MIKEKC Posted February 12 Report Share Posted February 12 Yikes! The mid range models continue show a blow torch for the most of the country with maybe one brief cold snap later this week only to be followed by more 60's in KC next week. North of here might score a nice snow event later this week, keep an eye on that to see if it goes a bit farther south. I have perennials already coming up in the landscape beds. 2-3 inch heads on tulip bulbs. That crazy early. The cold cycle that we saw in Jan. started around the 5th and carried for about 15-20 days with multiple storms. The "repeat" period would start Monday next week, current data saying warm next week and not cold. I'm not giving up yet, BUT, I'm close. Great SB yesterday, Chiefs are pretty darn good. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted February 12 Report Share Posted February 12 Looks like a brief cold shot Friday-Saturday, maybe even a rain/snow mix in my area, but overall it looks mostly above normal for the next 10+ days. I still suspect we get one more snow tease in here the last week of February or early March. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 12 Report Share Posted February 12 winter is done....above verage temps this week average for 3 days this weekend and 50 by next Thurs again. what a mess. depressed and exhausted from rink building. One for the history books 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12 Report Share Posted February 12 If Chicago can make it through 2/15 without measurable snow, it will be the first time on record with no measurable snow between 1/20 and 2/15. It looks like it almost happened in 1998, but not quite. There's missing snowfall data, but the snowcover data from back then shows a modest increase happening on 1/22, so we can infer that a little bit of snow occurred. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12 Author Report Share Posted February 12 34 minutes ago, Hoosier said: If Chicago can make it through 2/15 without measurable snow, it will be the first time on record with no measurable snow between 1/20 and 2/15. It looks like it almost happened in 1998, but not quite. There's missing snowfall data, but the snowcover data from back then shows a modest increase happening on 1/22, so we can infer that a little bit of snow occurred. This stat is what dove me crazy the past number of winters. I’d rather drive or fly somewhere where it snows and sticks and looks like winter than have to live in depression for a few months. I’m very happy where I’m at right now. It gets cool and wet but then you have a week of 70’s and sunshine. The mountains have tons of snow. I’ll prob make one more trip up into N AZ when the next storm parade hits and that’ll be good for me till next season. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 12 Report Share Posted February 12 It's been such a dull winter in the TC that I'm looking forward to spring. Only 7.3" of snow this season and with daylight getting longer I'm looking ahead to that. MPX says there's a chance at the warmest winter on record (Dec-Feb) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12 Report Share Posted February 12 Finally NYC will get a major snowstorm this winter.......here we go: Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 400 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 NJZ006-106>108-NYZ072>075-176-178-179-130500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.240213T0900Z-240213T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0002.240213T0900Z-240213T2300Z/ Hudson-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 400 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Highest amounts away from the shoreline. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...New York City, southern Nassau, and adjacent portions of urban northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 6 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 44 minutes ago, Niko said: Finally NYC will get a major snowstorm this winter.......here we go: Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 400 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 NJZ006-106>108-NYZ072>075-176-178-179-130500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.240213T0900Z-240213T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0002.240213T0900Z-240213T2300Z/ Hudson-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 400 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Highest amounts away from the shoreline. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...New York City, southern Nassau, and adjacent portions of urban northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 6 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. If it ends up being 4-8", I wouldn't really call that major by their standards. They ain't Charlotte, North Carolina. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: They ain't Charlotte, North Carolina. Or Alexandria, Minnesota. 1 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 Colder, wetter look on Euro weeklies as we enter March. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 5 hours ago, Tom said: This stat is what dove me crazy the past number of winters. I’d rather drive or fly somewhere where it snows and sticks and looks like winter than have to live in depression for a few months. I’m very happy where I’m at right now. It gets cool and wet but then you have a week of 70’s and sunshine. The mountains have tons of snow. I’ll prob make one more trip up into N AZ when the next storm parade hits and that’ll be good for me till next season. Great point @Tom. we had one month of winter weather, Then it was all over. My wife and I have talked about mountainous regions when we retire. Flagstaff sounds amazing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13 Author Report Share Posted February 13 8 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Great point @Tom. we had one month of winter weather, Then it was all over. My wife and I have talked about mountainous regions when we retire. Flagstaff sounds amazing. Flagstaff is a beautiful place but in the winter you wont get the consistency of deep snow as you will in the CO Rockies or the Sierra’s. It’s a different flavor for winter but when it does hit, it can dump snow for days. It is gorgeous in the Autumn and real delightful in the summer. You get some awesome storms up there during the Monsoon. Grand Canyon is only 1.5 hours away! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 Just now, Tom said: Flagstaff is a beautiful place but in the winter you wont get the consistency of deep snow as you will in the CO Rockies or the Sierra’s. It’s a different flavor for winter but when it does hit, it can dump snow for days. It is gorgeous in the Autumn and real delightful in the summer. You get some awesome storms up there during the Monsoon. Grand Canyon is only 1.5 hours away! Kind of sounds like what we are looking for. Still 5-10 years away, as we have a senior in high school this year to get through college. We want to live fairly close to a major airport. Right now it’s 3 hours to Omaha, 5 hours to KC and 4 1/2 hours to Denver. Of course it will depend on where our 2 kids settle at. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 00z GFS coming in quite strong with the double header system. Definitely an outlier. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: If it ends up being 4-8", I wouldn't really call that major by their standards. They ain't Charlotte, North Carolina. Considering it has not really snowed there for an incredible amount of time, I would call this "Major." We are used to getting feet of snow in real Nor'easters, but that has not been the case, lately, unfortunately. Models have been trended even further south (benchmark 40/70), which is an ideal track for NYC and all 5 boroughs for real heavy snow. They are expecting snowfall rates of 1 to 2inches an hour. The highest I have seen was 3 to 4inches per hour rates during the famous blizzard of 96. Yeah, your right. We are definitely not Charlotte, NC. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 4 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: 00z GFS coming in quite strong with the double header system. Definitely an outlier. Inching closer to here. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 Clearly the 06GFS must be wrong... 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 GEFS and EPS not in agreement but the GEFS ensembles look confident. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 42/21 there was no rain/snowfall. The sun was out 67% of the possible time. The highest wind was 19 MPH out of the SW. For today the average H/L is 33/19 the record high of 58 was set in 1938 that year also had the most rainfall of 0.68”. The most snowfall of 5.0” fell in 1900 the most snow on the ground was 21” in 2014 and 1936 there was 20” on the ground in 1985. Last year the H/L was 42/28. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13 Author Report Share Posted February 13 Nothing but sunny skies through the work week into the weekend...my kinda weather if ain't gonna storm! I'll try to take some clear photos of the snow capped mountains to my east with a back drop of the deep blue skies. I should have done it yesterday when I was driving back home from errands. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 So the 00z GFS wasn't a one-off and the 06z NAM also came in much stronger. Hmm... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13 Author Report Share Posted February 13 10 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: Kind of sounds like what we are looking for. Still 5-10 years away, as we have a senior in high school this year to get through college. We want to live fairly close to a major airport. Right now it’s 3 hours to Omaha, 5 hours to KC and 4 1/2 hours to Denver. Of course it will depend on where our 2 kids settle at. From Flagstaff, you can pretty much get anywhere you'd like and its right in your back yard. You'll get to experience all sorts of diverse weather up there and I know you love the weather like I do. The smell of the fresh pine is wonderful during the warm months! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 ICON throwing down a quick 2-3 inch snow for KC Friday morning...the trend yesterday was for it to be north of here, we'll see how the rest of the data trends. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 GFS/NAM suggest the snow will stay north of KC. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 It's looking increasingly likely that I will be split between the two systems. Too far south for the Wed/Thurs system and too far north for the Thurs/Fri system. Should still score 1-3, maybe even 4 inches but heavier totals will most likely surround me on both sides. The way the cookie crumbles sometimes, I suppose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 41 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: It's looking increasingly likely that I will be split between the two systems. Too far south for the Wed/Thurs system and too far north for the Thurs/Fri system. Should still score 1-3, maybe even 4 inches but heavier totals will most likely surround me on both sides. The way the cookie crumbles sometimes, I suppose. How I felt yesterday for here may also describe your situation lol 1 1 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 The doldrums are back.. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 A 2 county wide WWA was issued in parts of MN. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: A 2 county wide WWA was issued in parts of MN. This is a classic "would they have issued an advisory for it last winter" snow. Advisory text says 3-4" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 18z NAM would say, upgrade that to a warning and expand it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post chescowxman Posted February 13 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 13 We ended up with 10.5" of snow here today in NW Chester County at 685 ft asl. The rain changed to sleet around 430am and over to snow at around 530am. We had heavy snow and ended up with 7" of snow falling just between 7am and 9am. The 10.5" of snow was our 2nd largest snowstorm this decade...behind only the 16.6" of snow that fell during the first 3 days of February 2021. For the winter season we are now at 21.7" of snow which is only 2.1" below normal through today. 10 1 Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 13 Report Share Posted February 13 2 hours ago, bud2380 said: 18z NAM would say, upgrade that to a warning and expand it. Oh man I was gonna go to Granite Peak (in Wausau) on Tuesday and Wednesday. This is headed almost right for it. RGEM is north and NAM Is a tiny bit south but both look really good. Please happen. I won't make it for the actual snow but conditions should be really good those days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted February 14 Report Share Posted February 14 Wild GFS swings yet again. Just three runs apart. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14 Report Share Posted February 14 Great day for a Super Bowl parade in KC with sunny skies and a high of 65. Changes coming by Friday with snow and some light accumulations possible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted February 14 Report Share Posted February 14 We have had some off and on light snow flurries this morning across the area and in fact are seeing some now here in East Nantmeal. The sun will return today and while we will be below average with temps not too far above freezing we will see some good snow melt with the increasing sun angle. Cloudier tomorrow with a couple clipper type systems the first one tomorrow night and another toward Saturday AM. The first one may bring a coating of snow while the second one on Saturday could bring a small accumulation of snow especially to more southern areas. Temps will remain below normal through the weekend. Records for today: High 63 (1949) / Low 4 below (1979) / Precipitation 1.25" (2007) / Snow 10.0" (1899) Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 14 Report Share Posted February 14 The official H/L yesterday was 37/23 there was a trace of snowfall. The total for the month is now a trace. For today the average H/L is 33/19 the record high of 54 was set in 2023 the record low of -24 was set in 1899. The most rainfall of 0.90” fell in 1911 the most snowfall of 7.8” fell in 1946 the most on the ground was 21” in 1985 and 1936. Last year there was the record H of 54 and the low was 26. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 14 Report Share Posted February 14 It will be a bit chilly this weekend, but the Euro brings back 50s again for much of next week, with 60º possible Wednesday. This month has been crazy mild. I'm almost ready for thunderstorm season. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14 Author Report Share Posted February 14 Happy Valentine's Day! Let's Share some love around the world today, whether it be to your loved one or just a friend...we need more love in this world. In the wx world, around here its a carbon copy for the foreseeable future. I'll send you all some sunshine on this Valentine's Day...Spring Break anyone?? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14 Author Report Share Posted February 14 The LR looks pretty darn depressing for anyone East of the Rockies after this weekend...I guess the West US stole winter as the PAC jet is just raging. It appears I'll have to deal with the storms later in the month and prob most of MAR. The Ski Season should be phenomenal for Spring Breakers in MAR. Heck, I might even plan a trip if I can manage to find a crew to come with. Heavenly in Lake Tahoe could be the epic destination. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 14 Report Share Posted February 14 Looks like a good time to get in some Devil's Head Thursday. There's an advisory in Portage/Baraboo for 3-5. Probably going to be wet and heavy but I'll gladly take that over slush. Looks like it just barely ended up going north of me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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