Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, Seattle said: Realistically, how long do we hold onto the snow at let's say each of the following points Olympia/Tacoma/Seattle/Everett? Looks like 2-3 am for north of Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, fubario said: Buddy sitting on tarmac at Seatac for 2+ hours waiting for de-icing. Guess Seatac still has only one de-icer for the whole airport, huh? they better work that out by next tuesday, I have to go thru there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 At this point NWS needs to put out some more winter storm warnings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Seattle said: Realistically, how long do we hold onto the snow at let's say each of the following points Olympia/Tacoma/Seattle/Everett? Worth noting that this is a warm front so I do agree with the AFD w/ the transition to rain.. where you draw the line is difficult but I think Everett is a lot safer than say Tacoma/Olympia. Lots of uncertainty still around Central sound imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Snow globe at work! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: they better work that out by next tuesday, I have to go thru there. if there's any snow...you'll be delayed. guaranteed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said: Latest HRRR has Seattle switching over to rain at 1PM and staying rain for the rest of the 18h run. It'll be interesting to see just how bad the HRRR can be. Check what the latest run shows for your location's temp and dew point vs what it actually is. For me, the run currently in progress is warmer at 10 am than reality by 2.5° / 1.5°. That's pretty piss poor for a 1 hr out forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Yeah. It looks like bulk of the precip is moving in about the time modeled. You think the stuff this morning was just a little early bonus? Good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, gusky said: It's somewhat caved for other areas too. Look at that upward trend! In large part due to an increase in precipitation amounts this evening. It's going to get heavy! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Euro.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Meanwhile we are getting filtered sunshine here in Bellingham, temp is 27, DP is 17 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 This is going to be great snowball/snowman making snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, fubario said: Euro.. Inflation is spilling over into the Euro's temperature estimates. The wage-price-temperature spiral. 1 3 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 I look forward to waking up from my nap and having 30 new pages that I'll never catch up on. And just skipping to the December thread in 2 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 At the surface level, the Euro is trending colder heading into Friday than previous runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Creating a second thread on November 29th Is wild Brain Blast wild! Big flakes currently 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, Jginmartini said: Brain Blast wild! Big flakes currently Was bout to say that also. Flakage size is increasing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Euro still looks good for snow here in the south sound tomorrow night. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Was bout to say that also. Flakage size is increasing We need reinforcements 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skywatcher Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Lightly snowing and temperature is hovering right around 33 in Maple Valley. Looks like the roads have warmed up enough to where they are just wet, so hopefully driving home this afternoon won't be too terrible. Hopefully. 1 Shred it! Greater Maple Valley area @ ~550' AGL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 24 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Over the inch mark! Snow is winding down Go draw some nice huge eyeballs on that car!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Quick investigation into predicted DP and temps vs. observed DP and temps. KSEA DP: HRRR 31, NAM 32, actual 28-30. Temps: HRRR 32, NAM 35, actual 32. KBFI DP: HRRR 31, NAM 32, actual 30. Temps: HRRR 34, NAM 34, actual 32. Things aren't looking too bad. Conditions can change fast, but so far temps and DPs have stayed below forecast. 9 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 I don't know what people are talking about with respect to the Euro failing. I mean maybe temperatures are slightly cooler than the Euro was forecasting, but in terms snowfall amounts, the Saturday night run (and every run since then) looks pretty similar to the run coming out this morning. Yes, the focus of the snowfall has shifted slightly south, but only by a couple of miles. And we don't have verification for any of the amounts yet so it looks to me likely that it will end up being much more correct than the 20" spit out by the GFS for the last couple days. 2 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 How is the Euro looking for the central sound tomorrow night and Thursday morning? (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know what people are talking about with respect to the Euro failing. I mean maybe temperatures are slightly cooler than the Euro was forecasting, but in terms snowfall amounts, the Saturday night run (and every run since then) looks pretty similar to the run coming out this morning. Yes, the focus of the snowfall has shifted slightly south, but only by a couple of miles. And we don't have verification for any of the amounts yet so it looks to me likely that it will end up being much more correct than the 20" spit out by the GFS for the last couple days. The Euro busted for the central/south sound. I am already equal to my 24 hour snow totals on the Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xfkirsten Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 21 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Even higher snow amounts on new EURO for Bothell, approaching 9 inches. Less will accumulate obviously. EURO now puts me in the light purple, inching closer... Keep going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know what people are talking about with respect to the Euro failing. I mean maybe temperatures are slightly cooler than the Euro was forecasting, but in terms snowfall amounts, the Saturday night run (and every run since then) looks pretty similar to the run coming out this morning. Yes, the focus of the snowfall has shifted slightly south, but only by a couple of miles. And we don't have verification for any of the amounts yet so it looks to me likely that it will end up being much more correct than the 20" spit out by the GFS for the last couple days. Euro never had the precipitation amounts that it is showing now, it is a big shift. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Looking back we probably should’ve expected over performance in the south sound. Cold air is always harder to scour out than modeled. It’ll still switch over eventually but nice event. 33 in Tacoma. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Hoquiam switched to rain already. 1 2 1 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Hoquiam switched to rain already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Blizzard777 Posted November 29, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 22 minutes ago, Seattle said: Realistically, how long do we hold onto the snow at let's say each of the following points Olympia/Tacoma/Seattle/Everett? Enjoy the moment at least that’s what I’m doing. The south wind or shadowing will take away the fun at some point though….junk food on standby to get me through that painful moment. 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Hoquiam switched to rain already. Still got some time for some more accumulation in the south sound! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 The Euro has actually moved away from the GFS over the past couple days in terms of snow vs rain transition timing. GFS has moved a bit towards Euro for the transition, but not by much. Euro wins if it rains in Seattle proper before 4am tonight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know what people are talking about with respect to the Euro failing. I mean maybe temperatures are slightly cooler than the Euro was forecasting, but in terms snowfall amounts, the Saturday night run (and every run since then) looks pretty similar to the run coming out this morning. Yes, the focus of the snowfall has shifted slightly south, but only by a couple of miles. And we don't have verification for any of the amounts yet so it looks to me likely that it will end up being much more correct than the 20" spit out by the GFS for the last couple days. Except whatever the GFS was spitting out does not equate to snow depth or accumulated snowfall. In that regards, both are correct. If people saw 20" Kuchera or 10:1 and actually believed they'll get 20", I don't know what to tell them. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Euro definitely not as bullish as the GFS on the Friday/Saturday snow for Portland. Does show us picking up an inch and a half between late tomorrow and Thursday though. Shows it happening kind of piecemeal. 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: The Euro busted for the central/south sound. I am already equal to my 24 hour snow totals on the Euro. It looks like most runs had 0.5-1" forecast for the central/south sound which is quite similar to what the GFS was forecasting. I'm not sure any location has had significantly more than 1" of snow, have they? And I mean if that area ends up with 4-6" of snow both models will have busted. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Euros going to attempt to bring some colder air back into the region from the north this weekend still. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Radar filling back in, let's do this! Either way, it looks like it's going to be a super sloppy mess this evening. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: Except whatever the GFS was spitting out does not equate to snow depth or accumulated snowfall. In that regards, both are correct. If people saw 20" Kuchera or 10:1 and actually believed they'll get 20", I don't know what to tell them. In terms of amount of snow fallen, Euro has gone from like 2-3 inches north of Seattle to like 8. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by smerfylicious,
Congrats!!!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
40 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by SouthHillJimmy,
Welcome Jimmy!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
21 reactions
Go to this post