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Just now, Phishy Wx said:

with snowcover?

how does that line up historically? 

I think PDX should be good for at least a couple inches, hopefully more. If they score the 22 on Saturday it’ll be the coldest January max since 1979, which was also a pretty backdoor-centric event. Pulled off a 19/13 on 12/31. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

It was probably mentioned but it’s been impossible to keep.  Ukmet has a nice trough digging down the coast next week.  Nice snow event up around the border. 

Icon a week out has a familiar look. 

FFF6CBBA-F4E2-4A0D-9AD8-C4E288D265B1.png

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

I think PDX should be good for at least a couple inches, hopefully more. If they score the 22 on Saturday it’ll be the coldest January max since 1979, which was also a pretty backdoor-centric event. Pulled off a 19/13 on 12/31. 

Sounds like you are thinking this low slides in further south than shown?

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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image.png

Canadian looks kinda juicy over the central sound this evening into overnight. Hope it's correct.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Just now, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Portland is being pigs with the snow.  

That’s been Randy for the last couple years, time to spread the wealth.

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Question: If you look back a week from long range to short and knowing what we know now: which model "won?"

Second: How will the western PDX area fare? I have heard places like Beaverton, Hillsboro, North Plains, Banks, out to Manning areas get skunked often. Is this true and does it look good for those areas? Or is this a Portland, Clark Co / SW WA, and Troutdale special? I am looking forward to seeing all of your pictures! I hope my BIL and SIL in Vancouver, WA get blasted. But Clark Co is a typical winner.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Sounds like you are thinking this low slides in further south than shown?

Not necessarily. If anything I think it may verify a bit north. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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image.png

Wow... Shooting for single digits in my neighborhood on the RGEM! This model is usually the one with the best decoupling at night, so it's an extreme solution. Areas with lots of UHI can kiss anything below 15F goodbye.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

You don't have a generator? how about a solar gen? You cant log in with a phone? Oh Phil!!

I have a battery but if I’d started posting here I would’ve drained it in like the first day. 😆 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shifted north! 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-snow_24hr_kuchera-5201200 (2).png

Very good for PDX (except just north of Camas sorry guys)

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shifted north! 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-snow_24hr_kuchera-5201200 (2).png

Too little too late for Seattle I'm afraid. But the Oly-Tac corridor... 👀

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Not necessarily. If anything I think it may verify a bit north. 

You are like a crystal ball.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Lots of gray.

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5082400.thumb.png.743741a648210692512dcacf16487202.png

A lot more colorful than any of the other models.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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The ice is going to be the big story. I think it could be absolutely brutal. Federal disaster level. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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