, that we might've stopped hearing the cicadas this evening. Still hundreds of crickets (even middle of the day!) so we still hear plenty of bugs in the area. Still one variety of katydid we hear at night. I'd have to research again what its scientific name is. The ones that go right up to your home, not on trees. 3 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 6, 2023 Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 6 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said: Looks like we got to 76 today, low of 63. I hope this was the last of the warm nights for the year. Sad to report though, that we might've stopped hearing the cicadas this evening. Still hundreds of crickets (even middle of the day!) so we still hear plenty of bugs in the area. Still one variety of katydid we hear at night. I'd have to research again what its scientific name is. The ones that go right up to your home, not on trees. Ah yes, found him. The page thankfully has an audio sample that makes it easy. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 Knarly surface map for The Mitt this evening. Afternoon sun was fairly comfortable, but then the cloud deck rolled in and immediately the temps felt 5 degrees cooler. 3 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 @Andie, ain’t it a wonderful evening tonight? You could feel the temps dropping and breezes picking up this evening. My cousin told me this is the first time he will need a sweater since April! Crazy that I’m here in Dallas right when the first real cold front hit the area. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 Over an inch here GRR's map 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 5 hours ago, Tom said: @Andie, ain’t it a wonderful evening tonight? You could feel the temps dropping and breezes picking up this evening. My cousin told me this is the first time he will need a sweater since April! Crazy that I’m here in Dallas right when the first real cold front hit the area. After this summer it almost feels unreal to be cool. This has been a hard year with no mercy on the heat. We’re all wondering what kind of winter Mother Nature will throw at us? 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 The official HL yesterday at Grand Rapids was 63/44, there was 0.93” of rain fall. The sun was out 35% of the possible time. There were 11 HDD’s the highest wind speed was 32 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 65/45 the record high of 87 was set in 1951 and the record low of 25 was set in 1964. The record rain fall amount of 1.27” fell in 1951 the most snow fall was a reported 0.1” in 2000. Last year the H/L was 50/36. Here in MBY I recorded 1.12” of rain fall since 7 AM yesterday. The current temperature is 43 with partly cloudy skies. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 Heavy rainfall continues to look likely next week from mby on north. Some models are also indicating a legit severe risk along the dry line for eastern Kansas and western MO as well as Oklahoma depending on the track of the low. WPC showing some lofty rainfall totals. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 Chilly morning for me with some scattered frost. Temps may dip another degree but it's currently 37. It will feel like football weather today, I'm headed to COMO to watch Mizzou play LSU. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 It will be mighty cold tanite as temps drop into the 30s w the possibility of Frost and Freeze advisories. As @jaster220 mentioned in his post, (look below) NOAA has S MI included. I will definitely have to switch my AC now to heat. Brrrr. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 Thunderstorms.....still in the forecast here in mby in October. Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 349 AM EDT Sat Oct 7 2023 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-080800- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 349 AM EDT Sat Oct 7 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is a very low chance for thunderstorm development this afternoon and evening. Wind gusts to 35 mph and pea size hail will be possible with any thunderstorms observed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 We have picked up 0.17" of rain so far here in East Nantmeal with the first line of showers. The 2nd line of additional rain with the main cold front should pass through from west to east and be through the county during the noon hour. Temps will fall the rest of the day with temps down into the 50's by 1pm and the 40's by 9pm this evening. Clearing skies later today. Chillier than normal weather should continue for most of the next week with our next chances of rain toward Thursday evening. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 90 (1941) / Low 27 (1923) / Rain 1.48" (1965) Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted October 7, 2023 Report Share Posted October 7, 2023 Next week is looking very north/south dependent in terms of temps. The dividing line looks to be around I-80. That is until another reinforcing cold shot hits the majority of us east of the Rockies later in the week and next weekend. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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