January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[FroYoBro]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The warm layer peaks over the next 4-5 hours. The low is moving SE, either way that warm layer will be less of an issue for you by early afternoon, 

Yep, the HRRR shows the Portland area ending with a nice snow band as the low moves inland to our south. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... GFS goes crazy!

That’s right, bud. That’s just perfect. Right there.

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, Olive1010 said:

Light snow starting to fall  

Same here, sleet has changed to snow

[Norwood]

Heavy sleet in Tualatin just starting to turn to snow. Yay

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

Seems like a tough one for the models, I guess they all are.  A trough digging in from the north while another storm moves up from the SW.  Not your typical overrunning situation on the backside of a cold snap

Agreed... I just posted the same thing.   Its so complicated with systems merging right over us.   

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Huge potential.   Right now the GFS is the only model show snow in Seattle with the ICON, GEM, ECMWF, and EPS all a little too far north.   But its all related to a complicated merger of a system coming from the west and another from the north so it could easily go the way the GFS is showing.

I was talking about this yesterday,  the great cold spells seem to last about a week or a little more on average so I figured mid week would be a snow event and we would stay pretty cold all week and the real transition would be on the weekend. Gfs is pretty much shows that

[Doinko]

Extremely windy, probably the strongest east wind I've ever seen. Snow is picking up. 17 degrees

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

That’s right, bud. That’s just perfect. Right there.

I remember the gfs having some similar pretty Colors over us a few days ago. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Luckily we don't have wind down here, this is a mess. I'm hearing Silver Falls HWY is already a complete skating rink. 

[Front Ranger]

41 minutes ago, Dave said:

Not gonna effect us down here in the south valley. No way. Not a chance. I'm definitely not running the dishwasher or washing clothes.

Well, depending on where you are in the lowlands, there's heavy sleet/freezing rain, or strong east winds - or both. Lots of ways to knock power out. 

[BLI snowman]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Luckily we don't have wind down here, this is a mess. I'm hearing Silver Falls HWY is already a complete skating rink. 

Good thing it's a weekend. Timing worked out.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I remember the gfs having some similar pretty Colors over us a few days ago. 

Let’s not revisit such traumatic memories.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

Good thing it's a weekend. Timing worked out.

Hope you are around people you like because none of us are going fu*king anywhere this weekend!

[FroYoBro]

It is really interesting how I'm getting big fat flakes as if it is our normal 34 degree snow. The slightly warm midlevel is making them not look like 16 degree snowflakes. 

[Slushy Inch]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

GEM is pretty crazy too but a little farther north.    The 00Z GEM was actually similar to the new GFS so this is a step back on this run.  

Yeah I think didn’t realize I was looking at the old run. Hard to say where the low will go. Looks like a complex setup 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Latest radar loop. Most of you probably already noticed that you got sleet but now turn into snow. I knew this probably would happen. The upper air needed to aline with the lower temperatures. I believe we will see a big event today

[Snowdome]

Big flakes with big sleet mixed in and starting to dump. Feels like the top of cascade lift at Hood

[The Blob]

Down to 14.

[Phishy Wx]

looks like we bottomed out at -11 IMBY.  curious to see the airport low

would be coldest ive seen here in 6 years (although I was asleep lol)

currently -9, WC -24

 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

It is really interesting how I'm getting big fat flakes as if it is our normal 34 degree snow. The slightly warm midlevel is making them not look like 16 degree snowflakes. 

In 2008 I remember mixed snow and sleet falling in Portland. Look out the window, and it looked like the sort of wet slop that would fall when the temperature was in the mid 30's. Go outside and it was around 20˚F with everything frozen and accumulating.

[Snowdome]

Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

Latest radar loop. Most of you probably already noticed that you got sleet but now turn into snow. I knew this probably would happen. The upper air needed to aline with the lower temperatures. I believe we will see a big event today

Feels like it’s going to be insane all day

[FroYoBro]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

In 2008 I remember mixed snow and sleet falling in Portland. Look out the window, and it looked like the sort of wet slop that would fall when the temperature was in the mid 30's. Go outside and it was around 20˚F with everything frozen and accumulating.

Yep, the exact similar situation here this morning. Crazy looking out there with the wind! 

[Rustysprocket]

16° heavy snow SW Beaverton.  Rare to see it blowing around. Perfect BBQ weather. 

[OysterPrintout]

Trying to get cranking here radar shows it like 5 min SW

[Olive1010]

Little snow with big flakes and lots of it falling 

[Front Ranger]

14 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I was talking about this yesterday,  the great cold spells seem to last about a week or a little more on average so I figured mid week would be a snow event and we would stay pretty cold all week and the real transition would be on the weekend. Gfs is pretty much shows that

Also what last night's GEM showed.

[Olive1010]

Holy moly, I just saw a band come in and there’s BIG flakes 

[Phishy Wx]

and I guess a decent storm coming Tuesday night, into Wednesday.  nice

[Dave]

13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I'm rooting for it to stay sleet as long as possible. Hope you are prepared for a natural disaster, because it sure looks like one is coming to your city.

Me too, although I'm not exactly sure how to deal with sleet. Eugene usually only gets freezing rain or snow.

I'm gonna hope for the best. I'm sure the modeled ZR amounts won't pan out. But even if they did, I'll be fine. I love camping and have supplies for days and warm everything that would be needed.

[SunAndSnow]

HEAVY SNOW! Flakes the size of golf balls. 16°.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Touchdown for Tiger. 

The models have been advertising this sort of pepto fun for days now down there.

It’s going to be pretty terrible.

[ShawniganLake]

16 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Wasn't going to but you convinced me to do it again!

I tried that with the kids last night.  We just all ended up being scalded by hot water falling on us!  
 

. I know it wasn’t cold enough for the full effect but it did make a pretty big cloud of steam.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Dave said:

Me too, although I'm not exactly sure how to deal with sleet. Eugene usually only gets freezing rain or snow.

I'm gonna hope for the best. I'm sure the modeled ZR amounts won't pan out. But even if they did, I'll be fine. I love camping and have supplies for days and warm everything that would be needed.

Sleet is a lot like snow, only denser. In fact, the standard is to measure it as snow. It can be shoveled much like snow is.

[Doinko]

We're getting a mix of really fine flakes and a couple large flakes here. Crazy windy and snowy, snow is blowing almost sideways, and it's 16 degrees outside

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, SunAndSnow said:

HEAVY SNOW! Flakes the size of golf balls. 16°.

Take a video PDX ppl. Enjoy!

[GobBluth]

Mostly sleet in Beaverton.

[Slushy Inch]

NAM range. Looks promising 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEFS shows substantial increase in snow for Wednesday... but the spread is pretty significant for being only 4 days away.   Some members showing lots of snow and others showing none.  

[DeepFriedEgg]

Very icy snow here. 14.7F

Mostly snow I think!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GEFS shows substantial increase in snow for Wednesday... but the spread is pretty significant for being only 4 days away.   Some members showing lots of snow and others showing none.  

Ignore the totals around Portland; will trend north.