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November 2022 Observations and Discussion

Clinton

By Clinton
in East of the Rockies

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westMJim Mentor

westMJim

Posted
Posted

Welcome to winter time, whoops I mean standard time. We will be on this time for only the next 4 months. Not sure how much longer we will be changing the time but as we are on this time only for 4 months it should not be called standard time.

Yesterday had some periods of strong winds and a few showers. The official H/L for Grand Rapids was 66/48 here in MBY my high was 65. There was officially 0.06” of rain fall (I had 0.16”) and there was no sunshine. There was a new record high set in Muskegon of 71 yesterday and that high of 66 was the 6th warmest at GR.  The overnight low here in MBY was 41 when there was some clearing. At the current time it is cloudy and 44 here. For today the average H/L is 51/36 the record high of 77 was reported in 1975 and the record low of 9 was reported in 1951. The record snow fall amount of 4.0” was recorded in 1988.

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Clinton
Clinton

Okay so I'm a little excited about the weather changes we will be experiencing in the next 7 to 10 days.  It's becoming more and more clear that the majority of us will have a early start to Winter. 

Timmy Supercell
Timmy Supercell

Not sure if posted here, saw Firsthand Weather on facebook post this yesterday. Orchard Park NY.

Andie
Andie

Orchard Park, New York reported 77" of snow in 24 hours, setting preliminary new state record for snowiest 24 hours. The previous record stood at 50" in Camden, New York on February 1, 1966.

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, Clinton said:

I think we have 2 snow storms to track as the tanking EPO and phase 7 MJO combine to give us some stormy weather.  The first storm looks to bring precipitation to @CentralNebWeatherand @hawkstwelve.  The GFS has been trending slower, stronger and further SE.  The 6z GFS has a blizzard very close to a few of our guys.

gfs-deterministic-conus-instant_ptype-1667714400-1668027600-1668243600-40.gif

1668243600-27RJKo1m6oo.png

1668340800-cS4R6QKduWg.png

The second has been showing up on the GFS and Euro Control for days 9 and 10 for a few runs in a row.  As Tom mentioned it looks very interesting for us in the Central Plains.  First accumulating snow for KC?

6z GFS 

1668621600-31ol6RwmaV4.png

0z Euro Control

1668621600-bkZesFND0mw.png

I think its time to get into that Winter Storm tracking mode...I've been sorta feeling the seasons out here in AZ as we have seen some real deal Autumn weather for the SW desert standards.  Autumn came here fast a little over a week ago and it appears we will continue this trend for at least the next 10 days.  I gotta be honest, I don't know how I'm going to acclimate to those temps when I get back home.  It feels cold for me with temps in the mid 40's around sunrise!  

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hawkstwelve Grand Master

hawkstwelve

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Clinton said:

I think we have 2 snow storms to track as the tanking EPO and phase 7 MJO combine to give us some stormy weather.  The first storm looks to bring precipitation to @CentralNebWeatherand @hawkstwelve.  The GFS has been trending slower, stronger and further SE.  The 6z GFS has a blizzard very close to a few of our guys.

gfs-deterministic-conus-instant_ptype-1667714400-1668027600-1668243600-40.gif

1668243600-27RJKo1m6oo.png

1668340800-cS4R6QKduWg.png

The second has been showing up on the GFS and Euro Control for days 9 and 10 for a few runs in a row.  As Tom mentioned it looks very interesting for us in the Central Plains.  First accumulating snow for KC?

6z GFS 

1668621600-31ol6RwmaV4.png

0z Euro Control

1668621600-bkZesFND0mw.png

I've been watching that slower, stronger SE trend that the models started to hint at yesterday. Each model suite has made slight corrections in that direction. As you mentioned, 06z GFS got us our closest call yet of the past couple days. Just a few more notches to the south and I'll be back in business! 🤞

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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chescowxman Collaborator

chescowxman

Posted
Posted
We set a new record maximum low temperature this AM as we only dropped to 63.2 here in Chester County PA. This breaks the old mark of 62.5 set back in 2015. We will break another record overnight tonight as we should again stay above 60 degrees. The current record for November 7th is the 57 degrees set way back in 1912.
We should see temps fall back to near normal during the middle of the upcoming week before a slight rebound to above temps before much colder and below normal weather arrives by next Sunday. I suspect the 2nd half of November will average well below normal temps to balance off much of the early month warmth.
image.png.633c7af310a2c13d169c58f098a68da7.png
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be unchanging. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7" to date) - 02/27 (0.3")/ 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

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hawkstwelve Grand Master

hawkstwelve

Posted
Posted

Speaking of improvements, 06z GEFS had it's highest mean snowfall yet for this storm. Also took a look at some airports in Nebraska panhandle and they look to be trending snowier too. Not sure if we have any members over there?

Personally, #26 doesn't look half bad.

gfs-ensemble-all-KFSD-indiv_snow-7714400.png

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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Andie Grand Master

Andie

Posted
Posted

WOW!! 

61*   33% humidity, Sunny

I don’t think it can get any prettier in Texas.  If it can, I want to be there!! 🤠

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Andie Grand Master

Andie

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Tom said:

I think its time to get into that Winter Storm tracking mode...I've been sorta feeling the seasons out here in AZ as we have seen some real deal Autumn weather for the SW desert standards.  Autumn came here fast a little over a week ago and it appears we will continue this trend for at least the next 10 days.  I gotta be honest, I don't know how I'm going to acclimate to those temps when I get back home.  It feels cold for me with temps in the mid 40's around sunrise!  

That’s the problem with the SW!!   
We get accustomed to beautiful pleasant springs and falls and Boom! Winter slams into you and you’re left dazed, confused and freezing your tookus off!!

I have family in Tucson and they laugh at how dumb we are to live in hot humid Texas. But we have pluses they don’t.  I like visiting Az though. Nice people. Loads of beauty.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Grizzcoat Mentor

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, Tom said:

Mid-Month Winter Storm over the Plains starting to look interesting for our central members...

1.gif

 

"Barney Alert"...5-day Euro Control Temp Anomaly...Yikes!  @Grizzcoat, you cut down cords of wood yet?  

 

2.gif

 

 

Yeah I got 5 cords as of this writing. Need one more and I should be good even if the winter is severe.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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hawkstwelve Grand Master

hawkstwelve

Posted
Posted

18z GEFS showing 10 days in a row with highs in the 20s. The move toward the Canadian ensembles is all but complete. Have to hand it to that ensemble suite and not wavering for a long time on projecting temps in the 20s.

Pretty impressive!

gfs-ensemble-all-KFSD-daily_tmin_tmax-7757600.png

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Niko said:

Age is only a number bud. 😉

I'm glad you brought up January 94 because I remember that winter like yesterday. A very cold winter that year in NYC w daytime highs in the single digits and lows below zero. For NYC standards, that is brutal. I had gone to a party one evening and I remember walking to my car (literally 2 blocks away) and had to get inside a building to warm up. My left eye had a blackish mark and yup, you guessed it ( frostbite). WCF in the -20s. I was layered up, but not fully. It was such a harsh winter w snow after snow. I remember we had snows in April and the the funny thing is that previous snows that had fallen back in November were still on the ground. So, as you can see, no melting occurred at all during that winter.  Ahh, the good ol' winters.

 

Haha easy for you to say. Just wait. A day is coming when you'll be trying to convince your (insert body part of choice) that it feels the same it had 40 years prior. Calm cold isn't rough but WC is bad. 

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Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, Doinko said:

814temp.new.gif

Almost the entire CONUS is in the blue!

You skipped the crazier one

 

22-11-06 610temp-new.gif

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Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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westMJim Mentor

westMJim

Posted
Posted

Yesterday was yet another very warm early November day. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 64/43 There was no rain fall and 65% of possible sunshine. That 64 was the 12th warmest November 6th on record at Grand Rapids. The overnight low here in MBY is the current temperature of 39 with clear skies. For today the average H/L is now down to 51/35. The record high of 71 was in 2020 and the record low of 14 was in 1991. The snow fall record of 6.0” was in 1951. Last year it was a mild 65/37. It looks like we have a 4 more days of warm to very warm (by November standards) before a pattern change for at least 2 weeks. There looks like there is a increasing chance of so good lake effect snows starting this weekend.  Of note the forecast high of around 70 for Thursday would be in the near record range. The record is 74 but no other time has it gotten to 70. So when the cold air gets here the lakes should be warm for this time of year. Of course the wind will bring up colder water.

 

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chescowxman Collaborator

chescowxman

Posted
Posted
One last mild day but with temps likely falling this afternoon following this morning's cold frontal passage. The next couple of days following today will see a return to normal temps....but this will feel chilly compared to the last 3 days of 70 degree plus temps. Tuesday and Wednesday will see highs in the mid 50's with lows in the 30's. Friday into Saturday looks like a soaking rain with some tropical storm Nicole influence. Following that it looks like the coldest weather of the fall will set in starting next Saturday night.
The record high for today is 75 degrees set in 1938. Our record low is 19 degrees set in 1960. The daily rainfall record is the 1.38" that fell today in 1932.
image.png.3d85d0b90a4b559d743e4785ef8c2813.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be unchanging. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7" to date) - 02/27 (0.3")/ 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted

"Geek Alert"...the Monster European Ridge will be one of the key factors that weakens the PV as it migrates into Scandinavia.  Notice how both the Alaskan/Scandinavian Ridge "hook" up over the Top and form 2 main Vortex's in the Northern Hemisphere...One in Siberia and the other in North America.   Cross Polar Flow...Here we go!

I'll take a shot at another LR call around our Thanksgiving holiday and the pattern is looking prime for a west-based Greenland Block to develop.  There is a good LR signal for a -NAO to blossom and hold for quite a while into early DEC.  This would open the door for a Festive holiday period right when it starts to count!  Dreaming of a white Thanksgiving???

 

image.gif

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tStacsh Experienced

tStacsh

Posted
Posted

Looks like flakes will fly from LES next weekend and beyond.  Taking Thursday off to finish the outside cleanup.  Temps in Low 70's and then Fall is officially over for a while.  Should have some white ground by this time next week.  Right around our average first 1" of snow,  maybe a little early?

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MIKEKC Community Regular

MIKEKC

Posted
Posted

3.21 inches of rain Friday and Saturday in my part of KC followed by a dusting of snow Saturday morning.  Total of 4.53 inches in two storms 11 days a part. Just what  we needed after a drought set up shop back in June. 

 

Now....winter about to show up. Cold, lets see if we can score an early snow event. November snow has been rare in KC the last 10 years. 

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Bryan1117 Proficient

Bryan1117

Posted
Posted
40 minutes ago, MIKEKC said:

3.21 inches of rain Friday and Saturday in my part of KC followed by a dusting of snow Saturday morning.  Total of 4.53 inches in two storms 11 days a part. Just what  we needed after a drought set up shop back in June. 

 

Now....winter about to show up. Cold, lets see if we can score an early snow event. November snow has been rare in KC the last 10 years. 

Wow, those are some impressive totals - could you please send the next one our way up north??? If at all possible LOL.

We really need a big storm up here to break our recent run of bad luck around here.

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Wow. Quite the November outbreak being shown on the 00z GFS. Look at those surface temps! Coast to coast cold. Pretty impressive.

gfs-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-8816000.png

gfs-deterministic-conus-t2m_f-8772800.png

Wonder how that would stack-up against Nov 2014? Who was mentioning that outbreak?

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Andie Grand Master

Andie

Posted
Posted

Who says Texas doesn’t have a Fall?!

47A872DF-1B43-441C-80B8-E7B3AA991096.thumb.jpeg.8dd56186dd936babe972c05572e7751f.jpeg

76 at 3pm. Very Light rain. 
Leaves just turning. 
Nice Fall day. Plenty of atmosphere. Good day for a walk in the park.  Or a glass of wine under roofed patio.  
More please.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Andie Grand Master

Andie

Posted
Posted
18 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Haha easy for you to say. Just wait. A day is coming when you'll be trying to convince your (insert body part of choice) that it feels the same it had 40 years prior. Calm cold isn't rough but WC is bad. 

I concur Jaster!  Every injury I ever had and some I forgot hurts when damp cold hits.  
Some days I really regret teaching TaiKwonDo. Every injury hurts. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Niko Veteran

Niko

Posted
Posted

Such a beautiful day today. Just splendid. Temps in the 60s w/ abundant of sunshine. Some snowshowers possible this upcoming weekend along w much colder temps. 

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Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct'22:  Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22:  2.5" Below Average /Normal is 2.9"

Dec'22:  5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.5"

Jan'23:  11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.3"

Feb '23:  2.2"  Well Below Average / Normal is 18.4"

March '23: 16.1" Above Average / Normal is 5.0"

(Season is @ 37.0")

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Timmy Supercell Grand Master

Timmy Supercell

Posted
Posted

I went sort of quiet, yeah. Weather hasn't been as eventful, but Fall (and hopefully more rain!) returns in a few days. 

We had a few above average days, complete turn around from how we started Fall. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.60"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 2
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders
1/3, 1/12, 3/1, 

Other 2023 Stats
Max Wind: 50mph (3/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 1 / 0
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 0 / 1
Hailstorms: None yet

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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westMJim Mentor

westMJim

Posted
Posted

While yesterday was the coolest day so far this November it was still above average. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 52/36. There was no rain fall and 100% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY reached 32 but has now got up to 37 with some clouds. It looks like the official overnight low at GRR was 34. For today the average H/L is 51/35 the record high of 74 was in 2020 and the record low of 16 was in 1976 and again in 1991. The most snow fall of 7.5” was in 1921. The next 3 days look to stay warm before we cool down over the weekend and then there is a chance of some snow in parts of west Michigan.

 

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chescowxman Collaborator

chescowxman

Posted
Posted
Happy Election Day!! Make sure you get out to vote!!
Much cooler today and tomorrow with temps running just a bit below average. Many spots will see freezing temps overnight tonight. Milder but with heavy rain Friday into early Saturday and then the coldest air of the season arrives by Saturday night.
The record high for today is 76 degrees in 1975. The record low is 17 degrees set in 1976. Our daily rainfall record is 2.53" from 1996. The daily snowfall record is 0.8" set in 1927.
image.png.ed3e43ab43fefdb07e63942847ca8710.png
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be unchanging. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7" to date) - 02/27 (0.3")/ 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

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chescowxman Collaborator

chescowxman

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Of note the first 7 days of November were the warmest ever recorded in Chester County PA with records back to 1888. Our average temperature was 61.6 degrees. The previous top 5 warmest were - 2003 (59.9) / 1977 (58.9) / 2015 (58.8) / 1974 (58.1) and 1961 (57.7)

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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be unchanging. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7" to date) - 02/27 (0.3")/ 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

NWS Trained Observer   image.png.c611f1f0b6407e819c29024d2b740944.png

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Andie Grand Master

Andie

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2nd Very Foggy morning.   
68*

We’ll have a muggy 80 today.  
It’s feeling like the temps want to flip to much cooler.  Should arrive for Thanksgiving. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Niko Veteran

Niko

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Looks like once the cold air arrives, its here to stay. Also, looking forward to seeing some flakes fly this weekend. Puts ya in the holiday spirit.

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Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct'22:  Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22:  2.5" Below Average /Normal is 2.9"

Dec'22:  5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.5"

Jan'23:  11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.3"

Feb '23:  2.2"  Well Below Average / Normal is 18.4"

March '23: 16.1" Above Average / Normal is 5.0"

(Season is @ 37.0")

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

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3 hours ago, tStacsh said:

Gonna waste the early cold in the lower Midwest with no storms.  Then it will get warm again for the last week of November and early December.  

Nov 2013 was similar. Unless you were fortunate to be in far SWMI (I was). There they got two nice LES events of 17" and 15" respectively. Elsewhere inland including my former backyard was just cold and brown until Dec 8th - the start of a truly epic winter. 

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Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Niko Veteran

Niko

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This pic is on Dec 5th, 2004 in Astoria, Queens: This was after a mild November, which then turned abruptly colder by mid month and once December arrived, it really got snowy. This snowstorm dropped 16.4" in La Guardia. I remember I could not drive my car ( snow was too deep) to my house, so I had to walk.

 

Winter 2004 NYC .jpg

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Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct'22:  Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22:  2.5" Below Average /Normal is 2.9"

Dec'22:  5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.5"

Jan'23:  11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.3"

Feb '23:  2.2"  Well Below Average / Normal is 18.4"

March '23: 16.1" Above Average / Normal is 5.0"

(Season is @ 37.0")

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