February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[snow drift]

It should be interesting between now and Friday. It'll change 20 times.

[FroYoBro]

2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Wow, no wonder they call this a roller coaster ride.  Was not expecting the Thursday system to go that far North. Kelso looks to be in the bullseye on this run. 

You realize how far out this still is for tracking a low, right? 

[Kolk1604]

Actually good from Seattle south. Longview gets Anihilated. Is this real...?

Hour 162 with temps still in the low 20s. 

[Slushy Inch]

Very snowy look to this Euro run, someone would score with this pattern.

[snow drift]

Couldn't the low deepen while interacting with the cold air?

[Perturbed Member]

Juicy. However these lows track, hopefully we can get enough cold air in place before. 850s over PDX get up to 0c for the first low. Way too close for comfort. 

[wxmet]

[TacomaWaWx]

3 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

It should be interesting between now and Friday. It'll change 20 times.

Yeah...every run will probably be different...I’d like the lows to dip a bit further south than currently progged. More people would score...less snow up in western WA but would be colder. Hopefully this is the way it plays out but we will see! As it is...5 consecutive sub 30 days here in Tacoma if it verifies. 

[Randyc321]

2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

It just keeps going for NW OR. Definition of playing with fire though.

I really like that it is showing this much cold to the south of us at this point. Inevitably it seems like it shifts go north. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Deweydog]

Euro goes cyclogenic.  That’s new.

[Slushy Inch]

Looks like a snow storm for western Washington on Saturday, 20s and plenty of moisture would be insane.

[Perturbed Member]

This looks sufficient 

[Deweydog]

Just now, nwsnow said:

This looks sufficient 

Reminds me of a few of the runs 4-5 days out two years ago.

[MWG]

Looks like not much going on for southern OR. 

[MossMan]

Just now, nwsnow said:

This looks sufficient 

Trend north!! (A little) 

[bainbridgekid]

This Euro run is even more of a holy sh*t run than the 12z.

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, nwsnow said:

This looks sufficient 

Ahhh I knew Portland was due, at least Seattle would get left overs.

[MossMan]

Just now, Deweydog said:

Reminds me of a few of the runs 4-5 days out two years ago.

Woo Hoo!! 

[MWG]

1 minute ago, nwsnow said:

This looks sufficient 

Lol that white hole in Jackson County. 

[TT-SEA]

GFS shows almost no snow... ECMWF shows historic snow.     Glad we have all this settled now!   Unbelievable for being within 6 days.  

[bainbridgekid]

To illustrate the incredible potential and uncertainty inherent in this pattern, the Euro gives Portland 22 inches of snow through hour 180 and the GFS gives them . . . 0.1"

[Blizzard777]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

As long as I get a few inches here, especially with a vigorous/exciting arctic front, I'll be good here, especially if we get some subfreezing highs following it. February 2019 screwed NW Oregon, I do not mind if we get (partly!) shafted here, so long as we see something notable.

I’M IN THE PiNK!!!  
So this is what MossMan feels like....WOW!
 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

EURO makes even less sense then the GEM. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[SalemDuck]

3’ of snow in about 60 hours

[snow drift]

Now it's a pushing contest between the Pacific and the arctic air mass.

[Perturbed Member]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Reminds me of a few of the runs 4-5 days out two years ago.

Just don't....

PTSD 

[SouthHillFrosty]

I would take this run!! Sorry @MossMan

[Slushy Inch]

Trough pushes through Sunday and it remains cold.

[MossMan]

Just now, SalemDuck said:

3’ of snow in about 60 hours

PLEASE TREND NORTH! 
Yes I’m a snow hog and I’m not going to hide it! 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SalemDuck said:

3’ of snow in about 60 hours

The horse snowflake gets a foot, thank god...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, SalemDuck said:

3’ of snow in about 60 hours

If this verified do you think TWL would complain about his 4-6"?

[TacomaWaWx]

This is insane. Feels like we went back in a time machine back to February 2019...but colder. Hopefully it works out for everyone this time.

[Perturbed Member]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Ahhh I knew Portland was due, at least Seattle would get left overs.

Lot of model riding left before we see what actually happens.

[Timmy Supercell]

00z Euro on pivotal is even crazier with putting snowstorms along the I5 corridor. PDX gets two feet on this run. Of course I'd like to see maybe 10 more runs before taking it with a grain of sodium. 

Strangely only a few inches here.

[Requiem]

I like the fact that the offshore flow stays intact— could it possibly be a December 1996 scenario?

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, nwsnow said:

Lot of model riding left before we see what actually happens.

True

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

PLEASE TREND NORTH! 
Yes I’m a snow hog and I’m not going to hide it! 

This would be the ultimate revenge for last winter!!

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

I like the fact that the offshore flow stays intact— could it possibly be a December 1996 scenario?

If the snow changes to pouring rain.