Cloud Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 It’s incredibly “dark” out being at 9:30am. Sitting right under the very heavy stuff right now. Speaking of dark. Daylight saving ends tomorrow morning… today is last full day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: It’s incredibly “dark” out being at 9:30am. Sitting right under the very heavy stuff right now. Speaking of dark. Daylight saving ends tomorrow morning… today is last full day. As mentioned... today was the latest sunrise of the year. And tomorrow it will be totally dark by 5 p.m. Its not that dark here right now. I think there is some offshore component this morning as the rain is very light. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 55 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Sad fact is I probably won't be here in 50 years, it's possible, I would be 87, but odds are I won't be. Makes you wonder what the medical capabilities will be then. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 12z seems to be trending wetter again. lol 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 14 minutes ago, Phil said: Niño/+QBO following multiyear Niña/retracted IPWP. Get ready for a Tim torch summer and snowless winter if that happens. You think there's any chance we avoid an El Niño year and stay neutral, maybe even go for that elusive triple dip? 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Makes you wonder what the medical capabilities will be then. Cyborgs! Resistance is futile 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: You think there's any chance we avoid an El Niño year and stay neutral, maybe even go for that elusive triple dip? Whoaaaaa Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 31 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Where is the wind this morning? I see some breezy conditions on the coast intermittently, and down near Longview as well as up near Bellingham, but calm everywhere else it looks like. 46, calm and a light rain on Bainbridge right now. Wind is here now. So are very dark skies and much heavier rain. Nice day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Cyborgs! Resistance is futile I already am one 2 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Getting breezy last half hour or so. Wind is picking up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: D**n... It's dumping here. Temp sitting at 42. Raining harder here now too. Satellite shows we might see some sun breaks soon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 14 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Cyborgs! Resistance is futile According to some people artificial intelligence is our bigger threat to survival even nuclear war. Elon musk said it best, what do we do when artificial intelligence is smarter than the smartest people on earth? 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: According to some people artificial intelligence is our bigger threat to survival even nuclear war. Elon musk said it best, what do we do when artificial intelligence is smarter than the smartest people on earth? What if it already is and we are in a simulation? 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 So close! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 It feels like the only reason left for setting the clocks back in our society is so models come out an hour earlier. 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Really heavy rainfall with this little line coming through right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Finally have a WWA posted for the Oregon Cascades. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 30 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: According to some people artificial intelligence is our bigger threat to survival even nuclear war. Elon musk said it best, what do we do when artificial intelligence is smarter than the smartest people on earth? Pull the plug. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 15 minutes ago, Deweydog said: It feels like the only reason left for setting the clocks back in our society is so models come out an hour earlier. I kind of like the changing of the clocks. Probably just because that's the way its always been. I think the biggest reason at our latitude is so the kids aren't going to school in pitch dark during the winter. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 33 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: According to some people artificial intelligence is our bigger threat to survival even nuclear war. Elon musk said it best, what do we do when artificial intelligence is smarter than the smartest people on earth? Interesting there's hardly any mention of nuclear meltdown, a really huge solar flare strong enough to black out the planet could definitely carry that risk. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Certainly a chilly raw day out there. Looks like the 12z GFS is coming more in line with the Euro on that mid month cold snap. Not a huge deal, but a decent cold shot. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Interesting there's hardly any mention of nuclear meltdown, a really huge solar flare strong enough to black out the planet could definitely carry that risk. That's a very real threat. A Carrington flare event in the modern era could be catastrophic in a number of ways. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I kind of like the changing of the clocks. Probably just because that's the way its always been. I think the biggest reason at our latitude is so the kids aren't going to school in pitch dark during the winter. Middle and high school kids still go to school in the dark here in the winter even with the time change. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 47 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: According to some people artificial intelligence is our bigger threat to survival even nuclear war. Elon musk said it best, what do we do when artificial intelligence is smarter than the smartest people on earth? End of days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I kind of like the changing of the clocks. Probably just because that's the way its always been. I think the biggest reason at our latitude is so the kids aren't going to school in pitch dark during the winter. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 18 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Interesting there's hardly any mention of nuclear meltdown, a really huge solar flare strong enough to black out the planet could definitely carry that risk. Artificial intelligence is scary. If you start reading about it and watching videos you'll know what I'm talking about. Kinda like the story line on the terminator movie. It could actually happen now and back then it was just Science fantasy. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 I'm somewhat impressed with the colder air today. Still only 41 here and the last rain shower was chunky. Splat test confirmed on skylight. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Artificial intelligence is scary. If you start reading about it and watching videos you'll know what I'm talking about. Kinda like the story line on the terminator movie. It could actually happen now and back then it was just Science fantasy. I think anybody who actually works in IT would be able to calm your fears about robot/ai takeover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 6, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Snow has begun at our property. My brother just finished his solar power system so he has internet and now I can check live camera pics lol. 8 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 All this robot talk made me think of this. Classic… Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 12Z ECMWF showed a 1/2 inch of snow for the Seattle area this morning before 11 a.m. and 1-2 inches of snow here this morning. Currently 43 here and not snowing. Nice initialization. 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said: You think there's any chance we avoid an El Niño year and stay neutral, maybe even go for that elusive triple dip? Yes. Will hinge on the evolution of the general circulation this winter, and whether there are any significant MJOs (which we’re realizing may be triggered indirectly via extratropical wave dynamics). But either 2022/23 or 2023/24 is likely to be a moderate or strong El Niño. A healthy single year event, most likely. There’s a quasi-variable natural frequency of sorts when it comes to ENSO and the IPWP. I personally hope it’s 2023/24 that transitions to El Niño. Would make for much better winter patterns and possibly cooler summers as well, both in 2022 and 2023. But next year wouldn’t surprise me at all. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Nice squall blasted through SE PDX around 10:45 AM with thunder, hail, and a burst of winds to 30mph. Oh, and 12z MM5-NAM, WRF-GFS brings back a strong low moving onshore near Westport, WA. C'MON!!!! 18z GFS in 3 hours 29 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 12z MM5-NAM, WRF-GFS .... POSSIBLE QUICK HITTING WIND EVENT/STORM LATE MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY MORNING... PDX metro-Northern Willamette Valley Both morning model runs of the NAM, GFS now show a surface low developing Monday morning in the vicinity 40-41 N, 135 W taking a classic southwesterly trajectory. Unlike previous runs weakening the low or taking it into southern Oregon, now the models keep it intact with the NAM deepening it to 983mb landfall near Westport, WA with peak wind gusts 3-6 AM of 40-60mph. The WRF is a bit weaker around 987mb landfall just south of Ocean Shores, WA and peak gusts also around 3-6 AM of 40-50mph. We'll have to see what the 12z EURO run shows today. Let's keep an eye on this in case the models do now want a solitary deep low to track somewhere near the south or central Washington Coast. C'MON!!!! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z MM5-NAM, WRF-GFS .... POSSIBLE QUICK HITTING WIND EVENT/STORM LATE MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY MORNING... PDX metro-Northern Willamette Valley Both morning model runs of the NAM, GFS now show a surface low developing Monday morning in the vicinity 40-41 N, 135 W taking a classic southwesterly trajectory. Unlike previous runs weakening the low or taking it into southern Oregon, now the models keep it intact with the NAM deepening it to 983mb landfall near Westport, WA with peak wind gusts 3-6 AM of 40-60mph. The WRF is a bit weaker around 987mb landfall just south of Ocean Shores, WA and peak gusts also around 3-6 AM of 40-50mph. We'll have to see what the 12z EURO run shows today. Let's keep an eye on this in case the models do now want a solitary deep low to track somewhere near the south or central Washington Coast. C'MON!!!! 12 Euro not on board at first glance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: 12 Euro not on board at first glance Still feels like a lot can/will change 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: 12 Euro not on board at first glance Of course it isn't. King EURO means we get ZERO! I just made that up. 00z ECMWF in 11 hours 33 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Still feels like a lot can/will change Yeah for sure a lot can and will change between now and Monday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 50F with on and off rain. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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