T-Town Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Diverse your portfolio! Get some gummy bears and Skittles! Side note.... Down to 30 pieces of candy left. Kids have been coming in huge groups in Kent. Easily had 100-150 kids already Not really a fan of sour candy. Nougat, however, is proof that God loves us. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 My phone app has rain for the next 7 days. that sure does suck after a beautiful weekend la niña where are you? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Diverse your portfolio! Get some gummy bears and Skittles! Side note.... Down to 30 pieces of candy left. Kids have been coming in huge groups in Kent. Easily had 100-150 kids already I used to like binging on gummy worms! Years ago... 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 27 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Diverse your portfolio! Get some gummy bears and Skittles! Side note.... Down to 30 pieces of candy left. Kids have been coming in huge groups in Kent. Easily had 100-150 kids already We usually get around 120 kids. Seemed busier this year. We ran out of candy early. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 We’ve had 5-6 trick or treaters in the 11 years we’ve been here, although a couple of them might have just been attempted residential burglaries. Our old place was in a massive hot zone where we’d almost always run out. We’d end up giving out boxes of Kraft Macaroni and Cheese or whatever was laying around. It SNOWED within WEEKS of a few of those 10/31’s… 4 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: We usually get around 120 kids. Seemed busier this year. We ran out of candy early. Yeah... streets were packed where we went down in North Bend. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, Deweydog said: We’ve had 5-6 trick or treaters in the 11 years we’ve been here, although a couple of them might have just been attempted residential burglaries. Our old place was in a massive hot zone where we’d almost always run out. We’d end up giving out boxes of Kraft Macaroni and Cheese or whatever was laying around. It SNOWED within WEEKS of a few of those 10/31’s… AnAlogS?????!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 39°F. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: AnAlogS?????!!!! 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Still 52 here... I think the offshore flow will be increasing overnight ahead of that weak front coming through tomorrow afternoon. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, T-Town said: Aren’t you in the Proctor area? That’s kind of surprising. You would think so but usually I don’t see any kids out and about. When I was growing up my mom had a house on 22nd and proctor behind the Safeway and we would go trick or treating and there was lots of other kids. Not so much in recent years from what I recall. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Still 52 here... I think the offshore flow will be increasing overnight ahead of that weak front coming through tomorrow afternoon. It is indeed increasing overnight. What pressure gradient would be best for your area? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 00z GFS far more entertaining run this far 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: Virus fears seem as bad as last year, surprisingly. A few houses literally roped off their driveways with “no Halloween because of covid” signs. My parents live in a very covid believing community and they had a lot(!) maybe 60-70 kids after having maybe 7 last year. We had 24 this year and had about 30 last yr in my rural town. Got a bit cold at the end but we bundled up with double layers for son and mittens as well as a santa hat for myself. A clear night with no rain or win so it was manageable. 2 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Trough, trough, trough, trough.... Big change instead of the ridge holding just off the coast. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Still Trick o' Treaters going on Lake Forest Park now. Down in the low 40s across much of the area. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: It is indeed increasing overnight. What pressure gradient would be best for your area? I actually don't know... so much of it comes down to angle of the flow here. I think its different down there since you are right next to a large funnel. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Trough, trough, trough, trough.... Big change instead of the ridge holding just off the coast. It's too early in the season for me to purposely model ride. Show me something interesting, please. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Temp at SEA has been rising over the last couple hours... back to 53 now. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 GFS shows snow here next Monday. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 44 with mostly clear Skies. 56/40 today. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Just now, ShawniganLake said: GFS shows snow here next Monday. Score! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Much more palatable GFS run through day 10. Some mountain snow, fairly mild in the lowlands with onshore flow, but it will feel like late fall once we get towards the end of the work week. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 The GFS actually looks pretty impressive for the 5 to 10 period with constantly below normal 850s and fairly active it would appear. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 44 with mostly clear Skies. 56/40 today. It's really hard to explain why you're having such a hard time getting cold nights there. There's no reason you shouldn't have your first freeze by now, but it sounds like you haven't. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Looking at the surface obs the max temps appear consistently well below normal from day 4 or 5 onward. Mins get colder during week two as well. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 00z GFS - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. As I was eluding to earlier, this is a great run overall. Fairly active, wet, nice mountain snowpack including southern British Columbia and northeastern Washington! C'MON!!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 November in a few hours. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 00z GFS - High/Low temps through Mon, 11/8. Chilly 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. As I was eluding to earlier, this is a great run overall. Fairly active, wet, nice mountain snowpack including southern British Columbia and northeastern Washington! C'MON!!!! That’s a fantastic 10 day run for ncw/ new and mountains south. Waiting eagerly for first snow in the methow 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It's really hard to explain why you're having such a hard time getting cold nights there. There's no reason you shouldn't have your first freeze by now, but it sounds like you haven't. I am much closer to you and there has not been an official freeze here either... and we still have roses blooming. My wife did pull up the dahlias today though since she wanted to take advantage of the nice weather. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 Huge ridge later in the GFS run. Wouldn't be shocking in a Nina November. Good chance it would bring a huge inversion though. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Huge ridge later in the GFS run. Wouldn't be shocking in a Nina November. Good chance it would bring a huge inversion though. The progression is outstanding Day 6-10+ and looks very reasonable. I like it! 00z ECMWF in 34 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: We’ve had 5-6 trick or treaters in the 11 years we’ve been here, although a couple of them might have just been attempted residential burglaries. I raise you the zero trick-r-treaters I've had the past 11 years and the zero attempted burglaries. My neighborhood is so boring. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: New place is in the dark blue zone! Presently 37˚F here. Looks good for another freeze tonight… assuming the easterlies from the Fraser Canyon don’t spoil it. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: November in a few hours. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 31 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. As I was eluding to earlier, this is a great run overall. Fairly active, wet, nice mountain snowpack including southern British Columbia and northeastern Washington! C'MON!!!! 5/5 dendrites...1/5 from the Russian judge 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Madden aka Captain Obvious 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 45 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS - High/Low temps through Mon, 11/8. Chilly Nice November weather 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 1, 2021 Report Share Posted November 1, 2021 On my 20th piece of candy…. I need some vegetables 1 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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