MossMan Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 47 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Snow subsides by Friday morning for Puget Sound at which point, depending on which ratio you use, 5-10+ inches has fallen from Everett southward and the next storm is about to move in. Needs to move a notch more to the north. 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS v16 is back and has Florence and Coos Bay landfalls for the two systems. It buries Olympia to Salem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The good news is it is extremely unlikely next year will be a Nino. Nothing else has exactly worked out for us recently though. Weak Ninas are still okay but for how much longer!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 You guys really think we're gonna get off that easy and you won't see at least a few more runs that have a bit more of a southerly solution? Get outta here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Requiem said: lol at this rate we won't get another snowstorm period in 25 years.... likely not but it sucks to be so close yet so far. I find it hard to believe there will be nothing between 2" and 20" in Portland Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: January was last month. You now have to wait until August to lament our January futility or fire up the unbridled optimism that we’re about to turn the corner. Thanks in advance. 1948-49 redux incoming. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Maybe? I think there's a really decent shot at 40s on Friday, honestly. 18z NAM has that westerly surge popping us up to 41, even amidst its dementedly cold output. Thursday is probably our best chance with precip moving in early in the day, but I'm thinking PDX will be there in the AM hours. At this point I’d rather it remain intact, but I know better than to get all giddy about the NAM and its nammyness. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Such a weenie take. 2017 was amazing and you may not get another snowstorm like that in the next 35 years. I know both storms that Jan were multi decadal events. Medford broke a 24 hour snowfall record I believe in ours. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 16 minutes ago, Requiem said: Definitely was a cool storm but I'm sure it pales in comparison to the February 2019 storms up there. There wasn't a single day that produced more than 6-8'' for me in February 2019, and my totals for the month were probably about 20''. Maybe Port Angeles can best that, but I don't think anyone in the central-north sound did that well from a single storm. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: You guys really think we're gonna get off that easy and you won't see at least a few more runs that have a bit more of a southerly solution? Get outta here. Justin needs this. He’ll be better tomorrow. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Nothing else has exactly worked out for us recently though. Weak Ninas are still okay but for how much longer!? The only other winter in the 10 I have been up here for, that compares at all to this one so far is 2014-15, and we had more hard freezes to this point that winter. We have been lucky to have about 10" of snow so far, way below average, but with how mild it has been and that at no point during any of those snow events was it below 32, I will take it. For as bad as this winter has been that has been the one silver lining, all it will take is for one March trough and we will beat our 2013-14 snow total. Except that winter we bottomed out with a 21/2 day in December, and 23/13 in February. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Justin needs this. He’ll be better tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: GFS v16 is back and has Florence and Coos Bay landfalls for the two systems. It buries Olympia to Salem. Please allow me to cherry pick this one. 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Justin needs this. He’ll be better tomorrow. Moving on up the ladder! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Please allow me to cherry pick this one. Salem the big winner... AGAIN. #january2021 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 13 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Such a weenie take. 2017 was amazing and you may not get another snowstorm like that in the next 35 years. 1/10/17 was very comparable to February 2019 up this way. Got pretty similar totals except it happened in a much shorter time period. 2 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The only other winter in the 10 I have been up here for, that compares at all to this one so far is 2014-15, and we had more hard freezes to this point that winter. We have been lucky to have about 10" of snow so far, way below average, but with how mild it has been and that at no point during any of those snow events was it below 32, I will take it. For as bad as this winter has been that has been the one silver lining, all it will take is for one March trough and we will beat our 2013-14 snow total. Except that winter we bottomed out with a 21/2 day in December, and 23/13 in February. I've come to appreciate dry cold and even run-of-the-mill chill a lot more after the past couple winters. Just having frost lying around and pretending it was a really light arctic front helps moods! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 The low will either make landfall near the Columbia or vancuver island lol. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Silver Star looks a helluva lot more wintry today compared to the last sunny day. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, iFred said: Pretty sure there is serious doubt in that the cold air moves in as modeled that that lows land anywhere south of Neah Bay. I don’t blame them for waiting and we all know that there is a chance that this just turns into a Whatcom County special. Maybe unlikely at this point, but a non zero chance. lol take your cancelled winter to a warmer climate like Florida or something. A place that doesn't really experience winter then you can cancel it all year round! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 13 minutes ago, MossMan said: Needs to move a notch more to the north. And I would not be surprised if it does. 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: The low will either make landfall near the Columbia or vancuver island lol. Great anal ysis. 1 1 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: And I would not be surprised if it does. Probably will but I highly doubt it moves too much farther north than it is now. Systems later this weekend are probably your best bet. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I've come to appreciate dry cold and even run-of-the-mill chill a lot more after the past couple winters. Just having frost lying around and pretending it was a really light arctic front helps moods! I’ve found myself being pretty excited at the prospect of a day that might not make it above 45. Wintery. Chilly! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 35 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Unfortunately, amidst the horror it’s one of the nicest days this year. If you don’t stand still too long in the sun you could reasonably convince yourself it’s a crisp mid winter day. That sun feels powerful today. 1 2 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Probably will but I highly doubt it moves too much farther north than it is now. Systems later this weekend are probably your best bet. You have more faith in model accuracy than I do. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: You have more faith in model accuracy than I do. We’re within 48 hours now not foreseeing any crazy shifts IMO. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: That sun feels powerful today. Nov 1st sun angle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Ok, gonna hold out some hope for a few flurries, we'll see what happens. Fourth stage of grief is acceptance I guess. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Snowdrift said: Nov 1st sun angle Good thing to keep things in perspective. Coming out of summer the sun feels very weak at that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 36 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Hey Rob EPS still looks good for you Nice I see some colors later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: lol take your cancelled winter to a warmer climate like Florida or something. A place that doesn't really experience winter then you can cancel it all year round! It's one season 11 months out of the year if not all twelve of 'em Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 47 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Looking ahead to Monday. @SouthHillFrosty didn't you mention something about it if it went further south? The 12z Euro on Saturday had this. It went further south and brought down more cold air. Hmmm Yup I did! Sorry I was in a meeting. If we get on the northern side of the low, that would help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Slightly south? 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Good thing to keep things in perspective. Coming out of summer the sun feels very weak at that point. It feels like January is a summer month these days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Haha. 1 1 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Lot better for PDX this run. 2 1 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: Lot better for PDX this run. Winter uncancel for Requiem! 1 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
11 reactions
Go to this post