Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I’m concerned but it looks like we come out okay thanks to the trusty Gorge. Gonna bank on the deadly accurate mid-range euro hopefully "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 King euro. That model is so far ahead of the gfs it's comical We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, wxmet said: Still looks like a good run for PDX Yeah... precip just does not want to lift north any further. But its such a huge change for the GFS that I expect future runs will be even farther north. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice cave to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Yeah... precip just does not want to lift north any further. But its such a huge change for the GFS that I expect future runs will be even farther north. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Precip on Friday morning... and look at that beast to the west. That is going to be the next snowstorm on this run. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Lol what is the GFS smoking. All of a sudden there's a healthy precip shield way up north. This model is flailing. Just wait until you see the runs in two days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The key to all of this is the massive cold pool to tap into. This is not a typical overrunning. Like in past big snow periods you see heavy snow, a warm up for 18 hrs then below freezing again. This could play out like that. 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Here comes the Saturday storm... 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Precip on Friday morning... and look at that beast to the west. That is going to be the next snowstorm on this run. Hopefully it’s cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Can’t say this enough this is such a huge change from 00z. There must have been better sampling this cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... precip just does not want to lift north any further. But its such a huge change for the GFS that I expect future runs will be even farther north. Morning Euro will be telling as to where it wants to place moisture — the GFS is just playing catch up at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: The key to all of this is the massive cold pool to tap into. This is not a typical overrunning. Like in past big snow periods you see heavy snow, a warm up for 18 hrs then below freezing again. This could play out like that. Yeah... usually the models show the cold being scoured out but they are not even trying to show that now. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 What begins with a G and rhymes with doofus? 4 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 It's crazy the difference in temperature from here to Redmond on 02/06/2014. They were single digits while I was pushing 40 that day during the snow. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: The key to all of this is the massive cold pool to tap into. This is not a typical overrunning. Like in past big snow periods you see heavy snow, a warm up for 18 hrs then below freezing again. This could play out like that. The fact that the cold pool so so potent definitely gives me hope for PDX— hopefully bodes well further south. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 A Portland special on Saturday per this new run... with a roaring east wind for all. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 This looks like it could be a VERY snowy solution for the region with the weekend storm. Assuming it verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Precip can't overcome the east wind up here on this run... here is Saturday afternoon. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 This is litterly a dream scenario for snow chances West of the cascades of Oregon and WA. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Good morning, looks like we bottomed out at 38 for a low. Plenty of potential ahead for sure. We just have to be prepared for these models to be dancing back and forth over the coming days. Still hoping for something great though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Precip can't overcome the east wind up here on this run... here is Saturday afternoon. Yeah looks like the east wind and low dp is just eating everything up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 That low and all that precip just runs into a wall of east wind next weekend and falls apart. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 And here comes another system on Sunday... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Portland gets just a little bit of snow on this run. Definitely in a dangerous spot and wouldn’t be surprised to see this end up like February 2019. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Huge east windstorm. Foothill locations should definitely start preparing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: That extremely dry air is not letting precip fall from Seattle northward. Going to need some strong precip rates to overcome that. Or just a better low track to increase the dps closer to the temp. Would prefer to see a system moving to the north from the south than vice-versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Single digit dp for Seattle with a strong east wind. That system is getting obliterated as it approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: PDX is in the sweet spot again. Total snow through Saturday afternoon... I’m in the hole on the GFS which probably means I’m in the perfect spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: PDX is in the sweet spot again. Total snow through Saturday afternoon... Might be more helpful to separate out all the systems. Here is just Friday morning through Sunday morning. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Portland gets just a little bit of snow on this run. Definitely in a dangerous spot and wouldn’t be surprised to see this end up like February 2019. Definitely worried for this, but at least there’s that persistent offshore flow and cold pool this time around. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: And by 10PM Saturday they are closing in on a foot... Pretty insane difference between HIO and PDX/TTD, almost a foot difference due to the East winds eating up all the moisture. I'm not going to start taking any of these snow maps seriously until 2 or 3 days out. But this map shows the huge potential for some lucky soul(s) to SCORE big within the next week or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Requiem said: Definitely worried for this, but at least there’s that persistent offshore flow and cold pool this time around. It will change plenty of times before the time actually comes. Just pray to Tim the weather god each night! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 12z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Seattle area finally gets in on the action on Monday... 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Christensen87 said: Huge east windstorm. Foothill locations should definitely start preparing. These can be brutal in the winter, well at least it won't cause fires this time. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, Christensen87 said: Huge east windstorm. Foothill locations should definitely start preparing. This apply to the Oregon foothills as well? 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, Christensen87 said: Huge east windstorm. Foothill locations should definitely start preparing. Power outage in sub freezing temps? No thanks! People have died in the past due to carbon monoxide poisoning because of the stuff they had to do to keep warm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Gem caving too 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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