January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Timmy]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

4 minutes ago, Timmy said:

In gfs we trust!

And Graf!

[RaleighHillsRunner]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

How much snow did you get. 

In typical Ptown fashion we’ve got some schools on 2 hr delays westside with 34 degree wet pavement. Although tbf I’m sure the folks high up the hills are dealing with some slushy accumulation

[TT-SEA]

GFS loop.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

How much snow did you get. 

About 4"

[Phishy Wx]

you dudes are relentless

[TT-SEA]

Still showing impressive snow even for Seattle.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

I’m fine with what the GFS is showing for more northern centered precip, as long as it doesn’t f*ck with our arctic temps. 

[runninthruda206]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Still showing impressive snow even for Seattle.  

PLEASE GFS PLEASE

[jakerepp]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Seattle is still in the game on this run!   Amazing.

I literally just told my MIL not to expect any snow this weekend, D****T. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Gotta log off and get some work done. Happy model riding!

[RentonHill]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Still showing impressive snow even for Seattle.  

Actually an increase for central sound from the 6z! Through hr 96 at least

[Doinko]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’m fine with what the GFS is showing for more northern centered precip, as long as it doesn’t f*ck with our arctic temps. 

Yeah GFS shows a decent snow/ice storm here as well now. Hopefully we can get some precip to cool us off, maybe we could beat the 25/20 from last December

[ShawniganLake]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GFS is a little faster with the arctic air tomorrow... but still takes until evening to go below freezing in Seattle.   

Arctic front snow and temps early Friday morning.    Guessing this is still too warm for Portland.

Wow. Looks amazing here. That 3” would be a huge blessing going into the deep freeze. 

[TT-SEA]

Here is the 12Z run yesterday... the 00Z run... and the new 12Z run for comparison.  

[Timmy]

Time to pull out the models that fit your preference!

[Timmy]

Gem not too far south but trending south

Edited January 10 by Timmy

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Here is the 12Z run yesterday... the 00Z run... and the new 12Z run for comparison.  

Just keeps stringing us along. 

[RaleighHillsRunner]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

you dudes are relentless

[Phishy Wx]

ColdWILLarrive

[AlTahoe]

Our totals have gone up for today!

 

WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches for Lake
  Tahoe communities such as Truckee and South Lake Tahoe, and 18 to
  24 inches above 7000 feet west of Highway 89. Locally up to 30
  inches over the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph in
  lower elevations and 90 to 110 mph along Sierra ridges. Wave
  heights on Lake Tahoe 2 to 5 feet

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Yeah GFS shows a decent snow/ice storm here as well now. Hopefully we can get some precip to cool us off, maybe we could beat the 25/20 from last December

That would be nice. Those numbers for PDX irked me a little. A 24/19 would have looked so much nicer on paper. Everywhere else in the metro fell into the teens for that event. I think we put up like a 23/17 day here.

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, jakerepp said:

Almost couldn't believe my eyes! Beautiful morning.

I may be buying a house down near that area!   Stayed in Estrella for a couple weeks in fact just recently.  Cool area and lots of fun hikes if you’re into that sort of thing.  Love the two lakes you can walk around locally as well!  Enjoy the cold! Scottsdale got snow the other day as well! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This run looks pretty similar to the 06z, just a beefier/juicier boundary. Not really a north trend at all though. 

[Doinko]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

That would be nice. Those numbers for PDX irked me a little. A 24/19 would have looked so much nicer on paper. Everywhere else in the metro fell into the teens for that event. I think we put up like a 23/17 day here.

I don't think we fell into the teens but we had like a 23/20 day.

[Blizzard777]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Still showing impressive snow even for Seattle.  

Awe, love you GFS 

Thats my birthday so it should happen 

[Prairiedog]

49 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Is Clark county considered the willamette valley? I typically say no myself just because I hate Oregon that much, but I don’t know it’s it’s technically the willamette valley.

IMHO the Valley ends where the Willy dumps into the Columbia R.  You've got the Lewis R.  LOL

[Mid Valley Duck]

Clear trend to the south of the GFS. It's still significantly further north than all other guidance.
 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Mid Valley Duck said:

Clear trend to the south of the GFS. It's still significantly further north than all other guidance.
 

Maybe it meets the EURO in the middle over your house. 

[TT-SEA]

Arctic front snow per 12Z GEM.  

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

Clear trend to the south of the GFS. It's still significantly further north than all other guidance.
 

And the southward trend might be slowing down there.   At least between the 06Z and 12Z runs.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty big jump south on the GEM by Saturday. 

[Lynnwoodweather]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Here is the 12Z run yesterday... the 00Z run... and the new 12Z run for comparison.  

Southern Snohomish County still in the game, barely. Hanging on by a thread...

[Mid Valley Duck]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Maybe it meets the EURO in the middle over your house. 

From your lips to God's ear!

[Phishy Wx]

so freezer > snow this weekend?

 

could be worse

[SnarkyGoblin]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Arctic front snow per 12Z GEM.  

Probably the most disappointing part of the entire event, if this verifies.

[van city]

Everyone is so focused on silly GFS. I think you should all root for the ICON. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEM looks just about right in line with the ECMWF now at least on Friday.

[the_convergence_zone]

Sea-Tac might still pull off a trace or zero for the entire weekend. In fact it might be the most likely scenario at this time. 

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

And the southward trend might be slowing down there.   At least between the 06Z and 12Z runs.

you can probably Kuchera those totals