January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[snow_wizard]

I really like the fact the ECMWF shows a nice sharp Arctic front with this event.  Those are always so cool.  This one is so sudden that it replaces marine air with Arctic air along with convergence.  A recipe for some snow.

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I really like the fact the ECMWF shows a nice sharp Arctic front with this event.  Those are always so cool.  This one is so sudden that it replaces marine air with Arctic air along with convergence.  A recipe for some snow.

There will be many surprises and overperfomances with this 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I really like the fact the ECMWF shows a nice sharp Arctic front with this event.  Those are always so cool.  This one is so sudden that it replaces marine air with Arctic air along with convergence.  A recipe for some snow.

First two snow chances have possible over performance writer all over them. Wednesday system is a small late developing system, and Arctic front can always surprise.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, Requiem said:

There will be many surprises and overperfomances with this 

All the best snowfalls IMBY in recent years have basically come together in the models in the final 24 hours. Some in the final 6 hours.

[Doinko]

Cold air slightly farther south on the 18z Euro

[MossMan]

38/32 so far on the day. Currently 38.

.60” on the day. 
Apparently everything had turned white here at home after I left for work with the temp at 32, I asked my wife who worked from home today if she took pictures…She just stared at me for a second and then said why would I take pictures of a little slush…

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

38/32 so far on the day. Currently 38.

.60” on the day. 
Apparently everything had turned white here at home after I left for work with the temp at 32, I asked my wife who worked from home today if she took pictures…She just stared at me for a second and then said why would I take pictures of a little slush…

Still hasn't made 40 here either.  Models say that will change in a couple of hours with the wind.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

10 minutes ago, Requiem said:

There will be many surprises and overperfomances with this 

Agreed! Gonna be fun tracking the Arctic Front!

[Doinko]

How's the new EPS control for the Saturday storm?

[snow_wizard]

27 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I’m looking forward to the Tuesday night early Wednesday time frame. I’ll feel good scoring a dusting prior to the arrival of the weak arctic front. 

I think the front will actually have some teeth.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Had a 37/32 day with 1/2 snow, solid winter day.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Doinko said:

How's the new EPS control for the Saturday storm?

 

[TT-SEA]

Control is snowier for the Seattle area at the end of the run... nothing until Saturday morning and then snow.  

[Doinko]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Control is snowier for the Seattle area at the end of the run... nothing until Saturday morning and then snow.  

Looks good here! Is some of that around Portland from the Wednesday system?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

When was the last time Portland and Seattle had a few inches of snow from the same storm?

[Doinko]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

When was the last time Portland and Seattle had a few inches of snow from the same storm?

February 2021 parts of Portland had a foot, I had around 5-6"

[Winterdog]

Looking like a disappointment weather wise and football wise this week. 

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

How's the new EPS control for the Saturday storm?

Very interesting run.  It punches the cold air further south and yet the precip band ends up further north.  Excellent for SW WA, Central Puget Sound, and maybe the Portland area.

This is 10:1.  North of OLM this will be higher than 10:1.  Snow.

[TT-SEA]

Well... not nervous any more.   This is a disaster.  

[jakerepp]

2 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Looking like a disappointment weather wise and football wise this week. 

Washington's defense looks completely inept

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Very interesting run.  It punches the cold air further south and yet the precip band ends up further north.  Excellent for SW WA, Central Puget Sound, and maybe the Portland area.

This is 10:1.  North of OLM this will be higher than 10:1.  Snow.

That would be nice, hopefully we can both score. Maybe we can have some good last minute trends. How much snow falls the previous 24 hours and what are temps like?

[snow_wizard]

People in the Seattle area should be getting a bit excited now that the ECMWF models seem to be on board for snow this weekend.  It will be good quality snow too with cold temps.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Well... not nervous any more.   This is a disaster.  

Just awful seeing all those maps showing snow instead of nice 50˚F rain. This is supposed to be an El Niño January, fercrissakes! I want my money back!

[van city]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

People in the Seattle area should be getting a bit excited now that the ECMWF models seem to be on board for snow this weekend.  It will be good quality snow too with cold temps.

Shhh. Have you seen the GFS? By the time this storm is here it will end up at Vancouver Island. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Just awful seeing all those maps showing snow instead of nice 50˚F rain. This is supposed to be an El Niño January, fercrissakes! I want my money back!

Oops!   Wrong thread.   That was for sports thread.  Huskies getting destroyed.  

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

That would be nice, hopefully we can both score. Maybe we can have some good last minute trends. How much snow falls the previous 24 hours and what are temps like?

Previous 24 hours.  Temps are quite cold to JUST south of PDX.

[Requiem]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Previous 24 hours.  Temps are quite cold to JUST south of PDX.

Is it a precip issue this run? Nice to see it gets cold, at least. How does ice accumulation look?

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

When was the last time Portland and Seattle had a few inches of snow from the same storm?

February 2021 dropped double digit inches on both of them. Extremely rare. I don't think that storm gets enough credit sometimes on here for how historically awesome it truly was.

[Parrot]

Huskies finna get embarrassed worse than TCU

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Well... not nervous any more.   This is a disaster.  

What did you expect? They suck.

[Slushy Inch]

15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think the front will actually have some teeth.

Gfs has been consistent with that

[Phishy Wx]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Well... not nervous any more.   This is a disaster.  

Dawgs need to employ the AI Euro model to run the defense

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, van city said:

Shhh. Have you seen the GFS? By the time this storm is here it will end up at Vancouver Island. 

Way too much suppression for that to happen.  Models are unanimous on that.

[Gummy]

5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

February 2021 dropped double digit inches on both of them. Extremely rare. I don't think that storm gets enough credit sometimes on here for how historically awesome it truly was.

That was a juicy system that came in with perfect placement.  The type of snowstorm you get only a handful of times in a lifetime in Seattle. Total was just over 8" in Seattle I think?

[FroYoBro]

Breeze is picking up here and the temp is starting to creep up. 47 degrees now. Hopefully this is the last really warm night for a while. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

31.8/36.7 for the day. Some wet snow this morning, but mostly cold splatty rain.

[LowerGarfield]

Getting some snow now before it turns to rain.

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

February 2021 dropped double digit inches on both of them. Extremely rare. I don't think that storm gets enough credit sometimes on here for how historically awesome it truly was.

That one was very interesting.  My area got kind of shafted on the main event, because of too much east wind.  The next day the places that got way more snow warmed up and got super soggy while an easterly trickle kept it freezing here with a couple of more inches.  Pulled off an extra freezing max that day.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

That one was very interesting.  My area got kind of shafted on the main event, because of too much east wind.  The next day the places that got way more snow warmed up and got super soggy while an easterly trickle kept it freezing here with a couple of more inches.  Pulled off an extra freezing max that day.

I can't remember what happened here. Pics are on another phone somewhere 

[snow_wizard]

18z EPS mean is two degrees colder for surface temps than the 12z at day 6.  More snow for Seattle with the weekend system.  Good trends,