Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: GEFS looks decent. Pretty decent. Trending towards the EPS/CMCE perhaps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Decent improvement on the 12z FS ensemble. It has a much better look on the 500mb mean after Christmas. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Decent improvement on the 12z FS ensemble. It has a much better look on the 500mb mean after Christmas. Most certainly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Don't worry all. The CFS is back to a cold February and March. Figures. Skips January? Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 6 This looks quite different Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 This looks quite different Little warmer compared to yesterday’s 12z. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z GEFS, CMCE Day 10-16 500mb Height Anomaly. Improvements continue. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 7 Nice chilly shot! This might set up a heck of a cold pool. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 This run is so much better already than the 12z GFS/GEM Op. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Some hope for a white Christmas here... 12Z ECMWF shows snow on the back side of that front on Monday night. 1 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just a trace this morning too. Don't tell me this is one of those seasons where most of my list is T's or wets. That's fine too as long as a few impressive storms occur in the foreseeable future. November 2020 11/06/2020 - Wet" 11/07/2020 - 0.10" 11/10/2020 - T" 11/13/2020 - Wet" 11/14/2020 - Wet" 11/19/2020 - 0.10" 11/22/2020 - T" 11/25/2020 - T" Subtotal - 0.20" December 2020 12/10/2020 - Wet" 12/11/2020 - 3.00" 12/12/2020 - 0.30" 12/13/2020 - T" 12/15/2020 - T" Subtotal - 3.30" 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, TT-SEA said: Some hope for a white Christmas here... 12Z ECMWF shows snow on the back side of that front on Monday night. Lock it in boys 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 PM Saturday to 4 AM Tuesday. Watch how the frontal boundary slides south, then lifts north/Anafront, and then eventually slides southeast out of the area. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Some hope for a white Christmas here... 12Z ECMWF shows snow on the back side of that front on Monday night. That would be some shizz if the South Sound got 3 inches and I get flurries. 1 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: 10 PM Saturday to 4 AM Tuesday. Watch how the frontal boundary slides south, then lifts north/Anafront, and then eventually slides southeast out of the area. The 12Z ECMWF shows about 8-12 inches of snow in my area on Monday night... followed by a couple mostly sunny, very chilly days. 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 9'er 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Looks wetter than the GFS as well... pretty fun looking scenario on this run. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Christmas Eve morning finally feeling a bit more like Winter. This is with strong east wind too. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Jesse said: Karl Bonner Haha no he gets out. Always wearing a ask of course. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: Looks wetter than the GFS as well... pretty fun looking scenario on this run. Yeah, more than double the precip of the GFS 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro would drop a few inches up here too. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Nice looking Euro run. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 13 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Christmas Eve morning finally feeling a bit more like Winter. This is with strong east wind too. We are slowly getting there! one model run battle at a time 4 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Weather wonder knew it all along. 3 1 3 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, weatherwonder said: We are slowly getting there! one model run battle at a time #BabySteps 4 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 36 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Lock it in boys Federal Way is in the blue with U 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: High of 38 for KSEA on Christmas. Low of 22 (!) on Christmas Eve. Stop, I can only get so aroused. 1 1 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 18 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: High of 38 for KSEA on Christmas. Low of 22 (!) on Christmas Eve. I feel like a broken record but that's only through 12z aka 4am PST Christmas morning. 2 1 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, jakerepp said: That would be some shizz if the South Sound got 3 inches and I get flurries. Once again I get screwed... 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Interestingly enough the EURO shows strong NW winds as the frontal boundary slides back south after giving Seattle some snow. Correct me if I’m wrong but wintertime northwesterly wind events aren’t terribly frequent. 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Geez... Way to throw cold water on the hype. The low of 22 on Christmas Eve is still pretty decent. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Geez... Way to throw cold water on the hype. Sorry. It's just something that is tossed around here quite a bit on the 10 day meteograms that always makes me cringe. On a positive note, it's nice to finally see some GOA blocking around day 15 and I think the early next week trough could be a nice little warning shot! 4 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Annual tradition in our house too! But good to see that, whatever it is, it is a good thing, at least according to Phil. Hey, at least he spelled it out instead of just typing “OS TSM.” Baby steps… Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 23 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z EPS continues to show GOA blocking developing after Christmas. Not too worried about the placement shown at this point in time. Just happy to not see a raging Pacific jet. Does the blocking signal show up later or something? 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Does the blocking signal show up later or something? Will my phone still work after the blocking signal shows up, or will it stop my phone from being able to communicate with the tower? 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Will my phone still work after the blocking signal shows up, or will it stop my phone from being able to communicate with the tower? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Dave,
10 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by Christensen87,
2 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.